- May 21, 2001
- 26,147
- 4,805
- 126
Not much to say this week - virtually every team that played last week did as they were predicted. No major upsets or anything interesting to talk about (I guess there was Virginia over Virginia Tech, but my computer has always said VT wasn't very good). LSU finally put in a good performance and bumped itself ahead of Georgia in both optimizations this week - which should make some readers happy. I still think that if Georgia played again like they did last time they met LSU, then LSU will lose.
Up to now, I've been lazy and really had no baseline for the rankings. It is now set so that the bottom 1A team (Army) has a value of zero, and all the rankings are the number of points that each team is expected to beat Army. Since all predictions are subtractions of two rankings, moving the baseline has no effect at all on the predictions.
Place Win / Ranking Win ( Place Score / Ranking Score ) Team name
01 / 51.2 ( 01 / 61.3 ) Oklahoma
02 / 49.3 ( 02 / 56.5 ) Southern California
03 / 45.9 ( 03 / 55.2 ) LSU
04 / 44.9 ( 06 / 51.3 ) Georgia
05 / 44.5 ( 04 / 51.9 ) Michigan
06 / 43.7 ( 05 / 51.3 ) Florida St.
07 / 42.8 ( 12 / 45.7 ) Ohio St.
08 / 42.6 ( 07 / 50.6 ) Texas
09 / 41.4 ( 09 / 47.3 ) Miami Florida
10 / 41.0 ( 08 / 49.9 ) Kansas St.
11 / 40.9 ( 14 / 45.2 ) Tennessee
12 / 40.9 ( 10 / 47.1 ) Miami Ohio
13 / 40.7 ( 11 / 45.9 ) Iowa
14 / 39.8 ( 16 / 43.8 ) Purdue
15 / 39.8 ( 17 / 43.7 ) Washington St.
16 / 39.5 ( 20 / 42.6 ) Utah
17 / 39.0 ( 15 / 44.7 ) Boise St.
18 / 37.8 ( 19 / 43.0 ) Nebraska
19 / 37.5 ( 13 / 45.2 ) Minnesota
20 / 37.3 ( 21 / 42.5 ) Maryland
21 / 36.7 ( 24 / 41.9 ) Oklahoma St.
22 / 36.1 ( 22 / 42.5 ) Mississippi
23 / 36.1 ( 18 / 43.3 ) Arkansas
24 / 36.1 ( 23 / 42.3 ) Florida
25 / 35.6 ( 26 / 40.7 ) Michigan St.
26 / 34.9 ( 27 / 40.6 ) Clemson
27 / 34.9 ( 40 / 36.7 ) Bowling Green
28 / 34.6 ( 43 / 34.8 ) TCU
29 / 34.2 ( 31 / 39.0 ) West Virginia
30 / 34.2 ( 41 / 35.4 ) Oregon
31 / 33.7 ( 34 / 38.8 ) Wisconsin
32 / 33.6 ( 25 / 40.9 ) Virginia Tech
33 / 33.2 ( 44 / 34.4 ) Southern Miss
34 / 33.0 ( 36 / 38.1 ) New Mexico
35 / 33.0 ( 38 / 37.0 ) Pittsburgh
36 / 32.8 ( 29 / 39.8 ) California
37 / 32.8 ( 33 / 38.9 ) Oregon St.
38 / 32.7 ( 35 / 38.2 ) North Carolina St.
39 / 32.6 ( 30 / 39.1 ) Virginia
40 / 32.4 ( 32 / 38.9 ) Missouri
41 / 32.4 ( 28 / 40.0 ) Auburn
42 / 32.3 ( 37 / 37.7 ) Texas Tech
43 / 31.9 ( 39 / 36.8 ) Colorado St.
44 / 31.4 ( 42 / 35.0 ) Connecticut
45 / 31.1 ( 46 / 33.6 ) Northern Illinois
46 / 30.9 ( 47 / 33.5 ) Notre Dame
47 / 30.3 ( 53 / 32.0 ) Louisville
48 / 29.9 ( 45 / 34.2 ) Boston College
49 / 29.4 ( 48 / 33.5 ) Air Force
50 / 28.7 ( 56 / 31.2 ) Marshall
51 / 28.6 ( 58 / 30.9 ) North Texas
52 / 28.5 ( 50 / 32.3 ) Georgia Tech
53 / 28.3 ( 51 / 32.1 ) Washington
54 / 28.1 ( 61 / 30.2 ) Hawaii
55 / 27.9 ( 64 / 29.7 ) Northwestern
56 / 27.8 ( 49 / 32.3 ) Memphis
57 / 27.7 ( 59 / 30.5 ) UCLA
58 / 27.3 ( 66 / 29.5 ) Tulsa
59 / 27.2 ( 67 / 29.5 ) Toledo
60 / 27.0 ( 54 / 31.7 ) Navy
61 / 26.7 ( 65 / 29.6 ) UNLV
62 / 26.6 ( 60 / 30.5 ) Kansas
63 / 26.6 ( 55 / 31.7 ) South Carolina
64 / 25.9 ( 62 / 29.9 ) Colorado
65 / 25.9 ( 57 / 31.1 ) Wake Forest
66 / 25.7 ( 71 / 27.2 ) Fresno St.
67 / 25.1 ( 68 / 28.4 ) San Diego St.
68 / 24.7 ( 52 / 32.1 ) Alabama
69 / 24.6 ( 63 / 29.8 ) Syracuse
70 / 24.2 ( 69 / 27.7 ) Arizona St.
71 / 23.9 ( 75 / 24.3 ) Houston
72 / 23.0 ( 77 / 23.8 ) Stanford
73 / 22.4 ( 78 / 23.6 ) South Florida
74 / 22.3 ( 72 / 26.2 ) Rutgers
75 / 22.1 ( 74 / 24.7 ) Brigham Young
76 / 21.3 ( 80 / 22.6 ) Texas A&M
77 / 21.2 ( 81 / 21.9 ) Nevada
78 / 21.2 ( 76 / 23.9 ) Akron
79 / 21.1 ( 70 / 27.4 ) Penn St.
80 / 19.9 ( 84 / 21.0 ) Louisiana Tech
81 / 19.9 ( 86 / 20.6 ) UAB
82 / 19.8 ( 79 / 23.5 ) Wyoming
83 / 19.3 ( 73 / 25.9 ) Kentucky
84 / 19.2 ( 83 / 21.2 ) Duke
85 / 18.7 ( 87 / 20.2 ) Rice
86 / 18.5 ( 82 / 21.3 ) Cincinnati
87 / 18.4 ( 89 / 18.3 ) Troy St.
88 / 18.0 ( 85 / 20.8 ) Western Michigan
89 / 16.9 ( 93 / 17.0 ) Tulane
90 / 16.2 ( 91 / 17.6 ) Kent St.
91 / 15.4 ( 94 / 15.9 ) Arizona
92 / 14.6 ( 88 / 18.7 ) North Carolina
93 / 14.3 ( 101 / 13.8 ) Baylor
94 / 14.3 ( 99 / 14.3 ) Ball St.
95 / 14.2 ( 92 / 17.6 ) Middle Tennessee
96 / 14.1 ( 98 / 14.7 ) Iowa St.
97 / 13.8 ( 97 / 15.0 ) San Jose St.
98 / 13.2 ( 90 / 17.7 ) Vanderbilt
99 / 12.8 ( 105 / 12.9 ) Mississippi St.
100 / 12.6 ( 96 / 15.4 ) Illinois
101 / 12.3 ( 106 / 12.8 ) Louisiana-Lafayette
102 / 12.1 ( 100 / 13.9 ) Indiana
103 / 11.6 ( 95 / 15.4 ) Utah St.
104 / 10.1 ( 102 / 13.8 ) Idaho
105 / 10.1 ( 108 / 8.9 ) Arkansas St.
106 / 9.7 ( 103 / 13.6 ) New Mexico St.
107 / 8.8 ( 104 / 13.6 ) Temple
108 / 7.8 ( 109 / 8.8 ) UCF
109 / 7.5 ( 111 / 6.6 ) Eastern Michigan
110 / 7.2 ( 110 / 8.1 ) Central Michigan
111 / 6.9 ( 107 / 10.4 ) Ohio
112 / 4.9 ( 112 / 6.4 ) East Carolina
113 / 4.3 ( 114 / 4.0 ) Buffalo
114 / 3.1 ( 113 / 4.8 ) Louisiana Monroe
115 / 3.0 ( 116 / 1.3 ) UTEP
116 / 2.5 ( 115 / 3.0 ) SMU
117 / 0.0 ( 117 / 0.0 ) Army
Up to now, I've been lazy and really had no baseline for the rankings. It is now set so that the bottom 1A team (Army) has a value of zero, and all the rankings are the number of points that each team is expected to beat Army. Since all predictions are subtractions of two rankings, moving the baseline has no effect at all on the predictions.
Place Win / Ranking Win ( Place Score / Ranking Score ) Team name
01 / 51.2 ( 01 / 61.3 ) Oklahoma
02 / 49.3 ( 02 / 56.5 ) Southern California
03 / 45.9 ( 03 / 55.2 ) LSU
04 / 44.9 ( 06 / 51.3 ) Georgia
05 / 44.5 ( 04 / 51.9 ) Michigan
06 / 43.7 ( 05 / 51.3 ) Florida St.
07 / 42.8 ( 12 / 45.7 ) Ohio St.
08 / 42.6 ( 07 / 50.6 ) Texas
09 / 41.4 ( 09 / 47.3 ) Miami Florida
10 / 41.0 ( 08 / 49.9 ) Kansas St.
11 / 40.9 ( 14 / 45.2 ) Tennessee
12 / 40.9 ( 10 / 47.1 ) Miami Ohio
13 / 40.7 ( 11 / 45.9 ) Iowa
14 / 39.8 ( 16 / 43.8 ) Purdue
15 / 39.8 ( 17 / 43.7 ) Washington St.
16 / 39.5 ( 20 / 42.6 ) Utah
17 / 39.0 ( 15 / 44.7 ) Boise St.
18 / 37.8 ( 19 / 43.0 ) Nebraska
19 / 37.5 ( 13 / 45.2 ) Minnesota
20 / 37.3 ( 21 / 42.5 ) Maryland
21 / 36.7 ( 24 / 41.9 ) Oklahoma St.
22 / 36.1 ( 22 / 42.5 ) Mississippi
23 / 36.1 ( 18 / 43.3 ) Arkansas
24 / 36.1 ( 23 / 42.3 ) Florida
25 / 35.6 ( 26 / 40.7 ) Michigan St.
26 / 34.9 ( 27 / 40.6 ) Clemson
27 / 34.9 ( 40 / 36.7 ) Bowling Green
28 / 34.6 ( 43 / 34.8 ) TCU
29 / 34.2 ( 31 / 39.0 ) West Virginia
30 / 34.2 ( 41 / 35.4 ) Oregon
31 / 33.7 ( 34 / 38.8 ) Wisconsin
32 / 33.6 ( 25 / 40.9 ) Virginia Tech
33 / 33.2 ( 44 / 34.4 ) Southern Miss
34 / 33.0 ( 36 / 38.1 ) New Mexico
35 / 33.0 ( 38 / 37.0 ) Pittsburgh
36 / 32.8 ( 29 / 39.8 ) California
37 / 32.8 ( 33 / 38.9 ) Oregon St.
38 / 32.7 ( 35 / 38.2 ) North Carolina St.
39 / 32.6 ( 30 / 39.1 ) Virginia
40 / 32.4 ( 32 / 38.9 ) Missouri
41 / 32.4 ( 28 / 40.0 ) Auburn
42 / 32.3 ( 37 / 37.7 ) Texas Tech
43 / 31.9 ( 39 / 36.8 ) Colorado St.
44 / 31.4 ( 42 / 35.0 ) Connecticut
45 / 31.1 ( 46 / 33.6 ) Northern Illinois
46 / 30.9 ( 47 / 33.5 ) Notre Dame
47 / 30.3 ( 53 / 32.0 ) Louisville
48 / 29.9 ( 45 / 34.2 ) Boston College
49 / 29.4 ( 48 / 33.5 ) Air Force
50 / 28.7 ( 56 / 31.2 ) Marshall
51 / 28.6 ( 58 / 30.9 ) North Texas
52 / 28.5 ( 50 / 32.3 ) Georgia Tech
53 / 28.3 ( 51 / 32.1 ) Washington
54 / 28.1 ( 61 / 30.2 ) Hawaii
55 / 27.9 ( 64 / 29.7 ) Northwestern
56 / 27.8 ( 49 / 32.3 ) Memphis
57 / 27.7 ( 59 / 30.5 ) UCLA
58 / 27.3 ( 66 / 29.5 ) Tulsa
59 / 27.2 ( 67 / 29.5 ) Toledo
60 / 27.0 ( 54 / 31.7 ) Navy
61 / 26.7 ( 65 / 29.6 ) UNLV
62 / 26.6 ( 60 / 30.5 ) Kansas
63 / 26.6 ( 55 / 31.7 ) South Carolina
64 / 25.9 ( 62 / 29.9 ) Colorado
65 / 25.9 ( 57 / 31.1 ) Wake Forest
66 / 25.7 ( 71 / 27.2 ) Fresno St.
67 / 25.1 ( 68 / 28.4 ) San Diego St.
68 / 24.7 ( 52 / 32.1 ) Alabama
69 / 24.6 ( 63 / 29.8 ) Syracuse
70 / 24.2 ( 69 / 27.7 ) Arizona St.
71 / 23.9 ( 75 / 24.3 ) Houston
72 / 23.0 ( 77 / 23.8 ) Stanford
73 / 22.4 ( 78 / 23.6 ) South Florida
74 / 22.3 ( 72 / 26.2 ) Rutgers
75 / 22.1 ( 74 / 24.7 ) Brigham Young
76 / 21.3 ( 80 / 22.6 ) Texas A&M
77 / 21.2 ( 81 / 21.9 ) Nevada
78 / 21.2 ( 76 / 23.9 ) Akron
79 / 21.1 ( 70 / 27.4 ) Penn St.
80 / 19.9 ( 84 / 21.0 ) Louisiana Tech
81 / 19.9 ( 86 / 20.6 ) UAB
82 / 19.8 ( 79 / 23.5 ) Wyoming
83 / 19.3 ( 73 / 25.9 ) Kentucky
84 / 19.2 ( 83 / 21.2 ) Duke
85 / 18.7 ( 87 / 20.2 ) Rice
86 / 18.5 ( 82 / 21.3 ) Cincinnati
87 / 18.4 ( 89 / 18.3 ) Troy St.
88 / 18.0 ( 85 / 20.8 ) Western Michigan
89 / 16.9 ( 93 / 17.0 ) Tulane
90 / 16.2 ( 91 / 17.6 ) Kent St.
91 / 15.4 ( 94 / 15.9 ) Arizona
92 / 14.6 ( 88 / 18.7 ) North Carolina
93 / 14.3 ( 101 / 13.8 ) Baylor
94 / 14.3 ( 99 / 14.3 ) Ball St.
95 / 14.2 ( 92 / 17.6 ) Middle Tennessee
96 / 14.1 ( 98 / 14.7 ) Iowa St.
97 / 13.8 ( 97 / 15.0 ) San Jose St.
98 / 13.2 ( 90 / 17.7 ) Vanderbilt
99 / 12.8 ( 105 / 12.9 ) Mississippi St.
100 / 12.6 ( 96 / 15.4 ) Illinois
101 / 12.3 ( 106 / 12.8 ) Louisiana-Lafayette
102 / 12.1 ( 100 / 13.9 ) Indiana
103 / 11.6 ( 95 / 15.4 ) Utah St.
104 / 10.1 ( 102 / 13.8 ) Idaho
105 / 10.1 ( 108 / 8.9 ) Arkansas St.
106 / 9.7 ( 103 / 13.6 ) New Mexico St.
107 / 8.8 ( 104 / 13.6 ) Temple
108 / 7.8 ( 109 / 8.8 ) UCF
109 / 7.5 ( 111 / 6.6 ) Eastern Michigan
110 / 7.2 ( 110 / 8.1 ) Central Michigan
111 / 6.9 ( 107 / 10.4 ) Ohio
112 / 4.9 ( 112 / 6.4 ) East Carolina
113 / 4.3 ( 114 / 4.0 ) Buffalo
114 / 3.1 ( 113 / 4.8 ) Louisiana Monroe
115 / 3.0 ( 116 / 1.3 ) UTEP
116 / 2.5 ( 115 / 3.0 ) SMU
117 / 0.0 ( 117 / 0.0 ) Army
