Hole in One = $1 Million

[KLin]

ESPN Article

What are the chances of being chosen to participate, then actually hit the hole in one?

 

[TridenT]

Somethin' like 1 in 30,000.

 

[GagHalfrunt]

Originally posted by: TridenT
Somethin' like 1 in 30,000.

Somewhere between 30,000 to one and 45,000 to one against for making the ace on any given swing. But he had to qualify to get the shot at it, only 6 people got the chance. Given about 120 people for an average golf outing it was 20 to one against on that. 30,000 x 20 = 600,0000 to 1 against.

 

[JujuFish]

Originally posted by: GagHalfrunt

Originally posted by: TridenT
Somethin' like 1 in 30,000.

Somewhere between 30,000 to one and 45,000 to one against for making the ace on any given swing. But he had to qualify to get the shot at it, only 6 people got the chance. Given about 120 people for an average golf outing it was 20 to one against on that. 30,000 x 20 = 600,0000 to 1 against.

Except that people most likely to hit a hole-in-one are going to be the better golfers to begin with, so that's a flawed calculation.

 

[GagHalfrunt]

Originally posted by: JujuFish

Originally posted by: GagHalfrunt

Originally posted by: TridenT
Somethin' like 1 in 30,000.

Somewhere between 30,000 to one and 45,000 to one against for making the ace on any given swing. But he had to qualify to get the shot at it, only 6 people got the chance. Given about 120 people for an average golf outing it was 20 to one against on that. 30,000 x 20 = 600,0000 to 1 against.

Except that people most likely to hit a hole-in-one are going to be the better golfers to begin with, so that's a flawed calculation.

No, that's flawed logic and logic is perhaps too kind a word. The 30,000:1 odds are based on ALL golfers. Yes, good golfers are more likely to make one and bad golfers are less likely. As his skill level is unknown it's impossible to calculate whether his chances were better than 30,000 or worse than 30,000.

 

[KLin]

Originally posted by: JujuFish

Originally posted by: GagHalfrunt

Originally posted by: TridenT
Somethin' like 1 in 30,000.

Somewhere between 30,000 to one and 45,000 to one against for making the ace on any given swing. But he had to qualify to get the shot at it, only 6 people got the chance. Given about 120 people for an average golf outing it was 20 to one against on that. 30,000 x 20 = 600,0000 to 1 against.

Except that people most likely to hit a hole-in-one are going to be the better golfers to begin with, so that's a flawed calculation.

I think that's why he mentioned between 30000 and 45000 to one range. The odds are going to be better for tiger woods than for my uncle who's an 8 or 9 handicap.

 

[JujuFish]

Originally posted by: GagHalfrunt

Originally posted by: JujuFish

Originally posted by: GagHalfrunt

Originally posted by: TridenT
Somethin' like 1 in 30,000.

Somewhere between 30,000 to one and 45,000 to one against for making the ace on any given swing. But he had to qualify to get the shot at it, only 6 people got the chance. Given about 120 people for an average golf outing it was 20 to one against on that. 30,000 x 20 = 600,0000 to 1 against.

Except that people most likely to hit a hole-in-one are going to be the better golfers to begin with, so that's a flawed calculation.

No, that's flawed logic and logic is perhaps too kind a word. The 30,000:1 odds are based on ALL golfers. Yes, good golfers are more likely to make one and bad golfers are less likely. As his skill level is unknown it's impossible to calculate whether his chances were better than 30,000 or worse than 30,000.

I was referring to your "30,000 x 20" calculation, not your 30,000:1 odds.

 

[Pheran]

Asked about his plans for the money, Hargett told ESPN he and his brother, Brandon, plan to go to Europe next summer, possibly to take in the British Open or run with the bulls in Pamplona, Spain.

Why are people who win lots of money almost always dumbasses?

 

[spidey07]

There's a million dollar hole in one tournament here every year.

 

[fustercluck]

It's getting all Mathy up in here. They said in the video 145,000 to 1.

I never understood how people realize they got a hole in one. The ball is so tiny and the green is 150 yards away. I'm always lucky if I can find my ball after hitting it.

 

[HopJokey]

Originally posted by: Pheran

Asked about his plans for the money, Hargett told ESPN he and his brother, Brandon, plan to go to Europe next summer, possibly to take in the British Open or run with the bulls in Pamplona, Spain.

Why are people who win lots of money almost always dumbasses?

Nah, most people in general are "dumbasses". It's just when they win loads of money they are afforded the opportunity to show how dumb they really are.

 

[imported_six]

Originally posted by: HopJokey

Originally posted by: Pheran

Asked about his plans for the money, Hargett told ESPN he and his brother, Brandon, plan to go to Europe next summer, possibly to take in the British Open or run with the bulls in Pamplona, Spain.

Why are people who win lots of money almost always dumbasses?

Nah, most people in general are "dumbasses". It's just when they win loads of money they are afforded the opportunity to show how dumb they really are.

WOW...geniuses at work...ahem...narcissists.