How many threads you going to post the same shitty study in just to get slapped over and over about how its a shitty study?The small benefit from lockdowns wasn't worth the cost.
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Johns Hopkins Study: Lockdowns Only Reduce Mortality by 0.2 Percent | Mises Institute
That something "works" isn't a license for a regime to do whatever it wants. But given that lockdowns don't even work—and are morally repugnant—how can they bemises.org
How Much Evidence Is Required to Abolish Your Rights?
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The all also reflects a monomaniacal technocratic obsession with justifying anything and everything so long as it can be shown to "work." But, even if lockdowns worked, this wouldn't excuse the fact that lockdowns are premised on imposing widespread human rights violations on the population at large. Lockdowns deny the right to seek employment, the right to travel, and the basic right to contract for services. That something "works" isn't a license for a regime to do whatever it wants. After all, many Asian regimes no doubt believe that the widespread use of the death penalty for drug offenses "works." Similarly, it may be that torture "works" to extract information from suspected terrorists—although data shows it doesn't. The "success" of torture would not be sufficient to justify its use, and a healthy respect for human rights suggests such practices are unacceptable.
Advocates of lockdowns will argue that having one's livelihood confiscated by health officials is not on the same level as execution or torture. Even if that's true we must ask exactly how much evidence lockdown advocates require before they are willing to violate your rights in the name of "doing what works." The answer apparently is "not much." In a sane society, the burden of proof always falls on those who want to increase state power. Predictably, however, the lockdowners insisted there was no time to worry about evidence for their radical new scheme. And once they had the power, they refused to accept any expiration dates or other limits to their power. This is why they're constantly moving the goalposts, changing time horizons, and generally insisting that any opposition is tantamount to "killing grandma." But it is only becoming increasingly clear that they've never been pursuing what works. They've only managed to increase their own power at great cost to many. "
Professor Neil Ferguson, director of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute, Imperial College London, also found this definition of a lockdown problematic:“I find this paper has flaws and needs to be interpreted very carefully … The most inconsistent aspect is the reinterpreting of what a lockdown is. The authors define lockdown as “as the imposition of at least one compulsory, non-pharmaceutical intervention”. This would make a mask wearing policy a lockdown. For a meta-analysis using a definition that is at odds with the dictionary definition (a state of isolation or restricted access instituted as a security measure) is strange.
Another point of concern is that 12 of the 34 studies analyzed in this review were, themselves, working papers. The analysis of 34 included 14 in the field of economics and only one in epidemiology.This report on the effect of “lockdowns” does not significantly advance our understanding of the relative effectiveness of the plethora of public health measures adopted by different countries to limit COVID-19 transmission. The policies which comprised “lockdown” varied dramatically between countries, meaning defining the term is problematic. In their new report, Herby et al appear to define lockdown as imposition of one or more mandatory non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs); by that definition, the UK has been in permanent lockdown since 16th of March 2021, and remains in lockdown – given it remain compulsory for people with diagnosed COVID-19 to self-isolate for at least 5 days.
In this case, a trio of economists have undertaken a meta-analysis of many previous studies. So far so good. But they systematically excluded from consideration any study based on the science of disease transmission, meaning that the only studies looked at in the analysis are studies using the methods of economics.Smoking causes cancer, the earth is round, and ordering people to stay at home (the correct definition of lockdown) decreases disease transmission. None of this is controversial among scientists. A study purporting to prove the opposite is almost certain to be fundamentally flawed.
Solomon Hsiang, director of the Global Policy Lab, says these unprecedented shelter-in-place orders came at an extreme economic cost. Yet when government officials were ordering them, it was unclear exactly how significant the social benefits would be.
“The value of these studies you’re seeing today is that they’re demonstrating what the benefits of this policy are,” Hsiang said in a press call discussing the studies. “They averted tens of millions of additional infections and millions of deaths.”
An obvious UCLA dumbass.How many threads you going to post the same shitty study in just to get slapped over and over about how its a shitty study?
Yep. It's crazy that after this whole time we still have idiots that didn't get the message. They don't understand that all the people infected with covid clog up the system and every other chronic condition has to suffer because people can't get service.Bingo. Flattening the curve isn't about reducing deaths as a key metric, it's about not overwhelming health care systems. See: last two years.
An obvious UCLA dumbass.
Read the Johns Hopkins study, it disagrees with you.
Hmmm whom do i trust ? A dimwit UCLA bruin or a Johns Hopkins metastudy ? I'll take Johns Hopkins Alex.
lol, snopes. Give us another fuctchekur.
Yeah, so this "study" (actually a non-peer reviewed "working paper" by a politically motivated economist) has been snoped. And so far... it ain't pretty
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Here's What We Know About 'Johns Hopkins Study' on Lockdowns
It's a non-peer reviewed working paper that has not been endorsed by the university.www.snopes.com
Highlights:
The first thing we noticed when we examined the actual study, not the media reports covering the study, was that this was a “working paper” by a group of economists, not epidemiologists. A working paper typically refers to a pre-publication study that has not yet undergone a scientific peer-review process.
This opening paragraph contains one other important detail. This study was not endorsed by Johns Hopkins University. While many media outlets presented this working paper as if it was a “Johns Hopkins study,” this report would be more accurately described as a non-peer-reviewed working paper by three economists, one of whom is an economics professor at Johns Hopkins University.
Furthermore, the National Post noted that this paper did not come from Johns Hopkins University’s Coronavirus Resource Center. Rather, it comes from the university’s unaffiliated Krieger School of Arts and Sciences:
This work was conducted by three economists, not epidemiologists: Jonas Herby, Lars Jonung, and Steve H. Hanke. It’s worth noting that Hanke, a senior fellow at the CATO Institute, was at the center of a brief controversy in June 2020 after he erroneously claimed that Vietnam had not reported any COVID-19 data. An open letter from 285 “public health researchers and professionals and concerned citizens” to Johns Hopkins University demanded an apology from Hanke and claimed that his tweet was “more politically driven than evidence based.” Hanke later deleted the tweet.
While we can’t say if Hanke’s political opinions influenced the conclusions of this working paper, he has repeatedly posted messages on Twitter equating lockdowns with fascism.
Professor Neil Ferguson, director of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute, Imperial College London, also found this definition of a lockdown problematic:
Another point of concern is that 12 of the 34 studies analyzed in this review were, themselves, working papers. The analysis of 34 included 14 in the field of economics and only one in epidemiology.
Dr. Seth Flaxman, associate professor in the Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, said (emphasis ours):
In this case, a trio of economists have undertaken a meta-analysis of many previous studies. So far so good. But they systematically excluded from consideration any study based on the science of disease transmission, meaning that the only studies looked at in the analysis are studies using the methods of economics.
Furthermore, nearly half of the studies analyzed (16 of 34) were published in 2020. The most recent study comes from June 2021, meaning that this meta-analysis contains little to no data related to the delta variant, and no data related to omicron.
The viral “Johns Hopkins study” about lockdowns was not the work of Johns Hopkins University, it was not peer-reviewed, and it was not written by epidemiologists. A number of researchers have also taken issue with the methods used in this study.
Furthermore, the conclusions of this non-peer reviewed working paper run counter to published studies in academic journals that found lockdowns did prevent COVID-19 deaths. One study, for example, found that lockdown policies helped prevent millions of deaths early in the pandemic. NPR reported:
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An obvious UCLA dumbass.
Read the Johns Hopkins study, it disagrees with you.
Hmmm whom do i trust ? A dimwit UCLA bruin or a Johns Hopkins metastudy ? I'll take Johns Hopkins Alex.
Can't really blame him, he's trying very hard to unironically use the "appeal to authority" fallacy and is just spittin' mad we're not biting.Except it wasn't a John Hopkins study.
I think the larger problem is by their definition essentially every developed country has been in a continuous state of ‘lockdown’ from March 2020 to present. They defined the word so broadly it lost all meaning.Yea, I have seem that article, but not read it in detail. The weakness of such studies to me seems the lack of a "control group". In the early stages, nearly everyone was locked down, so I dont know how one would determine how many Covid deaths would have occurred if there was no lockdown.
spectatorworld.com
SIri, show me the absolute definition of 'stuck on stupid'![]()
The research is in and lockdowns don't work
Unless by 'work' you mean stagnating the economy while doing little to slow the spread. A new paper exposes the reality of lockdowns.spectatorworld.com
"The review looked at 34 different studies analyzing business and school closings, shelter-in-place orders, and international travel bans. It included data from US and European Covid mitigation efforts, along with endeavors in India, South Africa and China. Almost two dozen of these studies were peer-reviewed, while the other 12 were working papers. "
34 studies, only 12 working papers.
you're a lying sack of shit and have no idea what you are talking about.An obvious UCLA dumbass.
Read the Johns Hopkins study, it disagrees with you.
Hmmm whom do i trust ? A dimwit UCLA bruin or a Johns Hopkins metastudy ? I'll take Johns Hopkins Alex.
![]()
The research is in and lockdowns don't work
Unless by 'work' you mean stagnating the economy while doing little to slow the spread. A new paper exposes the reality of lockdowns.spectatorworld.com
"The review looked at 34 different studies analyzing business and school closings, shelter-in-place orders, and international travel bans. It included data from US and European Covid mitigation efforts, along with endeavors in India, South Africa and China. Almost two dozen of these studies were peer-reviewed, while the other 12 were working papers. "
34 studies, only 12 working papers.
lol, snopes. Give us another fuctchekur.
![]()
The research is in and lockdowns don't work
Unless by 'work' you mean stagnating the economy while doing little to slow the spread. A new paper exposes the reality of lockdowns.spectatorworld.com
"The review looked at 34 different studies analyzing business and school closings, shelter-in-place orders, and international travel bans. It included data from US and European Covid mitigation efforts, along with endeavors in India, South Africa and China. Almost two dozen of these studies were peer-reviewed, while the other 12 were working papers. "
34 studies, only 12 working papers.
