Gun Control

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Mxylplyx

Diamond Member
Mar 21, 2007
4,197
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For criminals, yes. For law-abiding citizens, no.

A guy who keeps a shotgun next to his bed is not doing so because he wants to kill and main people.

A jewelery store that hires an armed guard does not do so hoping the guard will ever shoot anyone.

And so on. Most uses of firearms are defensive, and they are always glossed over in favor of the more damning statistics.

The counterargument to the defensive purposes is that the only reason such defenses are necessary is because criminals have access to firearms, which circles back around to my original argument of legal access enabling illegal access.

When I see gun advocates argue they need guns because criminals have guns, it's analogous to the thermal runaway problem in Boeing's lithium batteries. It's a reaction that just creates a feedback loop.
 

blankslate

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2008
8,797
572
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Okay then. If banning weapons with 30 round mags is okay because nobody needs them then banning cars that go over 90mph is okay because nobody needs them. Banning video games is okay because nobody needs them. Banning cigarettes is okay because nobody needs them. Banning alcohol is okay because nobody needs it. No. Wrong. An item's necessity has zero bearing on whether it should be banned. It should never be brought into the discussion.

No wrong. You have to balance potential harm vs benefits. It's not merely a matter of necessity alone.

If you ban future production of cars that can go faster than 90 mph. It'll be extremely harmful to the economy. People will hang on to their older cars almost indefinitely.

Banning video games? Video games have a tenuous link to violence at best. Many first world countries have people who play them without nearly has high a violence level. Likewise as with the above you'll likely introduce economic harm for benefits that aren't proven.

Banning cigarettes has similar issues as banning drugs in that you'll introduce a new black market. Criminals will want to obtain weapons.

Banning alcohol has the same issues and we have practical experience with that in the U.S.


Banning hi capacity magazines for firearms? Well. that's the issue and what we should be focusing on instead of bringing in cars, cigarettes, video games, or alcohol in as a distraction.



It should be noted that we also have other factors which regulate peoples behaviors in regards to those other items.

Car insurance companies factor in the vehicle into your insurance costs. have a 150 mph sports car? All else being equal you are very much likely to pay more for insurance than if you are driving a hybrid prius.

We have sin taxes for cigarettes and alcohol. Can you imagine the uproar if a tax was levied on the sale of magazines which held more than 15 or 20 rounds for handguns or 30 rounds for rifles and carbines?

Video games? they're closer to cigarettes and alcohol in a way than cars or firearms. The media you use to play them with your game device of choice are in no way as potentially harmful as the others. It's the sedentary habits that overuse of video games cause the primary harm. Which is imo beyond the scope of this thread.
 
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jpeyton

Moderator in SFF, Notebooks, Pre-Built/Barebones
Moderator
Aug 23, 2003
25,375
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The counterargument to the defensive purposes is that the only reason such defenses are necessary is because criminals have access to firearms, which circles back around to my original argument of legal access enabling illegal access.
Actually you're almost completely wrong on this point.

We don't need guns because criminals have guns. We need guns because they are force multipliers.

If you remove all guns from society, the biggest will prey on the weakest. A strong, muscular young man can overpower an older couple, beat the husband to death, rape and kill the wife, and nobody except an equally strong or stronger person would be able to stop him.

Guns allow a young single mother to fend off three intruders who could have had their way with her if we live in a gun-free utopia.
 

jpeyton

Moderator in SFF, Notebooks, Pre-Built/Barebones
Moderator
Aug 23, 2003
25,375
142
116
No wrong. You have to balance potential harm vs benefits. It's not merely a matter of necessity alone.
The potential harm of modern sporting rifles is already a known quantity. I think it's around 200 or fewer homicides per year on average.

It's far outweighed by the millions of people who legally own and use modern sporting rifles. Not to mention the jobs, salaries, revenues and taxes (a lions share of which are American grown businesses) that stem from modern sporting rifles.

The benefits far outweigh the harm.
 

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
37,355
32,982
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...

I'd be perfectly fine with a capacity limit of 30 rounds and mandatory speed limiters set to 70 mph on all cars. Actually, I'd be thrilled with the latter.
I would not be. Not in a million years.



People don't die from playing video games.
People die as a consequence of kids being desensitized to violence and a primary driving force of that desensitization is video games. Movies are another factor and nobody needs to watch movies, so movies should be banned as well.



Both of those have high taxes and/or restrictions on them, so there's no reason why guns cannot also. (Cigarettes would be banned if our drug laws made any sense.)
Keep in mind I am not arguing against restrictions with this line of reasoning, I am arguing against all out bans.



What is the responsible use of a 30 round mag? I believe that's the bit missing from this argument.
A responsible use of a 30 round mag is unloading it into some targets in a safe manner.



No wrong. You have to balance potential harm vs benefits. It's not merely a matter of necessity alone.
Of course it is a balance. You are the one who brought mag capacity into the discussion. Banning large magazines restricts the personal freedom of 350M+ Americans whether or not they ever own one. Your justification for that so far is that nobody needs them.



If you ban future production of cars that can go faster than 90 mph. It'll be extremely harmful to the economy. People will hang on to their older cars almost indefinitely.
Banning production of guns will be extremely harmful to the economy.



Banning video games? Video games have a tenuous link to violence at best. Many first world countries have people who play them without nearly has high a violence level. Likewise as with the above you'll likely introduce economic harm for benefits that aren't proven.
And what benefits does banning high capacity magazines have? Reducing the number of people killed during the one or two mass shooting sprees that occur each year, maybe if someone happens to be there to stop him when he is reloading? So restricting the personal freedom of 350M Americans is okay for a maybe hypothetically tiny number of lives?



Banning cigarettes has similar issues as banning drugs in that you'll introduce a new black market. Criminals will want to obtain weapons.
...
You seem to be making my case for me here, banning guns will create a much larger black market for guns.
 

Charles Kozierok

Elite Member
May 14, 2012
6,762
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People die as a consequence of kids being desensitized to violence and a primary driving force of that desensitization is video games. Movies are another factor and nobody needs to watch movies, so movies should be banned as well.

I believe that's been thoroughly debunked at this point.

Even if not, the relationship is so indirect as to be an unreasonable comparison to either guns or cars.
 

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
37,355
32,982
136
I believe that's been thoroughly debunked at this point.

Even if not, the relationship is so indirect as to be an unreasonable comparison to either guns or cars.
I am predicating this argument on the premise that if we save even one life, it is worth it. I expect this argument to fail. It is designed to fail, but not for the reason you state. It has not been thoroughly debunked, and it is entirely reasonable to assume that at least one life has been lost because some kid thought it would be cool to re-enact his favorite video game.
 

blankslate

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2008
8,797
572
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Banning production of guns will be extremely harmful to the economy.

Banning high capacity magazines is not the same as banning a firearm.
You seem to be making my case for me here, banning guns will create a much larger black market for guns.

Again, banning high capacity magazines is *not* the same as banning a firearm.

Of course it is a balance. You are the one who brought mag capacity into the discussion. Banning large magazines restricts the personal freedom of 350M+ Americans whether or not they ever own one. Your justification for that so far is that nobody needs them.


banning high capacity magazines doesn't restrict personal freedoms. You still have the 2nd amendment. There is no reason there cannot be laws regarding firearms as there are with speech. My justification is the same as for cars alcohol etc. the cost to society vs. the benefits.
 

Charles Kozierok

Elite Member
May 14, 2012
6,762
1
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The counterargument to the defensive purposes is that the only reason such defenses are necessary is because criminals have access to firearms, which circles back around to my original argument of legal access enabling illegal access.

That's a pretty horrible counterargument, however.

First, because as has been pointed out repeatedly, making firearms illegal doesn't mean criminals won't have them, any more than it means they don't have access to cocaine and heroin now.

Second, even if you magically made all guns disappear and magically prevent them from coming into the country, that doesn't get rid of violent crime. It just makes it harder to defend against.

When I see gun advocates argue they need guns because criminals have guns, it's analogous to the thermal runaway problem in Boeing's lithium batteries. It's a reaction that just creates a feedback loop.

It's not just because criminals have guns. But certainly, making it so they have them and we do not is even worse.
 

Charles Kozierok

Elite Member
May 14, 2012
6,762
1
0
I am predicating this argument on the premise that if we save even one life, it is worth it. I expect this argument to fail. It is designed to fail, but not for the reason you state. It has not been thoroughly debunked, and it is entirely reasonable to assume that at least one life has been lost because some kid thought it would be cool to re-enact his favorite video game.

Right, but "even if we save one life" is so extreme a position as to practically be a strawman. Is anyone saying that here?

Putting speed regulators and breathalyzer interlocks on cars would be seen as onerous, but would save a hell of a lot more lives than anything else being discussed here.
 

blankslate

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2008
8,797
572
126
I believe that's been thoroughly debunked at this point.

Even if not, the relationship is so indirect as to be an unreasonable comparison to either guns or cars.

I am predicating this argument on the premise that if we save even one life, it is worth it. I expect this argument to fail. It is designed to fail, but not for the reason you state.

It doesn't matter if the video game argument is designed to fail or not unless somehow DVDs that many console games and PC games come on suddenly become extremely deadly if handled improperly....

Getting back to magazines for firearms banning them might not be necessary to achieve a beneficial effect if a tax (whose funds won't be used for other uses, this could be a debate by itself...) is levied on hi-cap mags and used to compensate victims of negligence or malicious acts by a person using firearms.
 
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Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
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The phrase, in and of itself, isn't inherently a fallacy, although it's usage is often suspect.

Well, fallacy is the subjective part. Name me a fallacy, I'll give you an example where it's incorrect and another where it's correct.

Let's take the 'slippery slope'. If we ban handguns, the next thing you know they'll be taking all guns! And then installing a dictatorship!

Now the thing is, the above is a 'slippery slope' if it's inaccurate - but the very same statement isn't a fallacy if it happens to be correct. That's where the debate lies.

If I said 'if we give the government to ban books they think are dangerous to security, in no time they'll be banning any book that's politically inconvenient for them'.

Is that a slippery slope? Maybe, maybe not - it might be right or wrong. But it fits the forum of the fallacy, if you think it's incorrect.

A reason I called 'if you ban x, only outlalws will have x' a fallacy is because it fools many people into thinking it completely addressed the issue of 'banning x' when it does the opposite, preventing consideration of the primary purpose of the ban - how many outlaws will not have x if it's banned?

The implication of the phrase - without saying it explicitly - is that every law-abiding citizen will no longer have 'x' but every criminal who has 'x' will continue to do so.

And that may or may not be the case.

Let's take an example - say handguns are banned. Two possibilites are, there's a significant reduction in criminals with handguns; or there is no reduction.

Which is the case? That saying offers exactly nothing to answer the question - while pretending to answer the policy with that implied 'there will be no reduction with criminals'.

But then you need to look at the question. The US is in a unique situation with its large number of guns in circulation, making any limit difficults. But when you look at the number of guns criminals get by stealing them, it's pretty clear there would be a reduction in the supply to steal, and therefore fewer for criminals, and raising the cost to them.

Since the saying does nothing to address the issue but make an insinuation without any basis, I'd call it a fallacy. Which is not to say it's always wrong, jjust as with others.

But you're skipping the second part of the argument. The first part - if we ban legal access to guns, it will also drive down access for illegal ownership of guns by restricting supply - is perfectly valid. But what about the second part: does the benefit of making it more difficult for criminals to obtain guns justify the cost of eliminating the right of law-abiding citizens to possess them? That all boils down to a matter of opinion. You clearly feel as though it's a small price to pay to help restrict the flow of guns into the hands of those who would use them to harm others (I'm guessing that you neither own nor have any interest in owning guns yourself).

Well, actually, I haven't stated an opinion on the issue - I did point out the need for someone who did to state what they think those costs are and why they weigh them.

The answer about my owning guns is yet another fallacy, the 'ad hominem', having no relevance to the issue - if I don't, 'ya, see, you can't discuss the issue you hate guns', if I do, 'well that didn't prove anything'. It's just an attempt to bring in an irrelevant issue to avoid having to defend a position.

I feel as though it is an unnecessary and overreaching restriction to place on law-abiding citizens for an assumed reduction in crime (I don't personally own guns, I have no interest in owning guns, I've never even fired a gun).

Making it even more clear why it's irrelevant if I own guns.

The benefit doesn't justify the cost in my opinion, and that's where there's a massive disconnect in the gun debate in this country right now. And it's a disconnect that is never going to change. The gun culture in our country goes down to our core, to the point where the founding fathers put an amendment about arms into the Bill of Rights before anything about due process or a trial by jury or freedom from cruel and unusual punishment. Fighting against guns is a losing battle on a national scale.

You oversimply the issue. First, the importance of the second amendment is first, no one says they're in order of importance (if the founding father did I haven't heard it). It's sometimes argued the first one is there for a reason that's a bit more credible but after that I don't see any support for it (the right not to have the government execute you without a proper trial is less important?)

Second, the importance of the second amendment is easily attributable to how at the time that was our only national defense as a weak new nation - pretty strong issue.

That's changed greatly - we're now about 20 times the military of the biggest potential 'rival' and citizens with firearms are not an important part of that.

Third - and this is the oversimplify part - opposing SOME gun rights is not "opposing guns".

This is the same rhetoric as saying that people who vote against a military program are 'against the military' or that opposing a war means you're 'for the other country'.

First of all, unless someone opposes all guns everywhere including the military, you can't just say they're 'fighting against guns'. You have to be more specific and accurate about their position. Second, your simplified version is more of that ad hominem - 'you support a specific measure therefore anyone who isn't totally against guns has to disagree with you'.

We're not really in much disagreement about the need for the discussion to discuss the costs of each option and why one is more important, but that hasn't happened a lot here.

You state a conclusion about the cost, but there's not much support. I haven't stated much opinion on the issue at this point. Just the fallacies being argued so far.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
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Right, but "even if we save one life" is so extreme a position as to practically be a strawman. Is anyone saying that here?

Putting speed regulators and breathalyzer interlocks on cars would be seen as onerous, but would save a hell of a lot more lives than anything else being discussed here.

Funny enough, I have come out in support of breathalyzer locks on all cars.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
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That's a pretty horrible counterargument, however.

First, because as has been pointed out repeatedly, making firearms illegal doesn't mean criminals won't have them, any more than it means they don't have access to cocaine and heroin now.

Second, even if you magically made all guns disappear and magically prevent them from coming into the country, that doesn't get rid of violent crime. It just makes it harder to defend against.



It's not just because criminals have guns. But certainly, making it so they have them and we do not is even worse.

Every one of your arguments is wrong to some degree.

1. Yes, making firearms illegal doesn't mean criminals won't have them, but it has NOT whatsoever been shown it's "any more than cocaine and heroin".

That is a false analogy. It's entirely possible the availability of guns will be less. The implicatio of your claim is that everything that's banned is equally available. It's not.

2. No, if all guns could be made to magically disappear, it's incorrect that the only effect would be 'making violent crimer harder to protect against'. That is NOT all it would do.

It would also make violent crime harder to commit. Not impossible, but harder. It is easier and more effective to use a gun in many/most violent crimes than other weapons.

As just one example, you count not at all the issue of how many new crimes would happen with all the more guns if every 'law abiding citizen' had one.

How many people who don't commit a crime without a gun might have a moment of weakness if they had one? How many situations more would have violence?

For example, when Gabby Giffords was shot, there was a law-abiding citizen there with a gun. He pulled it out to stop the violence. He came as he says within one hafl of a second of shooting a man to shoot a perpetrator. He didn't. It turns out the guy he almost shot as a perpetrator was actually the guy who was tackling the gunman. The increase in guns causes bad things as well as when they are used for stopping crimnals.

3. Your 'making it so criminals have them and we do not is certainly worse' is not supported.

You ignore the issue of how many fewer criminals have them as a result of fewer in circulation - that's wrong. You ignore the tradeoffs. It's not "certainly worse". It's maybe.

The only gun really relevant to that is concealable handguns, and there's a lot to weigh between 'everyone can carry one' and 'only but fewer criminals can carry them'.
 
Feb 6, 2007
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Now onto guns, we see the price of gun availability in the news almost every day, sometimes in quite spectacular fashion. Over 11K homicides in 2009. In exchange for 11K men, women, and children every year, the benefit must be pretty awesome right? Wrong. Firstly, technology advances are making guns more deadly, not less. Secondly, if all pistols and assault rifles up and disappeared from this country tomorrow, life would go on, quite literally for many thousands of people murdered with guns every year, and the incidence of violent homicides would plummet greatly. Gun advocates might chime in that they are less "free", but their claims would be no more valid than a non gun owner claiming to be less free if their XBOX is taken away.

I agree with this, but do you really think this is a realistic scenario? There are as many guns in this country as people, and the rhetoric of the past few months has shown us that many gun owners swear they will not surrender their weapons without a fight. The idea of complete disarmament is as useless to the debate as envisioning a world with teleporters to replace cars and end traffic fatalities; it's a nice theory, but it is unequivocally impossible in a real world scenario. Rather than discussing ideal scenarios, we need to think about the reality we live in and what compromises we can reach to ensure that gun owners are allowed to continue owning guns legally while keeping them out of the hands of those who would use them to harm others.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
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I agree with this, but do you really think this is a realistic scenario? There are as many guns in this country as people, and the rhetoric of the past few months has shown us that many gun owners swear they will not surrender their weapons without a fight. The idea of complete disarmament is as useless to the debate as envisioning a world with teleporters to replace cars and end traffic fatalities; it's a nice theory, but it is unequivocally impossible in a real world scenario. Rather than discussing ideal scenarios, we need to think about the reality we live in and what compromises we can reach to ensure that gun owners are allowed to continue owning guns legally while keeping them out of the hands of those who would use them to harm others.

People have made the 'if all of a type or all guns were gone' hypthetical to make a point about something, but no one is saying it's possible or the issue in gun control.

Don't confuse arguing something 'in theory' to make a point with claiming that the 'ideal' is actually being suggested.
 

crashtestdummy

Platinum Member
Feb 18, 2010
2,893
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I'm afraid I haven't read through this whole thread, so some points in here may have been proposed by others. I apologize for that.

First of all, I think gun violence is a problem. About 30,000 people die each year from guns in the US, a rate that is MUCH higher than any other developed nation (about 2.5x higher than Switzerland, and 3x higher than Israel in homicides, the closest rivals). We also own about twice as many guns per capita as Switzerland.

Second, let's think about what kind of guns are used in homicides, and what kind of crimes are resulting in gun deaths. Now, detailed reports of exactly what model are used are not generally available, but the FBI does have some rough-cut statistics. From the FBI's data banks, we can also get a good idea of how many are killed by mass shootings annually. From this and the links in the last paragraph, some things become apparent.

  • Guns were the tool used in about 2/3 of all murders.
  • Of cases where a gun type is reported, only about 6% of them were caused by "rifles", not even necessarily of the type that would be banned.
  • By contrast, of cases where the type is reported, nearly 90% of gun murders were committed using a handgun
  • There are about 100 people who die in mass shootings annually on average. Not zero, but far less than the 10K overall number. Focusing on mass killings as the motive for gun control thus doesn't seem to make much sense.
  • That means that most killings are done by handguns, on a small scale.
  • There are about 300 million guns out there, meaning that only one in 30,000 will cause a homicide in any given year.
From all this, it seems to me that the attempt to reduce gun violence now being proposed make no sense. Mass killings, while awful, don't make up much of the real problem when compared to handgun violence. Thus, worrying about "assault weapons" and large clips is more or less pointless. Training and gun safety won't make much impact, as there are only about 600 deaths annually from accidents. Gun buybacks aren't effective, as you'd have to buy back 30,000 guns to prevent one murder.


So what will work? Limiting overall firearm sales (even if it were constitutional) won't do a whole lot, as guns are a durable good that will last decades. Limiting ammo sales might be more effective, but again probably won't be considered constitutional. Mandatory additional punishments (5 years, say, as suggested by Steven Levitt) for any crime involving a gun might be the most effective option. It's a little draconian, and may not do much to prevent premeditated killings. It holds a chance of reducing murders committed during the commission of other crimes (robbery, for example).
 

Mxylplyx

Diamond Member
Mar 21, 2007
4,197
101
106
I agree with this, but do you really think this is a realistic scenario? There are as many guns in this country as people, and the rhetoric of the past few months has shown us that many gun owners swear they will not surrender their weapons without a fight. The idea of complete disarmament is as useless to the debate as envisioning a world with teleporters to replace cars and end traffic fatalities; it's a nice theory, but it is unequivocally impossible in a real world scenario. Rather than discussing ideal scenarios, we need to think about the reality we live in and what compromises we can reach to ensure that gun owners are allowed to continue owning guns legally while keeping them out of the hands of those who would use them to harm others.

I proposed earlier in this thread a massively financed long running public buy back with a lengthy amnesty period. It would take a while, and the transition would be messy, but I think it would be a worthy endeavor. The next generation of kids raised in that environment would think nothing of it. Regarding the rhetoric of those who say they would fight, it's mostly that...rhetoric. I don't suggest the police go knocking on doors, but the criminal penalties for getting caught with one would make most seriously consider whether its worth risking their and/or their families livelihood if they are caught with it.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
350
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I don't agree with Lynyrd Skynyrd much on politics - they excuse Watergate - but:

Two feets they come a creepin'
Like a black cat do
And two bodies are layin' naked
Creeper think he got nothin' to lose
So he creeps into this house, yeah
And unlocks the door
And as a man's reaching for his trousers
Shoots him full of .38 holes

(Chorus)
Mr.Saturday night special
Got a barrel that's blue and cold
Ain't no good for nothin'
But put a man six feet in a hole

Big Jim's been drinkin' whiskey
And playing poker on a losin' night
And pretty soon, Big Jim starts a thinkin'
Somebody been cheatin' and lyin'
So Big Jim commences to fightin'
I wouldn't tell you no lie
And Big Jim done pull his pistol
Shot his friend right between the eyes

...

Well hand guns are made for killin'
They ain't no good for nothin' else
And if you like to drink your whiskey
You might even shoot yourself
So why don't we dump 'em people
To the bottom of the sea
Before some ole fool come around here
Wanna shoot either you or me
 

Charles Kozierok

Elite Member
May 14, 2012
6,762
1
0
1. Yes, making firearms illegal doesn't mean criminals won't have them, but it has NOT whatsoever been shown it's "any more than cocaine and heroin".

That is a false analogy. It's entirely possible the availability of guns will be less. The implicatio of your claim is that everything that's banned is equally available. It's not.

Yes, it is entirely possible that it will be less.

It's also entirely possible that it will be less, but still substantial.

Regardless, even if the analogy is not perfect, it makes a lot more sense than comparing guns to anthrax, which makes no sense at all.

We have precedent in this country for prohibiting things that people want. The same thing happens every time -- the items are hidden from confiscation, or made on the sly, or smuggled in.

Given that track record, if you think my analogy to drugs or alcohol is false, then try to prove it. Simply stating that it is false is uncompelling.

2. No, if all guns could be made to magically disappear, it's incorrect that the only effect would be 'making violent crimer harder to protect against'. That is NOT all it would do.

It would also make violent crime harder to commit. Not impossible, but harder. It is easier and more effective to use a gun in many/most violent crimes than other weapons.

6'4" 225 lb guy breaks into my house and confronts my 5'4" 130 lb wife and 4'6" 75 lb son. Who's going to win that encounter?

There's a reason why guns have been called "the great equalizer".

And of course, all guns *won't* magically disappear if they are banned. They'll only disappear from people who follow the law. So in that scenario, not only is my wife outsized, she may well be facing an assailant with a gun on top of it. She won't have one -- it's illegal.

3. Your 'making it so criminals have them and we do not is certainly worse' is not supported.

It's supported by definition, and by practical example.

There are millions of people who use cocaine in the United States. They are all criminals, because cocaine is illegal.

If guns are made illegal, then law-abiding citizens won't have them -- because they did, they would no longer be law-abiding.

Anyone willing to break the law against breaking and entering or rape or murder isn't going to care about any law banning guns. He'll get it on the black market.

So, sorry, it is in fact very well supported.