Dow 9500 ... Where we go from here...

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mshan

Diamond Member
Nov 16, 2004
7,868
0
71
"Iceland collapsed. It was more of a hedge fund than a country, with it?s 200,000 population supporting a massive leveraged position in financial markets via risk loving bankers and financiers. There were approximately 200,000 British depositors in accounts offered by Icelandic banks. Local authorities (municipalities) and charities were also big investors, exposed for more than £700 million. As a result, the government has frozen Icelandic-owned assets in the United Kingdom ? using terrorism legislation, naturally ? to provide the basis for a partial recovery of the losses likely to be incurred."
http://londonbanker.blogspot.c...ulence-and-trends.html

Gotta wonder whether recent global sell off was triggered by really, really rich people that are worried about return of money, not any sort of return on money (replay of LEH cascade when hedge funds couldn't get their money out of Lehman's arm in England after bankruptcy was declared, which spiraled into AIG, which culminated in Black Wednesday in the credit markets).

 

RightIsWrong

Diamond Member
Apr 29, 2005
5,649
0
0
The bounce up is short sellers running it up so that they can crash it back down in the PM and make some real coin.

Hold on to your seats boys and girls, it will drop another 500+ by EOD.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: RightIsWrong
The bounce up is short sellers running it up so that they can crash it back down in the PM and make some real coin.
That doesn't make any sense. :)
 

OS

Lifer
Oct 11, 1999
15,581
1
76
Originally posted by: RightIsWrong
The bounce up is short sellers running it up so that they can crash it back down in the PM and make some real coin.

Hold on to your seats boys and girls, it will drop another 500+ by EOD.


this blaming shorts is asinine, most of the selling last week or whatever was while shorts were BANNED.

shorts are a symptom, not the cause.
 

heyheybooboo

Diamond Member
Jun 29, 2007
6,278
0
0
Originally posted by: RightIsWrong
The bounce up is short sellers running it up so that they can crash it back down in the PM and make some real coin.

Hold on to your seats boys and girls, it will drop another 500+ by EOD.

Shorting is back on the table and is an element ....

But I think the PM sell-off is primarily based upon fund managers cashing out because people want their money in cash.
 

RightIsWrong

Diamond Member
Apr 29, 2005
5,649
0
0
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: RightIsWrong
The bounce up is short sellers running it up so that they can crash it back down in the PM and make some real coin.
That doesn't make any sense. :)

It makes perfect sense.

1. Short seller(s) buy a couple hundred shares at a time and slowly the price rises.
2. Price hits their target mark
3. Short seller(s) "sells" tens of thousands of shares
4. Short seller(s) then continually puts that shares in 1. up for sell at lower and lower prices driving the price back down
5. Price finally reaches target on the bottom end
6. Buy to cover -- PROFIT

Originally posted by: OS

this blaming shorts is asinine, most of the selling last week or whatever was while shorts were BANNED.

shorts are a symptom, not the cause.

I'm not blaming the shorts entirely. However, your statements that short selling was banned in not entirely correct. It was only banned on 799 specific stocks. They still had thousands of other non-financial related stocks/sectors to choose from.


 

jpeyton

Moderator in SFF, Notebooks, Pre-Built/Barebones
Moderator
Aug 23, 2003
25,375
142
116
DOW 7000 baby, here we come!
 

Modelworks

Lifer
Feb 22, 2007
16,240
7
76
below 8000 and falling fast

speech by Paulson at 6:45PM est
I bet he is going to say more of the same, all is okay, we have a plan, give us more money !

 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: Modelworks
below 8000 and falling fast

speech by Paulson at 6:45PM est
I bet he is going to say more of the same, all is okay, we have a plan, give us more money !
That would be inline with my 9/25 prediction in my sig :)

 

CyberDuck

Senior member
Oct 10, 1999
258
0
0
I'll creep out on a limb and predict that it will bounce back up to 10 000 again during next week. It will probably not break through.
 

shira

Diamond Member
Jan 12, 2005
9,500
6
81
Originally posted by: CyberDuck
I'll creep out on a limb and predict that it will bounce back up to 10 000 again during next week. It will probably not break through.

There's no limb unless one's own A$$ is on the line.
 

shira

Diamond Member
Jan 12, 2005
9,500
6
81
If the market repeats its pattern of the last few days, the last half hour today should be truly bad.
 

Ferocious

Diamond Member
Feb 16, 2000
4,584
2
71
If this bear bottoms out where most bears do.......the DOW will be around 5000 in the next year or two. :Q
 

Jawo

Diamond Member
Jun 15, 2005
4,125
0
0
Originally posted by: Nocturnal
There's about an hour 45 mins left. I think there's a chance that we see it dip below 8000 :)

Well if it doesn't happen today it will happen Monday.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: shira
If the market repeats its pattern of the last few days, the last half hour today should be truly bad.
Or at least the last hour, that's when the magic happens. Let's watch.
 

ranmaniac

Golden Member
May 14, 2001
1,940
0
76
At least the heating oil prices are dropping, which is good news, but the bad news is that a lot of layoffs occur right around xmas time. Ho Ho Ho!