Got Gas? U.S. Economy to Worsen as Gas Prices Skyrocket

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GrGr

Diamond Member
Sep 25, 2003
3,204
1
76
I am worried...we only have 30 years of oil left on the planet...and that was in 1970!!!

Well, in 1970 the US had not yet reached peak oil. Mexico and the UK had not peaked either, nor had Saudi Arabia. There may be remaining oil, but it won't be cheap. There is a limit to this planet, unfortunately.
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
I saw an article that predicted gasoline at $9/gallon this winter in Alaska. Alaska gets its gasoline by boat, and this year only one of the three regular barges (thankfully loaded with heating oil) made it in before brutal cold set in unseasonably early. Kinda shortsighted that Alaska didn't insist on pipelines into Alaska for refined products when they were laying the pipelines out of Alaska.

One good thing about high gas prices - they are driving us toward more efficient vehicles. I personally know several people who have sold gas guzzlers like fullsize pickups, large SUVs, and large automobiles and bought midsize or small automobiles, pickups, or SUVs. I support anyone's right to purchase whatever vehicle they desire and can afford (as long as it meets reasonable government standards), but most people would agree that the fewer people drive inefficient vehicles, the better off we all are.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
12-6-2011

http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/dail...BzdGNhdANob21lBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25zBHRlc3QD;_ylv=3

It’s Time To Start Freaking Out About Oil Prices


Right now, much of the global economy is weak... and oil is still over $100 a barrel!


A few years ago, when oil prices first hit this level, the news came as an absolute shock. And soon, when gas hit $4 a gallon, the entire national conversation changed.

Specifically, $100+ oil caused many Americans to buy different cars and drive less. And it put a choke chain on the economy, throttling growth. And, shortly thereafter, the economy tanked.


And if the economy ever threatens to start growing at its full potential, meanwhile, oil prices will likely keep right on going up.


Until they choke off growth again.


And so on.

It has gotten to the point, in fact, that oil prices may start to act as a natural Central Bank on the world economy--raising costs when the economy starts to heat up and cutting them when it cools.

And oil prices are already over $100 a barrel.


So we hate to think what will happen if and when we finally do see a vigorous economic recovery.
 

cybrsage

Lifer
Nov 17, 2011
13,021
0
0
Well, in 1970 the US had not yet reached peak oil. Mexico and the UK had not peaked either, nor had Saudi Arabia. There may be remaining oil, but it won't be cheap. There is a limit to this planet, unfortunately.

Haven't we hit peak oil a dozen or so times in the last 30 years now?
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
http://money.cnn.com/2011/12/05/news/economy/gasoline_export/index.htm?hpt=hp_t2

I love it. We have huge surpluses here in the US for gasoline but instead of driving prices down they just export it and keep milking everyone. Awesome system we have.

We have been doing that for quite a while now. I am not sure about the recent increase but most of our gas exports go to Mexico who also happens to be one of our largest suppliers of oil.

They sell us their spare oil and in return we refine some into gas and sell it back to them.
 

EagleKeeper

Discussion Club Moderator<br>Elite Member
Staff member
Oct 30, 2000
42,589
5
0
I saw an article that predicted gasoline at $9/gallon this winter in Alaska. Alaska gets its gasoline by boat, and this year only one of the three regular barges (thankfully loaded with heating oil) made it in before brutal cold set in unseasonably early. Kinda shortsighted that Alaska didn't insist on pipelines into Alaska for refined products when they were laying the pipelines out of Alaska.

One good thing about high gas prices - they are driving us toward more efficient vehicles. I personally know several people who have sold gas guzzlers like fullsize pickups, large SUVs, and large automobiles and bought midsize or small automobiles, pickups, or SUVs. I support anyone's right to purchase whatever vehicle they desire and can afford (as long as it meets reasonable government standards), but most people would agree that the fewer people drive inefficient vehicles, the better off we all are.

Post #2227

Look at where the refineries are; the cost would have been outrageous for the # people serviced to pump refined product up from the states.

And the hassles of distributing to every geographic area from Anchorage. You would have eco-kooks up in arms all over. A second large pipeline back up to the North Slope and a second heading NW to Nome.
Major areas would be Nome, Barrow and Fairbanks. Kodiak and Juno will need tanker/barges anyhow.
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
Post #2227

Look at where the refineries are; the cost would have been outrageous for the # people serviced to pump refined product up from the states.

And the hassles of distributing to every geographic area from Anchorage. You would have eco-kooks up in arms all over. A second large pipeline back up to the North Slope and a second heading NW to Nome.
Major areas would be Nome, Barrow and Fairbanks. Kodiak and Juno will need tanker/barges anyhow.
Good points - and that's probably where I saw that article. LOL

As far as oil prices cooling off the economy - at least in the USA, that function is performed by the fed jacking up interest rates. High gas prices might well be better for the average middle class family, who typically have a mortgage and one or two car payments. The rich probably don't care either way, and the poor are getting hosed either way, so . . .
 

mshan

Diamond Member
Nov 16, 2004
7,868
0
71
There was a talking head on CNBC today who said U. S. would be largest exporter of oil in the world by 2017.


Regarding gas prices in the more immediate term, here is Sharon Epperson's 2012 prediction:
"Gasoline Go-Go Again

Retail gasoline prices rise above $4 a gallon, toward the record high of 2008. Crude oil prices may provide the foundation, but gasoline will likely take off on its own merits. Gasoline futures, more than oil, drive prices at the pump. Gasoline prices usually are at their lows in the fourth quarter and peak between March and May, as refineries undergo maintenance and switch from winter-grade to summer-grade gasoline. Further fueling the surge: the closure of a large refinery near Philadelphia and possible shutdowns of two more along the Delaware River."

http://www.cnbc.com/id/45507940?slide=6
 

cybrsage

Lifer
Nov 17, 2011
13,021
0
0
so... we ran out of oil 11 years ago? what are they pumping up with the oil pumps?

:eek:

I know! Maybe the aliens are putting more oil in the ground for us because they love us or something. They did help us build the pyramids and all..

:ninja:
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Oil back over $100 today

12-12-2011

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/futur...BzdGNhdANob21lBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25zBHRlc3QD;_ylv=3

Wall Street rises with oil prices


The market earlier rose as much as 1 percent as crude oil prices spiked above $100 a barrel.

U.S. crude oil futures prices rose more than 3 percent at the session high, trading above $100 a barrel, with traders citing tension between the West and Iran as a possible trigger.
 

desy

Diamond Member
Jan 13, 2000
5,446
214
106
The US did peak in oil in 1970 and has never produced as much as it did back then, thats what the 1970 prediction was and it came true.
High prices forced further devolpment and exploration worldwide which created the next peak which was about 2005 or so
 
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ZaneNBK

Golden Member
Sep 14, 2000
1,674
0
76
paid $2.71 for gas yesterday morning...

$3.01 less my $0.30 kroger discount...

I paid $2.29 for 91 octane premium this weekend in Wichita...

Then I went in and told the manager he needed to fix his pump pricing so he wouldn't get fired, it was supposed to be $3.29. (and yes, I have a high compression car)
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
I paid $2.29 for 91 octane premium this weekend in Wichita...

Then I went in and told the manager he needed to fix his pump pricing so he wouldn't get fired, it was supposed to be $3.29. (and yes, I have a high compression car)

The President really needs to launch an investigation into Chicago area.

Gas jumped yesterday 30 cents for regular from $3.39 to $3.69

Oil has dropped $6 today to $94 after hanging around $100 all week.

Gold dropped $100