The sad reality is they could take over whenever they wanted. They are disproportionately armed and have had 30 years of RW media programming them to have this insatiable bloodlust for their fellow Americans. They have the majority of law enforcement, especially in non urban areas and likely a large portion if not outright majority of the military as well.
If you look at RW Twitter the newest idea they're floating is for red states/areas to cut off the food supply to cities as a way to force their demands if not simply outright starve people. This is generally met with a certain glee that is difficult to describe.
I am not sure how much of the "food supply and farms" they control, but a move like this coupled with even lukewarm support from LEO and the military would leave hundreds of thousands dead and our country changed forever.
In their eyes, non-conservative views are already unacceptable. Now elections (that they lose) are unacceptable. What happens when you don't have the consent of the governed, and they are armed to the teeth and hate your guts??
You can draw your own conclusions.