Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: Mavtek3100
http://www.giveproductions.com...onGlennBeck1-23-08.mp3
Ron Paul on the economy, you can all listen, you decide is he loony?
Holy shit on a stick batman, where to start?
1. Bond insurance - He completely misses the point of the current problem and doesn't understand what's going on in the credit markets. He starts with bond insurance and goes on to FDIC and FHA, completely ignores the whole problem. He doesn't know jack shit about what's going on! He simply goes on to blather about this or that problem, never addressing the problems in the capital markets. Do you guys know why there was a bounce in the markets today? Not because Ron Paul saved us, but because people found out there was a plan to bail out the bond insurers and stop the problems.
Well to be honest I'm not even sure what you are talking about as this topic doesn't even seem to have been covered in the interview. The transcript can be found here.
I'd say since the topic doesn't seem to have been covered, maybe you're correct. Maybe Ron Paul doesn't know shit about Bond insurance since he only mentions the FDIC and FHA in a paragraph not adhering to that particular issue at all. Maybe you've read into that a lot more than I have, but again I'm not seeing the correlation here. So in my opinion your 1st point has no basis, and is irrelevant to the discussion.
2. Print money, call it capital - He claims the debt is printing money. What does this mean? Isn't debt capital invested from somebody else? Don't people have to have money to invest? What about international investors, don't they have other money to invest? Is that printed? Does he even realize what happens when the Fed floods the market with money? They usually do so by backing it up with assets. Again, he is a joke. Sure, some money is printed and put onto the market, but most of it is into a downturn. What do downturns produce? That's right, deflation. So who knows if inflation is even going to happen to a large extent.
I can only ask you if they flood the market with credit backed by assets what assets are these? According to their latest audit they have $870b in assets, they list these assets as an amalgamation of Tbills, loans, and Securities that are currently depreciating. 1st and foremost even in the audit one can see their liabilities outweigh their assets. Now in order to flood the market with capital they lower interest rates, making it easier for banks to loan money to people regardless of credit. Well maybe not regardless of credit but it certainly makes it seem easier for the banks to make money because the rates are so low for this newly instituted from thin air money that obviously has no assets backing it. Other than a note saying "Bank will pay back at 3% interest". When the loans default the Reserve injects more money into the banks to start the process all over again, and float the banks.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Federal_Reserve
3. Business people think savings are going on - They are going on, not just our savings but other savings. He assumes that increased debt means savings aren't occuring, they are occuring, they are just offset by greater debt. More loony tunes. Sorry, but things are happening and he's too stupid to realize it.
I don't think he's saying "no one" is saving, I think he is stating exactly what you stated, there is far more debt than there is capital saved. You just stated the same thing so I guess you're loony tunes too....? Oh and if "things" are going on maybe you can explain them as I'm not aware of these "things" so maybe I along with Ron Paul am too stupid to realize it too. Things ok?
4. Capital comes out of nowhere - How does capital come out of nowhere? Isn't isn't wealth created, savings made, and investments deployed? How do you get the fact that the economy is growing and money is still taken in? What about all of the foreign capital?
Isn't isn't? When you find out how to "create wealth", "make savings" and "deploy investments" let me know as I've never even heard these terms before. How do I get the "fact" that the economy is growing? How do I even answer that question? Is it a fact that the economy is growing? From what most are saying we are in a recession which surely you understand that means the direct opposite of growth. What foreign capital? What are we producing that is bringing in foreign capital?
What about the debt for the future that will be repaid? Isn't that wealth created?
I'm sorry what? What guarantee is there that this debt will be repaid? In the future who is going to pay this usury to create wealth? Your children, my children, their grandchildren? I'd hardly call that wealth, especially considering none of the usury has thus been paid to date. $9.3 trillion deficit as I type this.
Debt is nothing more than future cashflows brought to today, it isn't "created". Somebody has cash they can lend today and do so.
people claim the banks are distributing more cash. What about the single biggest injection of cash in the world history by the ECB? Won't that increase Euro inflation? Why hasn't it degraded the euro to a certain extent? I bet he can't answer that, but I can.
Ok so do it, don't tell us why you can, I'd love to ask him, but I'd assume their currency isn't as inflated because they have significantly grown their economy. The Euro was created to be a mass blanket currency encapsulating all of the other currencies, it was a competitive currency that replaced that of many other countries. If you have another explanation I'd love to read it. A lot of what you type is indeed entertaining.
5. Getting rid of Sarbox in response to Enron. Does he even know what SarbOx is? Does he know how it hold's CEOs and other execs accountable for their own actions? Nah, he just wants less regulation. He somehow thinks that the "free market" in a fairy tale world will fix itself. Good one sparky.
Funny you assume when Ron Paul speaks of something he must want to Abolish it even though that is not what he said at all. He said he'd get rid of a good portion of Sarbanes-Oxley that he considers over regulation. Well to be honest if you read much Walter Williams, Williams has also advocated this. I'm not sure what to tell you, you disagree with the philosophy of free markets so that's a philosophical debate more than anything else. Government regulations in the economy are few and far between in a Mises/Austrian view of economics. It's hardly loony I might ad.
6. Get rid of death tax? Wow, here's a real good one. This fucktard thinks that redistribution of wealth throughout the economy isn't a good thing. Too bad this goes against all principals of "private bankers" and "rich" people controlling everything. He advocates this and claims he is a Republican or a libertarian? He actually advocates the creation of a perm. aristocracy with ever increasing wealth and permanence? Eventually they become the ruling class, to the detriment of the whole society. You fail again gasbag.
Well I responded to this in another post, I can only reiterate how intelligent you sound with all of your snide remarks and insults.
7. Getting rid of taxes encourage investment - Here's a good one. Sorry buckwheat, but somehow we've managed to invest quite a bit despite the taxes, imagine the fact that we've done pretty damn well! All he wants to do is shift taxation from one hand to another, right pocket left pocket to play money games. Novel idea!
The key question is who is investing, granted we have invested quite a bit, but who are these investors and is the market in a bubble? I'd say yes the market is quite overvalued, you may disagree, but I'd hardly say that's premise for name calling.
8. Interest rate generates bubble - Sorry, but the Fed interest rate had almost no bearing on the long-term interest rates of the 10-year note, the benchmark for mortgages. Additionally, it has almost no bearing on credit card spreads, both of which drove mortgage pricing. Too bad it was the deployment of long-term capital overseas that generated the RE and credit bubble. But of course, overseas money was fictional too!
Wow, no, wow, yep wow again.... Did you really just say the Fed rate has no bearing on long term interest rates? Care to explain how Mortgage rates drop whole points when the Fed rates drop? After 9/11 the Fed dropped rates to historical lows, mortgage rates plummeted. People went out of their way buying up homes everywhere, banks went out of there way giving out loans that were easily questionable. You know, you remember, "No money down, 100% financing 4.9% 30 year fixed!" And you are asserting the Fed had nothing to do with this?
9. dollar bubble - Nobody bitched 5 years ago, but in a downturn do. What happens when it rebounds eventually after the PPP returns to decent levels compared to the euro? Then what?
When is that going to happen? What if it doesn't happen anytime soon? What if it gets worse? Oh and people bitched 5 years ago, but everyone is so used to the boom then bust cycle only the Austrian Economist like Paul and Walter Williams were ticked off saying it would come back home to roost.
10. borrow or print money, where is inflation - Again, we come back to demonizing "fat" like we demonized inflation. Inflation BAD, GOLD GOOD! Sure caveman, think in binary terms. Too bad inflation isn't directly correlated to expansion of money, as is proven by several items. Furthermore, inflation isn't always bad, unpredictable inflation is.
11. how do they lower interest rates? They lower them through Repo and liquidity, so what? Does that mean it always creates inflation? If it did, then why didn't it create inflation in 2001-2003?
It did, look at the value of the dollar when compared to crude and gold 6 months after they lowered the rates. Sure the CPI here was fine, but when compared to other currencies and more static exchanges like crude and gold it was tanking. Gold was $260 an ounce in 2002, today it is $860. Crude was $27 a barrel. Now the bubble is yet again bursting.
12. Dollar goes down, weaking is crisis, how do we suffer? I love his alarmist statement that a dollar is now .8, sorry, but it's not that bad. Furthermore, that's assuming that wages don't go up. Sorry, but you haven't proven that long-term wages have eroded significantly, you just say inflation is evil, which it isn't.
Long Term wages have not kept up with inflation or increased taxation. A sharp increase and redistribution of wealth happened during the 80's after stagflation, then the saving and loan busts.
http://select.nytimes.com/2006...ml?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
13. dollar is worth so little - Is it? If it was worth so little and the prospects sucked so much long-term, why are people still willing to finance our companies and consumers? Obviously it's not for the hell of it.
They are for now, but one must wonder for how much longer will they do this and will we have the money to pay them back, and at what costs.
14. Poorest getting hit by more inflation - Prove?
Read the article by Greenspan in this very topic, hell read Greenspan's latest book he can explain it a hell of a lot better than I can. Unless you will assume he's just some fucktard and that you are the authority on anything regarding economics.
15. where is inflation of 10-12% come from? Any proof behind this? At most, CPI is at 4.1% annualized. Where do you get this? I would like direct information that is empirical and repeatable.
16. He predicted market would go down - Whoops, bond insurers aren't that bad now, are they? Guess that's why the market swung up. His prediction, like the rest of his bullcrap, was wrong.
Yea he was, I thought that was funny, because he often isn't. I will tell you this I think it's inevitable that we will see a large downturn soon.
17. One world government and socialism from wilson - Ohhh, here we go, shadowy conspiracies! More loony toon bullcrap!
He didn't mention that it was Beck, but the evidence is alarming if you care to actually investigate it, thus far from this debate I doubt you will, you'll just claim it to be loony crap.
18. Any great nation off gold standard will not remain to be great, what nations? Emperical proof is against. - Proof? Empirical evidence says he is wrong as Halik linked. I guess he has some Mises or Friedman theory that counters that, eh?
19. How would gold standard and competing currency be less chaotic? - Competing currencies have, historically, shown themselves to be more chaotic, less enticing for investment, and create more runs on banks. Sorry loony tune, you lose again!
Awesome theory there, I'd love to see some proof of how this wouldn't work in our technology filled society where we use competing currencies all the time.
20. Has read the federalist papers - Wow, you read some of the founding fathers, but not all. Considering the head federalist was Hamilton and he was the real, first, state-controlled top-down big brother government believer, I guess I question why you don't counter many of his believes with Republican ones, which were Jefferson's ideas for more state rights and a smaller government. Of course, only one-sided founding father papers are correct.
Wow neither Paul nor Beck said this, but to each his own and their wild speculation. The comment that was made was that wow you have at least read the Federalist papers, Ron Paul said well yes thank you, good bye..... Talk about wild conspiracy flying conclusions.....
All in, crap interview from a crap interviewer and a crap interviewee. Too bad both are fringe loony tunes kept to fringe politics...