Democratic Primary

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Robor

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
16,979
0
76
Originally posted by: sirjonk
I think we need to redo the entire proportional delegate allocation system. Hillary won the popular vote in Texas, yet Obama gets more delegates? Or do you only want to redo the aspects of the primary that benefit Obama?

How's that? I just checked on CNN and it shows Clinton got ~51% of the popular vote compared to 47% for Obama. The delegates were 65 for Clinton and 61 for Obama.
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
13,918
20
81
Originally posted by: Robor
Originally posted by: sirjonk
I think we need to redo the entire proportional delegate allocation system. Hillary won the popular vote in Texas, yet Obama gets more delegates? Or do you only want to redo the aspects of the primary that benefit Obama?

How's that? I just checked on CNN and it shows Clinton got ~51% of the popular vote compared to 47% for Obama. The delegates were 65 for Clinton and 61 for Obama.

There were caucuses held simultaneously that will give him more delegates. They don't have to mail in the results until tomorrow so we probably won't find out how many he won until this weekend at the earliest.

But look at Nevada: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/20...ries/results/state/#NV

She won 51-45 and he got one more delegate. Caucuses need to go bye bye.
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
13,918
20
81
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Fern

How do you count caucus states?

There's no "popular vote" there.

Fern

I admit I don't know how that works. Aren't the caucus votes still counted and reflected in the popular vote numbers we have now?

If you check realcearpolitics popular vote breakdown, you can see caucus states listed there, although there is this note:
(*Obama Not on Michigan Ballot; Iowa, Nevada, Washington & Maine Have Not Released Popular Vote Totals)

And just to piss off you Obama fanboys :laugh:
Popular Vote (w/FL & MI)* - - Obama 13,570,148 Clinton 13,608,340

How exactly are they calculating the MI votes for Obama when he wasn't on the ticket? There was no campaigning in these states so any numbers from them are fairly pointless except as name recognition evidence.
 

Deeko

Lifer
Jun 16, 2000
30,213
12
81
Its too late to "fix" this election. I agree the whole primary system is flawed - if you asked me, we'd just have one vote nationwide and that would be it. It would function the way the general election does. But its waaay too far into the process to change it.

The Hillary camp wants to change the rules and let FL/MI in.
The Obama camp wants to change the rules and get rid of SuperDels.

Can't be changing the rules now. Just deal with it, and fix it for the next election.
 

Fern

Elite Member
Sep 30, 2003
26,907
174
106
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Fern

How do you count caucus states?

There's no "popular vote" there.

Fern

I admit I don't know how that works. Aren't the caucus votes still counted and reflected in the popular vote numbers we have now?

Yeah, looks like some are. Although I didn't see Iowa. But to get to any real "popular vote" numbers those states would have to hold a vote.

If you check realcearpolitics popular vote breakdown, you can see caucus states listed there, although there is this note:
(*Obama Not on Michigan Ballot; Iowa, Nevada, Washington & Maine Have Not Released Popular Vote Totals)

And just to piss off you Obama fanboys :laugh:
Popular Vote (w/FL & MI)* - - Obama 13,570,148 Clinton 13,608,340

 

dphantom

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2005
4,763
327
126
Originally posted by: Fern
Originally posted by: dphantom
The supers would put up so much resistance this will never carry, IMO. Still, it is an intriguing idea that could work if all sides were intent on being as fair as possible.

I actually think that many of SDs would like off the hook.

Seems to me no matter which way they go, they're gonna piss off a big chunk of their constituency - take your poison (Women, Blacks, young people, college educated or blue collar).

We may end with a candidate nominated NOT because they'd make the President, or the one most likely to win in the general election. We may end up with one that collectively best ensures the Dem incumbants (SDs) stay in office.

I suspect each and everyone (excluding past President etc) is going to look at what is least most unpopular in their district. They're going to want to stay in office.

I don't sense much forsight here, this thing is simply not being thought through adequately. There are some inevitable consequences and pressures that are going to come into play for the SDs. Thinking they have the luxury to make a pressure-free and altruistic decision in the best interest of the collective good of the country or the party is naive and unrealistic.

They are already under a lot of pressure. It's only going to intensify and grow.

I wouldn't be surprised if they continue on with it that we see corruption charges in the future stemming from this.

Hillary and Obama are already "donating" campaign $'s to some of the SDs from I hear. I really don't see how that's a good thing. One day historians may look back and declare the nomination was simply purchased. Nor would I be surprised if some journalists get on the trail of this line of thinking after the smoke clears and all the deals are done. It would totally discredit our sitting President if such a story were to break, or the perception of that come about.

Fern

The only part I disagree with just a bit is the SD's wanting off the hook. To an extent maybe, but the SD's have enormous power now since it is highly unilikely either Clinton or Obama will have a majority of non-SD delegates by the convention. So the SD's are going to make a decision and that person will be the dem nominee for president.

That kind of power is hard to let go of. The SD's willbe under huge pressure to commit one way or another, but I doubt few would give up the power of being among the elite few who decided who would be the candidate for president just to avoid the pressure.
 

Fern

Elite Member
Sep 30, 2003
26,907
174
106
Originally posted by: lopri
Why not strips out delegates from caucuses as well. This year's caucuses have been a total mess. I don't feel the need to link videos and anecdotes of rampages and thievery for various reasons, but you can easily search those out through Google, YouTube, etc. I think I'm finally becoming a Hillary supporter, from neutral, after facing so many of these Obamaniacs with fascist ideas.

If you're referring to my suggestion, I'm no Obamaniac, I'm a conservative. So don't blame them.

Honestly, and objectively, I just see problems with what they've got going on. Maybe I imagine more than there are, but I think I've made a reasonable case for them. AFAIK, this situation wrt SDs has never happened before. So, I think they're in uncharted territory.

If I wanted to act partisan, I'd just say leave it as is and let 'em slug it out. It does nothing other really than help poor ol' John McCain. :)

BTW: I think you've got it backwards, fascist are authoritarian. Having an elite group of insiders pick the candidate strikes me more as fascists than letting the people decide through a vote.

Fern
 

Robor

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
16,979
0
76
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Yep. Let the popular vote decide it. One person, one vote... the way democracy is SUPPOSED to work.

Yep. Just like it is in the GE. Oh wait...

 

Robor

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
16,979
0
76
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Fern

How do you count caucus states?

There's no "popular vote" there.

Fern

I admit I don't know how that works. Aren't the caucus votes still counted and reflected in the popular vote numbers we have now?

If you check realcearpolitics popular vote breakdown, you can see caucus states listed there, although there is this note:
(*Obama Not on Michigan Ballot; Iowa, Nevada, Washington & Maine Have Not Released Popular Vote Totals)

And just to piss off you Obama fanboys :laugh:
Popular Vote (w/FL & MI)]* - - Obama 13,570,148 Clinton 13,608,340

FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN SHOULD NOT AND DO NOT COUNT

Is that clear enough?
 

Robor

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
16,979
0
76
Originally posted by: sirjonk
Originally posted by: Robor
Originally posted by: sirjonk
I think we need to redo the entire proportional delegate allocation system. Hillary won the popular vote in Texas, yet Obama gets more delegates? Or do you only want to redo the aspects of the primary that benefit Obama?

How's that? I just checked on CNN and it shows Clinton got ~51% of the popular vote compared to 47% for Obama. The delegates were 65 for Clinton and 61 for Obama.

There were caucuses held simultaneously that will give him more delegates. They don't have to mail in the results until tomorrow so we probably won't find out how many he won until this weekend at the earliest.

But look at Nevada: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/20...ries/results/state/#NV

She won 51-45 and he got one more delegate. Caucuses need to go bye bye.

Hmmm... That does sound pretty messed up. I would definitely support system reform. I don't think it's possible to do it this year though. Stick to the rules defined before the election and once it's finished go about the reform.
 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
91
Originally posted by: Robor
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Fern

How do you count caucus states?

There's no "popular vote" there.

Fern

I admit I don't know how that works. Aren't the caucus votes still counted and reflected in the popular vote numbers we have now?

If you check realcearpolitics popular vote breakdown, you can see caucus states listed there, although there is this note:
(*Obama Not on Michigan Ballot; Iowa, Nevada, Washington & Maine Have Not Released Popular Vote Totals)

And just to piss off you Obama fanboys :laugh:
Popular Vote (w/FL & MI)]* - - Obama 13,570,148 Clinton 13,608,340

FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN SHOULD NOT AND DO NOT COUNT

Is that clear enough?

that's all well and good, but what's the democrats path to victory after Howard Dean hands Florida to the republicans on a silver platter?
 

lopri

Elite Member
Jul 27, 2002
13,314
690
126
And how come no one (talking about media, not you guys) talk about this absurdity of caucus system? It couldn't have been shown more dramatically than in Texas.
 

Starbuck1975

Lifer
Jan 6, 2005
14,698
1,909
126
that's all well and good, but what's the democrats path to victory after Howard Dean hands Florida to the republicans on a silver platter?
That essentially happened the moment Florida decided to move up its primary against party rules that were well understood, and the repercussions for which were also well understood.

Democrats cannot hope to once again lead the country if they cannot figure out how to run their own party.
 

heyheybooboo

Diamond Member
Jun 29, 2007
6,278
0
0
You can't really ""disenfranchise"" Floridiots and Michiganders. It's not fair to them.

Obama leads in delegates.

Clinton leads the popular vote.

It's all semantics,

They only thing I care about is throwing the current rascals out of the White House.


And as seen in the AT Forums:

""I'm not a member of any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.""

Yup. That's about it.

You may like the sausage but you don't want to see how it's made.
 

LongTimePCUser

Senior member
Jul 1, 2000
472
0
76
It may be crazy to say this, but this year the Republican primaries are much more representative of the November elections than the Democratic primaries. I am saying this even though I don't like the Republican party or the Republican candidates.

The primaries are supposed to help pick the candidate with the best chances of winning in November.

Here is whats wrong with the Democratic Primaries relative to the way the November election works.

1. The caucus system. The November election is a blind vote. The caucus is a public vote. Everyone knows who you voted for.

This is important because it means that since your vote is not public knowledge then you can't be pressured by your neighbors or your employer to vote for some one that you don't want to vote for.

The caucus system viotates a basic principal of American democracy and it should be eliminated.

The results in a caucus state do not accurately predict the same vote in the elections.

2. The November election has a winner take all rule for delegates in nearly all the states.
The Democratic primaries divide the delegates according to the popular vote in the state. This is probably fairer but, until the November elections change the way states give out delegates, the primaries should be changed so that they are similar to the November elections.

3. The super delegates. This was created deliberately because everyone knew that points 1 & 2 screwed up the process. The super delegates were supposed to be there to make sure that the candidate chosen had the best chance to win in November. This was done just in case the regular primaries did not do this correctly.

I think that the best way to fix the Democratic primaries is to make them more like the Republican primaries. Votes in every state. Winner takes all delegates in each state. The point of the primaries is to choose the candidate most likely to win in November. The way to do that is to make the primaries behave like the elections.

I don't think that any major changes can or should be made this time around. The only real hope is that the super delegates fix the current situation and reach a compromise that will produce a Democratic candidate who can win in November.

The only "change" I would do now is to try to re-run Michigan and Florida primaries to make sure that those voters get a voice in this process. Re-run them as elections not as a caucus.
 

lopri

Elite Member
Jul 27, 2002
13,314
690
126
LTPCUser said it very precisely. I'm all in for Obama-Hillary or Hillary-Obama ticket.