*BREAKING*:polls are in! Bush victory!

[Hammer]

updated

 

[TastesLikeChicken]

Originally posted by: Shelly21
I don't buy this. I'll wait until 10pm and watch it on the daily show.

Agreed. Seems quite a few are jumping to a conclusion based on "leaked" exit polls.

Wasn't this one supposedly of the Democratic strategies?

 

[Hammer]

drudge:

Exit poll mania spread through media and campaign circles Tuesday afternoon after first wave of morning data showed Kerry competitive in key states.... National Election Pool -- representing six major news organization -- shows Kerry in striking distance -- with small 1% lead -- in Florida and Ohio, sources tell DRUDGE... [But early 2000 exit polls showed Gore +3 in Florida; showed Gore-Bush even in CO [Bush won by 9], exits showed Gore +4 in AZ [Bush won by 6]... Exits Senate races: Thune +4 Castor +3 Burr +6 Bunning +6 Coburn +6 Demint +4 Salazar +4...

thune beating daschle...

 

[Nitemare]

Originally posted by: Hammer
drudge:

Exit poll mania spread through media and campaign circles Tuesday afternoon after first wave of morning data showed Kerry competitive in key states.... National Election Pool -- representing six major news organization -- shows Kerry in striking distance -- with small 1% lead -- in Florida and Ohio, sources tell DRUDGE... [But early 2000 exit polls showed Gore +3 in Florida; showed Gore-Bush even in CO [Bush won by 9], exits showed Gore +4 in AZ [Bush won by 6]... Exits Senate races: Thune +4 Castor +3 Burr +6 Bunning +6 Coburn +6 Demint +4 Salazar +4...

thune beating dashle...

Hell, Satan would have a shot against Daschle. Have you heard him whining?

 

[GTaudiophile]

Is it 2000 all over again? Dems leaking poll data to scare off voters? Say it ain't so!

 

[Hugenstein]

Yeah Drudge is about as Liberal as you can get.... :roll:

 

[Slick5150]

Originally posted by: GTaudiophile
Is it 2000 all over again? Dems leaking poll data to scare off voters? Say it ain't so!

The Dems are the ones trying to get voters to the polls. They need the numbers to show up. If anything, they'd leak numbers showing Kerry slightly behind in many of those states to get people out there.

 

[Hammer]

UPDATE!!!

2ND WAVE : Kerry up 1 in Fla., Ohio, 2 in NM... Developing...

 

[Don Vito Corleone]

Originally posted by: Hugenstein
Yeah Drudge is about as Liberal as you can get.... :roll:

Shhhhhhh - don't ever interrupt a neoconservative wanker mid-wank! It's like waking a sleepwalker . . .

From CNN:

Ohio - African American precincts are performing at 106% what we expected, based on historical numbers. Hispanic precincts are at 144% what we expected. Precincts that went for Gore are turning out 8% higher then those that went Bush in 2000. Democratic base precincts are performing 15% higher than GOP base precincts.

Florida - Dem base precincts are performing 14% better than Bush base precincts. In precincts that went for Gore, they are doing 6% better than those that went for Bush. African American precincts at 109%, Hispanic precincts at 106%.

Pennsylvania - African American precincts at 102% of expectations, Hispanics at 136% of expectations. The Gore precincts are doing 4 percent better than bush precincts.

Michigan - Democratic base precincts are 8% better than GOP base states. Gore precincts are 5% better than Bush.

 

[chess9]

Well, Gore was up by 1-2% this time of day in 2000 and the Republicans got on their phones and called thousands of voters and brought home the vote. (This ignores the large number of votes that were tossed by elections officials both formally and informally and the votes tossed by the courts.)

However, we are now calling our people and hammering them hard to vote. We didn't do that in 2000 after about 2 p.m.

Regardless, I think Kerry will hold on to about a 1-2% win in Florida.

By the way, I just got a very nasty comment from one of my buddies about Kerry and me helping him. No need to go into the details, but it was pretty nauseating. Too bad...
-Robert

 

[conjur]

Too bad on that friend situation, Robert. I've read other forums where people have had life-long friendships dashed over this election.



Way to go, Bush! Great Uniter? Not a fvcking chance.

 

[Hammer]

Originally posted by: conjur
Too bad on that friend situation, Robert. I've read other forums where people have had life-long friendships dashed over this election.



Way to go, Bush! Great Uniter? Not a fvcking chance.

omg. you're blaming bush for this too? :Q

hahahahaha. you are something else conjur. :laugh:

 

[conjur]

Originally posted by: Hammer

Originally posted by: conjur
Too bad on that friend situation, Robert. I've read other forums where people have had life-long friendships dashed over this election.



Way to go, Bush! Great Uniter? Not a fvcking chance.

omg. you're blaming bush for this too? :Q

hahahahaha. you are something else conjur. :laugh:

Who is to blame? Kerry? Why is there such animosity in this country? Bush and the neocons and the Iraq war.

W/o the Iraq war, Bush wins in a cakewalk.



Now, more exit polling info:


http://www.mydd.com/

Early exit polling of Latinos in Florida
by Jerome Armstrong

Here's some early exit data polling of Latinos in Florida (2000 numbers are in parenthesis):
KERRY BUSH

Hispanics 46 (35) 53 (65)
Cubans 32 (17) 68 (82)

Kerry continues to lead Florida overall as well. Again, these are exit poll numbers, so doubt them, but it looks great! Matthew Dowd has said that without 40% of the hispanic vote, Bush cannot win.


Kirsten Powers an update on Florida from Kerry campaign, including:

-- Dems are running ahead of where we were in 2000 at this point in the day.
-- Bush is running behind where he was at this point in 2000
-- In comparison to 2000, by this time of day there were widespread reports of problems in the state and today that is not the case. Things are proceeding well and no widespread reports of problems.
--Touchscreen voting machines are working.

 

[Crimson]

If you are losing lifelong friendships over this election, YOU have the problem.. or your FRIENDS have the problem.. That has nothing to do with Bush.. You will pretty much blame Bush for anything won't you?

 

[jman19]

Originally posted by: Hammer

Originally posted by: conjur
Too bad on that friend situation, Robert. I've read other forums where people have had life-long friendships dashed over this election.



Way to go, Bush! Great Uniter? Not a fvcking chance.

omg. you're blaming bush for this too? :Q

hahahahaha. you are something else conjur. :laugh:

The Neocons have been widening the gap in this country for years now. See: the impeachment of Clinton.

 

[conjur]

New Exit Polling Numbers

http://www.wonkette.com/

The Birdies Sing a Sweet, Sweet Tune
FL: 52/48 - KERRY
OH: 52/47 - KERRY
MI: 51/48 - KERRY
PA: 58/42 - KERRY
IA: 50/48 - KERRY
WI: 53/47 - KERRY
MN: 57/42 - KERRY
NH: 58/41 - KERRY
ME: 55/44 - KERRY

NM: 49/49 - TIE

NV: 48/49 - BUSH
CO: 49/50 - BUSH
AR: 45/54 - BUSH
NC: 47/53 - BUSH


A NOTE ON EXITS/EARLY POLLING: We post these numbers because information wants to be free! Run, information! Run for your life!

GDoyle

 

[ReiAyanami]

don't worry, bush still has 5 hours left to catch osama

 

[lordtyranus]

Originally posted by: Crimson
If you are losing lifelong friendships over this election, YOU have the problem.. or your FRIENDS have the problem.. That has nothing to do with Bush.. You will pretty much blame Bush for anything won't you?

Agreed.

 

[lordtyranus]

Where is NJ in all these exit polls?

USA: 50-49
FL: 50-49
OH: 50-49
Colorado: 48-50
NM: 50-48 (these numbers could change)

 

[conjur]

Originally posted by: lordtyranus
Where is NJ in all these exit polls?

It's not in play so they're probably just not posting those numbers.

 

[lordtyranus]

Originally posted by: conjur

Originally posted by: lordtyranus
Where is NJ in all these exit polls?

It's not in play so they're probably just not posting those numbers.

According to electoral-vote and other places it should be just as close as any of thsoe states.

 

[bozack]

Originally posted by: Hammer

omg. you're blaming bush for this too? :Q

hahahahaha. you are something else conjur. :laugh:

My prediction, Kerry will divide the country even further...short of him landing me a $150k/year job I doubt I would ever warm to his (should he get it) presidency.

 

[conjur]

Originally posted by: lordtyranus

Originally posted by: conjur

Originally posted by: lordtyranus
Where is NJ in all these exit polls?

It's not in play so they're probably just not posting those numbers.

According to electoral-vote and other places it should be just as close as any of thsoe states.

When will you wake up?? electoral-vote.com is WORTHLESS!!

 

[lordtyranus]

Originally posted by: conjur

Originally posted by: lordtyranus

Originally posted by: conjur

Originally posted by: lordtyranus
Where is NJ in all these exit polls?

It's not in play so they're probably just not posting those numbers.

According to electoral-vote and other places it should be just as close as any of thsoe states.

When will you wake up?? electoral-vote.com is WORTHLESS!!

Maybe for an overall picture, but the NJ state polls in it come from elsewhere.

 

[OneOfTheseDays]

I've heard from several strategists and pollsters that Bush can go no higher than 45% in NJ, and that is why he won't win the state. Kerry should go to about 50% or maybe a little higher. Still NJ has been a little too close for comfort I'd say.