How awesome is Nate Silver?

[Fritzo]

This is the new Internet hero that called the election perfectly a few months ago. Here's the list of his awesomeness so far:

When Alexander Bell invented the telephone he had 3 missed calls from Nate Silver.

Nate Silver threw a grenade and killed 50 people, then it exploded.

Nate Silver can delete the Recycling Bin.

Nate Silver once got bit by a rattle snake. After three days of pain and agony... the rattle snake died.

Nate Silver doesn't use pickup lines, he simply says, "Now."

Nate Silver can suffocate a pillow with a man.

Nate Silver once had a heart attack; his heart lost.

Nate Silver doesn't call the wrong number. You answer the wrong phone.

Nate Silver can speak French... In Russian.

When a zombie apocalypses starts, Nate Silver doesn't try to survive. The zombies do.

Ghosts sit around campfires and tell Nate Silver stories.

Nate Silver lost his virginity before his dad did.

Nate Silver beat Halo 1, 2, and 3 on Legendary with a broken Guitar Hero controller.

Nate Silver can unscramble an egg.

Some magicans can walk on water, Nate Silver can swim through land.

Nate Silver can set ants on fire with a magnifying glass. At night.

There used to be a street named after Nate Silver, but it was changed because nobody crosses Nate Silver and lives.

Fear of spiders is aracnaphobia, fear of tight spaces is chlaustraphobia, fear of Nate Silver is called Logic

Nate Silver's computer has no "backspace" button; Nate silver doesn't make mistakes.

Nate Silver can build a snowman out of rain.

Nate Silver has already been to Mars; that's why there's no life there anymore.

Nate Silver can hear sign language.

Nate Silver can light a fire by rubbing two ice-cubes together.

When Nate Silver does a pushup, he isn't lifting himself up, he's pushing the Earth down.

Nate Silver beat the sun in a staring contest.

Nate Silver can slam a revolving door.

 

[DesiPower]

I still prefer Lever

 

[SunnyD]

Edit->Replace All
Find: Chuck Norris
Replace With: Nate Silver

Did I get it right?

 

[AstroManLuca]

0/10 olds law

 

[bigrash]

Who is this guy, and why is everyone talking about him?

 

[Phokus]

Who is this guy, and why is everyone talking about him?

He's a guy every republican hates because he's good at math and predicting elections. He's a media darling because he's accurately predicted the last several elections.

Was also a somewhat famous for PECOTA (a baseball sabermetric system at predicting individual/team performances of baseball players/teams)

 

[ViviTheMage]

who, what....chuck?

 

[Mixolydian]

Never heard of him. :awe:

 

[dr150]

Never heard of him. :awe:

Feed your brain, son.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

 

[AstroManLuca]

He's a guy every republican hates because he's good at math and predicting elections. He's a media darling because he's accurately predicted the last several elections.

Was also a somewhat famous for PECOTA (a baseball sabermetric system at predicting individual/team performances of baseball players/teams)

Just this one and the last one. Although maybe he predicted the 2010 midterms, I don't remember.

 

[Fritzo]

0/10 olds law

Nobody said it was hilarious. Please review the rules of Olds Law.

 

[slayer202]

he's very awesome. and he's surely about to get PAID

 

[bigrash]

He's a guy every republican hates because he's good at math and predicting elections. He's a media darling because he's accurately predicted the last several elections.

Was also a somewhat famous for PECOTA (a baseball sabermetric system at predicting individual/team performances of baseball players/teams)

Interesting. Thanks for the explaination

 

[Perknose]

He's a guy every republican hates because he's good at math and predicting elections. He's a media darling because he's accurately predicted the last several elections.

Was also a somewhat famous for PECOTA (a baseball sabermetric system at predicting individual/team performances of baseball players/teams)

Yup. He's yet another guy who proves, as Stephen Colbert famously pointed out, that facts have a liberal bias.

 

[sygyzy]

Edit->Replace All
Find: Chuck Norris
Replace With: Nate Silver

Did I get it right?

You should start calling yourself Benjamin Gates for figuring out this mystery.

 

[MisterJackson]

It's not that hard to delete the Recycle Bin.

 

[halik]

OMG YOU READ REDDIT TOO? WE LIEK TOTALY FRIENDS NOW LOLOLOLOL

shoot me now

 

[ShawnD1]

He's a guy every republican hates because he's good at math and predicting elections. He's a media darling because he's accurately predicted the last several elections.

Republicans hate him because he understands high school mathematics. What you do is average the polls to determine who will win a state, then write down how many electoral votes that state is worth. Do this for all 50 states then add up the electoral votes. A grade 10 math student with a pencil and 1 sheet of paper could figure it out. Many republicans do not have grade 10 math, so this concept of predicting the future looks like witchcraft.

Also, regular people accurately called the election since the beginning of the year. Look at the graph on this page:
http://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/scoreboard/
Notice how Romney was NEVER expected to win at any point. Even the republicans knew Romney had no chance. During the convention, they basically bailed on Romney. People talked about themselves. Rick Scrotum almost sounded like he was still running to win the nomination.

 

[Brigandier]

Republicans hate him because he understands high school mathematics. What you do is average the polls to determine who will win a state, then write down how many electoral votes that state is worth. Do this for all 50 states then add up the electoral votes. A grade 10 math student with a pencil and 1 sheet of paper could figure it out. Many republicans do not have grade 10 math, so this concept of predicting the future looks like witchcraft.

I've got something the Republicans will never have.

My grade 11.

 

[SP33Demon]

Republicans hate him because he understands high school mathematics. What you do is average the polls to determine who will win a state, then write down how many electoral votes that state is worth. Do this for all 50 states then add up the electoral votes. A grade 10 math student with a pencil and 1 sheet of paper could figure it out. Many republicans do not have grade 10 math, so this concept of predicting the future looks like witchcraft.

Also, regular people accurately called the election since the beginning of the year. Look at the graph on this page:
http://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/scoreboard/
Notice how Romney was NEVER expected to win at any point. Even the republicans knew Romney had no chance. During the convention, they basically bailed on Romney. People talked about themselves. Rick Scrotum almost sounded like he was still running to win the nomination.

You are obtuse if you think it's easy to emulate his model, which assigns different weights not only to every poll but other variables (economic such as stock market swings) in his forecast. No political prognosticator has the track record of Nate from 2008, 2010, and now 2012; educate yourself.

 

[Zargon]

I've got something the Republicans will never have.

My grade 11.

very true since you dont 'get a grade 11' in the US

 

[jagec]

You are obtuse if you think it's easy to emulate his model, which assigns different weights not only to every poll but other variables (economic such as stock market swings) in his forecast. No political prognosticator has the track record of Nate from 2008, 2010, and now 2012; educate yourself.

The way that he phrased it is oversimplified, true, but the beauty of statistics is that anyone could, in theory, get equally good results with a thorough analysis of the same data. Nate is smart, true, and his models are clearly well-weighted and accurate, but he's not magical nor does he have access to some unique source of information that others do not.

The reason why Nate stands out from the other political prognosticators is that everyone else likes to inject their own bias when they are weighting their models. Then they get pissed off that objective math WORKS, and write whiny opinion columns about how Nate Silver must just be lucky.

 

[Perknose]

It's not that hard to delete the Recycle Bin.

Uhh, it's not that hard to delete the contents of the Recycle Bin. It's harder to delete the Bin itself. Nate Silver can. I might let him anally impregnate me, he's that awesome. :awe:

 

[ShawnD1]

You are obtuse if you think it's easy to emulate his model, which assigns different weights not only to every poll but other variables (economic such as stock market swings) in his forecast. No political prognosticator has the track record of Nate from 2008, 2010, and now 2012; educate yourself.

That's because giving real answers is boring and is a great way to get fired. People don't want real answers. They want to look at stupid theoretical maps showing what happens if Romney wins California or what happens if Obama wins Alaska. The people who look at polls and are not completely retarded have this thing figured out as quickly as you can snap your fingers.
The real skill of statistics is being able to make a graph of probabilities. I couldn't do that in grade 10 and I probably still can't do it.

Further evidence that "professionals" are overly dramatic and stupid because that's what people want.
Intrade - 2008 predictions vs results
People with regular day jobs who don't get paid to draw on stupid white boards predicted the election with extremely high accuracy.

 

[Gibsons]

Rick Scrotum almost sounded like he was still running to win the nomination.

You misspelled frothy mix of lube and fecal matter that is sometimes the byproduct of anal sex.