I voted for Carolina, not sure why. I'd like to see Ronnie Francis get another ring, couldn't go to a nicer guy.
I think the Avs and Wings are going to beat the snot out of each other, and the Avs especially are carrying a lot of old farts around that might not make it. The Avs have played 2 game 7s already, and if they drag the Wings out to a game 7 and win, I think Carolina will have the legs to take them in the final.
The Avs will definitely win at least 1 of the first 2 in Detroit, as the Wings will take a little time to get their game legs back. Roy can keep the Avs in most of the games, despite how much talent the Wings have. I'm not sure about Hasek. Every time I think he's done, he's not. Most will think the winner of that series will have a cake walk in the finals, but I think the winner will be so beat up and worn out that Carolina will take them (mostly because they should be able to walk all over the Leafs).
So, Carolina is both a personal preferrence and a gut feeling. Then again, that's why they play the games.