Here comes Nate

[Puffnstuff]

Looks like this one is going to be a gulf storm forcast to landfall new NOLA. Do we think that is where it will actually go?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?cone#contents

 

[imported_tajmahal]

Probably a category 1 with minimal storm surge and pretty fast moving.

 

[1sikbITCH]

Better Nate than Lever.

 

[Chaotic42]

Yikes. This is hitting right in my home area. I've lived all along the MS and LA coast there. It didn't get much press, but Katrina obliterated a lot of the MS coast. I really miss living there, but I definitely don't miss hurricanes. Everyone down there is an amateur meteorologist and people here in St. Louis look at me funny for checking the weather all of the time. Force of habit I guess.

Fortunately most of my friends have either moved in land or are outside of the worst of it. I think Biloxi is better suited to handle this than New Orleans, which has had a ton of flooding issues lately. I know a bunch of people who work in local GIS(mapping) and emergency management. I'll be they're scrambling with how fast this thing popped up.

 

[Engineer]

Category 2 estimated at landfall now.

 

[Chaotic42]

I asked my friend in the area if she was going "hunker down" (a post-Katrina joke, they used that term constantly). She said "Whatever. I'm getting pizza". If it's not Category 4, people just don't get too excited.

 

[Puffnstuff]

If it's not Category 4, people just don't get too excited.

Until the flood water shows up at their front door to greet them with a wake up call. Look at what Nate did to SA during its brief encounter with them. This storm is a massive rain event and will flood that area quickly.

 

[Chaotic42]

Until the flood water shows up at their front door to greet them with a wake up call. Look at what Nate did to SA during its brief encounter with them. This storm is a massive rain event and will flood that area quickly.

It's moving really quickly, so that's a positive. The drainage down there is built for tremendous amounts of rain (except for New Orleans), so I don't think it will be a big flooding catastrophe unless it slows down.

 

[Puffnstuff]

It's moving really quickly, so that's a positive. The drainage down there is built for tremendous amounts of rain (except for New Orleans), so I don't think it will be a big flooding catastrophe unless it slows down.

I'm looking at the NWS map and Nate is supposed to get picked up by a cold front that should quickly move it along without stalling out which will really help folks out.
http://www.weather.gov/forecastmaps

 

[Chaotic42]

I'm looking at the NWS map and Nate is supposed to get picked up by a cold front that should quickly move it along without stalling out which will really help folks out.
http://www.weather.gov/forecastmaps

That's definitely good news. The SLOSH (storm surge) models don't look too bad either: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/152016.shtml?inundation#contents

 

[Puffnstuff]

If you haven't been following this storm it picked up speed to a most unusual 25mph and lost hurricane status very early after landfall. This is great news for people in its path as it doesn't have the time to flood them out. In short, we got lucky this time.
http://www.cnn.com/2017/10/08/us/hurricane-nate-landfall/index.html