Murphy, if you're just starting you're a long way away from being able to tell the difference between a $200 set and a $2000 set. Once you get to the point where you can ask again and I'll give you the full rant on why $2000 sets are not any better than $200 sets anyway
If you really like the game and plan to stick with it, go ahead and get a complete set for $200 or so. Just keep in mind that it's a 2 year investment tops. Sometime soon if you start to improve you're going to want clubs that fit you better, but getting custom fit is a step you want to take a bit down the road, not now. Until you groove your swing a little so that it repeats itself fairly well a fitting won't offer much benefit. At this point you really have only 2 options:
1) Borrow a set from friends for a year or two, then move up to a good set.
2) Buy a cheap set and use that until you're ready for something better.
Obviously option #1 is better as it requires no money, but if you can't borrow a set you're left with option #2. Of the 3 links you provided, I'd suggest the first one, the Orbiter set from FogDog. I've hit Orbiter clubs and they're not that bad, certainly plenty of club for a beginner and they're good enough that they're not going to fall apart on you. For $200 that looks like a good buy.