Originally posted by: Matthias99
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Who ever says insurance companies and insurance is just gambling has the logic capabilities of a sand flea.
Depending on how broadly you define "gambling", it can certainly fall under that category.
They use statistics to estimate how many claims they expect each year and how much they will cost. Then they set premiums based on that -- and if they are wrong, they lose money (for instance, a number of home insurers took a beating during Hurricane Andrew, because premiums were relatively low and they paid out tens of billions in claims.) It's the same sort of 'gambling' that a casino owner does, except that you can't calculate the exact odds in advance.
Insurance companies operate on many different levels, all of which is equates to the transferral and distribution of risk. This is the same thing as buying stock options, futures, forward, or any other methodology of hedging risk. You pay somebody to take your risk from you, it is a calculated knowledge of elimination, or at least mitigation, of risk. One could say that risk is nothing but gambling. However, gambling (on the gamblers side) is seeking risk, not mitigating it. Even if you don't take insurance you aren't seeking risk.
The risk-averse person will take insurance to mitigate their risk. Those who accept it demand a premium to take your risk. They then take that risk, calculate many assumptions of payout, and either keep that risk or write it to others. Gambling is uncalculated risk, insurance is not. Insurance companies take your money and purchase fixed income investments that match the cashflows of their calculated risk with moderate return. This "duration matching" or other hedging activities allow them to largely neutralize various fluctuations in risk assumptions.
Insurance company risk can be mitigated through many different ways. As I mentioned before cash-flow matching is one. Another is reinsurance (GenRe, SwissRe..etc). Other means would be something like a credit-default swap (Event X triggers a payment of $Y). Other investors calculate how much these risks would cost to assume and charge that premium.
Insurance companies make an appropriate risk-adjusted return for their companies, nothing egregious, but appropriate. The distribution of risk, whether through associated insurance policy holders, through the capital markets, or with private parties are all backed by thousands of man-hours of actuarial calculations. They cannot predict the future, but the market as a whole can price it, gauge the risk, and react appropriately.
Thus, insurance is not gambling. At least not in comparison to the Vegas type gambling.