AT Game: What DAY will AT exceed 100,000 members?

[Scootin159]

May 1st, 2002 : 90,000 Members
December 12th, 2001 : 80,000 Members
August 22nd, 2001 : 70,000 Members
June 20th, 2001 : 60,000 Members
March 24th, 2001 : 50,000 Members
December 22nd, 2000 : 40,000 Members
(previous marks unknown)

Let's have a little game here. Everyone gets to pick ONE day for which you think AT will exceed 100,000 members. The winner is whoever chooses the day that the # of users reaches the magical 100,000 mark.

For reference, today (May 15th, 2002) we are at 90,843 users.

 

[Anubis]

i dont care im guessing theres only like 5000 real users. the most ive ever seen loged in is about 1000

 

[spanky]

is this a game or are u really taking bets? 😛

 

[Instagib]

Nov. 1, 2002 which happens to be my birthday

 

[Scootin159]

Originally posted by: spankyOO7
is this a game or are u really taking bets? 😛

I'd take bets, but I'm pretty sure the mod's wouldn't like it. We'll consider this a $0 bet 😉

 

[ILikeSprite]

August 26, 2009

 

[Rallispec]

september 15th

 

[Scootin159]

I'm going to throw in my guess : September 7th, 2002 (My 20th Birthday).

 

[Rallispec]

Originally posted by: Scootin159
I'm going to throw in my guess : September 7th, 2002 (My 20th Birthday).

can we do this like price is right? closest bet without going over?

 

[Scootin159]

Originally posted by: Rallispec

Originally posted by: Scootin159
I'm going to throw in my guess : September 7th, 2002 (My 20th Birthday).

can we do this like price is right? closest bet without going over?

Assuming nobody picks the right day, sure.

 

[dude8604]

I'm going to say July 16, 2002.

 

[her209]

May 32nd. 😀

 

[erub]

August 28, 2002

 

[b0mbrman]

See the graph here.

Using the data we already have and making the best fit line, I predict that the 100,000th member will join on July 20, 2002 at 11:47 pm 🙂

 

[JonathanM]

Nov 28, 2002, which happens to be Thanksgiving in the US and my 21st birthday

 

[KennyTheGreat]

i think before september

 

[fatbaby]

June 6, 66 A.D.

 

[Evadman]

October 13th. 🙂

 

[Adul]

october 3 2002

 

[b0mbrman]

So anyhow, what does the winner get? 🙂

 

[Scootin159]

Originally posted by: b0mbrman
So anyhow, what does the winner get? 🙂

Originally posted by: Scootin159
I'd take bets, but I'm pretty sure the mod's wouldn't like it. We'll consider this a $0 bet

Respect? 😉

 

[Mill]

July 8

 

[BigJohnKC]

Originally posted by: Scootin159

Originally posted by: b0mbrman
So anyhow, what does the winner get? 🙂

Originally posted by: Scootin159
I'd take bets, but I'm pretty sure the mod's wouldn't like it. We'll consider this a $0 bet

Respect? 😉

You gotta earn respect here at ATOT, can't win it in some contest. 🙂

 

[Scootin159]

Originally posted by: BigJohnKC

Originally posted by: Scootin159

Originally posted by: b0mbrman
So anyhow, what does the winner get? 🙂

Originally posted by: Scootin159
I'd take bets, but I'm pretty sure the mod's wouldn't like it. We'll consider this a $0 bet

Respect? 😉

You gotta earn respect here at ATOT, can't win it in some contest. 🙂

Anyone have any ideas on a real prize? Anyone got something to give away or anything? Anand, how about a free video card or something (I hear Matrox has a nice new one coming out 😉). I'd have everyone pitch like $1 into a paypal account or something, but I think then we would be collecting bets 😉.

 

[XZeroII]

I will say either sometime before june 20th 2098, or never. I bet $10,000 + an empty can of soda.