http://video.pbs.org/video/2290469964
Specific comments start around 7:20 mark, but whole extended clip is also good (5 minute mark and 6 minute mark are also good starting points to get interesting tidbits on how uncertain polling can be).
Rassmussen: http://electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Info/rasmussen.html
Gallup seems to be other big outlier this cycle.
Specific comments start around 7:20 mark, but whole extended clip is also good (5 minute mark and 6 minute mark are also good starting points to get interesting tidbits on how uncertain polling can be).
Rassmussen: http://electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Info/rasmussen.html
Gallup seems to be other big outlier this cycle.
"Perhaps 90 or 95 percent of the time, taking a simple average of the polls will work just about as well as the more complicated FiveThirtyEight method. But this is rare instance where taking all the polls at face value may be a mistake, and the additional checks-and-balances the FiveThirtyEight method applies are worth the trouble."
http://forums.anandtech.com/showthread.php?t=2266842
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