House of Representatives

[nick1985]

Will the Democrats have a majority after the November elections?

I voted no.

"Each week, Gallup releases a generic congressional poll which tests the pervasive lean of voters toward the two major parties. Two weeks ago, this metric show a record advantage for Republicans. The perference of voters in that survey was 50% for a generic Republican candidate and 43% for a generic Democrat."

http://www.electionprojection.com/b...high_in_gallup_generic_measurement_083110.php


"In August, 35.0% of American Adults identified themselves as Democrats. That’s down nearly half a percentage point from a month ago and is the smallest percentage of Democrats ever recorded in nearly eight years of monthly tracking. "

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends

 

[SammyJr]

The Republicans might pick up a handful of seats. The Teabaggers and the Republicans are loud and claim to speak for all Americans, but they really don't.

 

[woolfe9999]

I think the GOP will grab a slim majority in the House, a 2-3 seat margin. That is my prediction.

- wolf

 

[Schadenfroh]

It will likely be almost a tie, slight edge to the Dems.

 

[PeshakJang]

The Republicans might pick up a handful of seats. The Teabaggers and the Republicans are loud and claim to speak for all Americans, but they really don't.

Not all, but a growing majority.

 

[Doc Savage Fan]

Dems will win by a landslide...America loves the job their doing and the direction we're going. /s

Actually my hope is that Republicans will make an effort to bring them into the legislative process.

 

[SammyJr]

Not all, but a growing majority.

A growing minority, at best. Unfortunately for them, their group shrinks every year due to the ravages of age.

 

[Infohawk]

It's still too early to tell. If the public thinks we're double-dipping in November Dems are in trouble.

What makes matters worse is Obama is doing a poor job positioning himself on all the identity politics issues. Even if he's right, only die-hard left-wingers are agreeing with him and the midterm elections will basically be a poll on Obama.

 

[SammyJr]

It's still too early to tell. If the public thinks we're double-dipping in November Dems are in trouble.

What makes matters worse is Obama is doing a poor job positioning himself on all the identity politics issues. Even if he's right, only die-hard left-wingers are agreeing with him and the midterm elections will basically be a poll on Obama.

Die-hard left wingers and the Obama fan club might share some members, but a lot of left wingers view Obama as yet another corporatist center-right politician and merely as the lesser of two evils.

 

[CrackRabbit]

Need an option for "Not sure."

Will the Republicans win some seats? Yes. Will it be enough to gain any type of majority? I have no clue.

 

[Patranus]

The House? No.
The Senate? 50/50.

 

[Carmen813]

I think the GOP will grab a slim majority in the House, a 2-3 seat margin. That is my prediction.

- wolf

This is what I think, except in the reverse. I'm not yet convinced that things will be as bad for Democrats as some polls would have you think. I suspect that, rather ironically, the Democrat coalition that will sustain the heaviest losses will be the ones who are most conservative (Blue Dogs).

 

[Matthiasa]

Well if tear party candidates run in states where they lost, it will siphon votes so in the end the change will probably be less then most expect. 🙁
That said if the government as a whole would just lock itself up and do nothing that would probably be the best option. 😛