DUMP YOUR STOCKS NOW!

[mithrandir2001]

The AFC won the Super Bowl, which means it will be a bad year for US equities. Dump 'em now!





Disclaimer: for irrational, superstitious peeps only.

 

[EXman]

nefs 'R U

 

[Tates]

Year end S&P 500 performance has mirrored January NYSE numbers 40 out of the last 50 years....

 

[Ladies Man]

you sir are an idiot

 

[Zenmervolt]

Damn, your new icon threw me off for a second there mithrandir2001.

ZV

 

[mithrandir2001]

I'm not neffin'. It's one of those strange coincidences where the stock market's performance in the coming year is correlated to the conference that wins the Super Bowl. NFC = positive, AFC = negative

 

[mithrandir2001]

<< Damn, your new icon threw me off for a second there mithrandir2001.

ZV >>


Yippee, ZV is the first to make a comment about the new avatar. Call it my way to celebrate Black History Month.

 

[brxndxn]

you sir are an idiot

a wee bit harsh.. I wish I could explain that to you with severe violence.

 

[WageSlave]

yeah, its cool when anyone encourages people to spontaneously dump stocks......because panic dumping doesnt hurt the economy at all

 

[BeauJangles]

w0w, superstition is stupid. granted there is a correlation, but it's only coincidence. It's kinda like how every time the redskins have a game at home the Sunday before the Presidential Election day: if they win the incumbant party loses the election and if they lose the incumbant wins. All coincidence.

 

[zeon]

wow... alot of people missed the quite obvious irreverant and sarcastic nature of the original post... i on the other hand have always found fluke indicators amusing....

 

[Keego]

I'm also selling my cars, my dogs, and my wife.


(I own none of the aformentioned stuff )

 

[tedthebear]

:Q This weekend, Bill Gates said that he doesn't think the economy will improve in 2002! Tomorrow, look out below!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[SnoopCat]

the prophecy of the superbowl is true :disgust::|:Q:frown:

 

[Squisher]

You've just about talked me into it, I've lost $10,000 in two days. I just hope it's a correction.



BTW-that $10,000 is in a stock that has gone up a ton in the last 6 months, so it's no big deal(I hope).

 

[Doggiedog]

Well, you also have to take in the Tiger Woods effect. Whenever he wins a tournament, the market usually moves up that week. I think he is winning the Buick Tournament so far this weekend if I recall. You may want to postpone dumping your stocks for another week.

 

[burnedout]

Personally, I've never put much thought or confidence into this theory. I'm in for the long haul anyway.

However, some mathematicians and economists have.

 

[911paramedic]

Those correlations are soooo crazy its funny to me. "So goes January, so goes the rest of the year" , "AFC = down year", etc. You can draw those conclusions for almost anything if you research long enough.

<---buying stocks because they are cheap now.

 

[mithrandir2001]

<< Personally, I've never put much thought or confidence into this theory. I'm in for the long haul anyway.

However, some mathematicians and economists have. >>


From that link:

"What accounts for the surprisingly strong predictive power of the Super Bowl theory in the early years? "Statistical fluke," Sommers suggests."

NO, REALLY? It's just a fluke? Damn, I thought the Super Bowl pricing model was far more estimable than CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model). Who needs academic theory when tea leaves work better?

The sad part is that some otherwise intelligent people actually BELIEVE(D) this Super Bowl theory could predict future market pricing. Their intellectual failing comes from the false assumption that if you fit a regression line to a bunch of points - and the resulting model has a high r-squared value - then it must be a "true" model.

 

[amdskip]

bah, too many nefs

 

[tedthebear]

:Q "The sad part is that some otherwise intelligent people actually BELIEVE(D) this Super Bowl theory could predict future market pricing. Their intellectual failing comes from the false assumption that if you fit a regression line to a bunch of points - and the resulting model has a high r-squared value - then it must be a "true" model."

WHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA? Run that by me again, I failed Geometry.

 

[Double Trouble]

Yep, too many folks out there that can't seem to grasp the fact that correlation does not equal causation. Of course, you should also take into account the duration of the 'experiment' when looking at such correlations. For example, if something's happened 10 times, and each time something else also happened, that doesn't mean much. Now what if the Superbowl had been going on for the last 100 years, and every year it had correctly predicted the direction of the market? The odds of that happening by some statistical fluke are pretty remote, so you'd almost have to start looking to see if perhaps there wasn't some sort of causational factor in there, such as the fans of one conference being wealthier than the other or something like that.

Forget all that CAPM, sound business practices BS, I'm picking my stocks based on the number of medals won by Algeria this year in the Winter Olympics darn it

 

[burnedout]

WHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA? Run that by me again, I failed Geometry

In it's simplist form, regression analysis = Rise/Run.

 

[UnixFreak]

I never complain about a market like this. If this is true, I see a buying opportunity in undervalued stocks