Below 5 nm, can Moore's Law continue?

[gipper53]

that development of CPUs is stagnating. For me it just means my investment in computer hardware will be relevant that much longer. I don't miss the days of a new computer feeling horribly slow after 3 years.

 

[Xpage]

time to get to work on the trinary logic gates, once we get 3d stacking going

 

[Sunrise089]

The topic of the thread is about Moore's Law, which many insightful posters explain will face challenges over the next ~10 years. I did want to quote from the OP though that while exponential increases in performance may go away, he was still projecting "maybe 50x in the next 30 years." Plenty of industries can be very successful, and consumers can greatly benefit from, a 15% annual rate of improvement.

 

[Idontcare]

The topic of the thread is about Moore's Law, which many insightful posters explain will face challenges over the next ~10 years. I did want to quote from the OP though that while exponential increases in performance may go away, he was still projecting "maybe 50x in the next 30 years." Plenty of industries can be very successful, and consumers can greatly benefit from, a 15% annual rate of improvement.

Absolutely. Wouldn't it be rather awesome if we saw that kind of annual improvement in fuel efficiency for our automobiles?

 

[Mtt]

I think the improvement in computing performance has made programmers lazier and lazier. They write bloatwares and stop optimizing because of the improvement.

Maybe its a good thing hardware stop getting faster so programmers can write better programs.

 

[Dresdenboy]

Absolutely. Wouldn't it be rather awesome if we saw that kind of annual improvement in fuel efficiency for our automobiles?

Car OEMs are currently adding electronic subsystems at a higher rate than µC efficiency can compensate for (esp. if older but safe and trusted ones are being used).

But you might try the Volkswagen XL1. As I read it had to reduce some comfort by using lighter and less materials. But you also get cool things like cameras instead of rear mirrors.