CEOs See Hotter Sales, Tepid Job Growth
By Bill Rigby
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Leading U.S. chief executives overwhelmingly expect their companies to post higher sales in the first half of next year, but only a minority see higher capital spending or more jobs created by their companies, according to a survey by the Business Roundtable released on Wednesday.
The survey, conducted by the main association representing CEOs in the United States, reflects the cautiously optimistic outlook of most economists, who see the economy improving but held back by sluggish growth in jobs.
According to the survey, 93 percent of the CEOs polled expect higher sales for their companies over the next six months, but only 35 percent expect higher U.S. capital spending.
Only 25 percent expect to hire more workers in the next six months, while 50 percent see no change and 25 percent expect to shed jobs.
"There is usually a lag between when an economic recovery begins and when we start to see healthy employment growth," said Hank McKinnell, Chairman of the Business Roundtable and Chief Executive of drugmaker Pfizer Inc., in a conference call on the survey. "As the economy continues to grow, businesses will add workers to meet demand."
On average, the 120 CEOs who took part in the survey expect real U.S. gross domestic product growth to be 3.6 percent in 2004. Consensus forecasts among economists are around 4 percent.
As a result of the survey, the Business Roundtable said its CEO Economic Outlook Index rose to 89.6 for December, up from 67.7 in October. A reading of 50 indicates no change in conditions is expected. The index has risen from 52.7 at its inception in November last year.
Chief financial officers are more optimistic on spending and jobs, another survey released on Wednesday showed.
The CFO Outlook Survey, conducted by Financial Executives International and Duke University's Fuqua School of Business, showed that 63 percent of CFOs polled expect an increase in capital spending in 2004.
Two-thirds of the 236 surveyed companies plan to increase their number of employees in 2004, and only 14 percent expect to cut jobs, the survey showed.
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More positive news that shows the economy is heading in the right direction.
By Bill Rigby
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Leading U.S. chief executives overwhelmingly expect their companies to post higher sales in the first half of next year, but only a minority see higher capital spending or more jobs created by their companies, according to a survey by the Business Roundtable released on Wednesday.
The survey, conducted by the main association representing CEOs in the United States, reflects the cautiously optimistic outlook of most economists, who see the economy improving but held back by sluggish growth in jobs.
According to the survey, 93 percent of the CEOs polled expect higher sales for their companies over the next six months, but only 35 percent expect higher U.S. capital spending.
Only 25 percent expect to hire more workers in the next six months, while 50 percent see no change and 25 percent expect to shed jobs.
"There is usually a lag between when an economic recovery begins and when we start to see healthy employment growth," said Hank McKinnell, Chairman of the Business Roundtable and Chief Executive of drugmaker Pfizer Inc., in a conference call on the survey. "As the economy continues to grow, businesses will add workers to meet demand."
On average, the 120 CEOs who took part in the survey expect real U.S. gross domestic product growth to be 3.6 percent in 2004. Consensus forecasts among economists are around 4 percent.
As a result of the survey, the Business Roundtable said its CEO Economic Outlook Index rose to 89.6 for December, up from 67.7 in October. A reading of 50 indicates no change in conditions is expected. The index has risen from 52.7 at its inception in November last year.
Chief financial officers are more optimistic on spending and jobs, another survey released on Wednesday showed.
The CFO Outlook Survey, conducted by Financial Executives International and Duke University's Fuqua School of Business, showed that 63 percent of CFOs polled expect an increase in capital spending in 2004.
Two-thirds of the 236 surveyed companies plan to increase their number of employees in 2004, and only 14 percent expect to cut jobs, the survey showed.
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More positive news that shows the economy is heading in the right direction.