Well, by all accounts a stock 1.33/266 Athlon =/+ a stock 1.7GHz P4. We could debate specifics forever, but by and large that is a fact. With the release of the 1.4/266, Thunderbird now outpaces a stock P4 1.7GHz machine (again, by and large, not 100% across the board.) I'm still amazed that when P4 vs Athlon comparisons are ran, it is always a 1.33 against a 1.7. How about we compare a 1.3 and a 1.4 Athlon/P4 to each other? I don't understand the logic in comparing a machine with a 400MHz clock advantage, except to show what I stated in the first couple sentences. 😀
The "official" desktop Palomino is rumored to be released initially at 1533MHz, with faster speeds after that. Originally slated for 1700MHz+ by the end of the year, supposedly 1600MHz is all we will see by Q4 of this year. I wouldn't count my chickens before they're hatched, of course. And Intel had better have Northwood ramping up 2GHz+ by that time, or I'm afraid the Palomino desktops are going to outpace them quite easily. (IMHO, Willamette, even at 2GHz would be toast to a 1533 Palomino.) This isn't meant to start a flame shoot -- this is a personal opinion and the reverse could certainly come true (a Northwood outpacing Palomino easily) but we'll just have to wait and see. It may well be another "no clear winner" comparison, but who knows.
As a side-note, am I the only one salivating at the idea of a Palomino 1533 or 1600 paired with PC2700 (DDR333, whatever you want to call it). Palomino is showing an amazing gain already over the original Thunderbird core even at 133, and at ~160 nearly equals PC600 RDRAM marks (without the high latency.)