I think that the debate was a weird combination between CNN crossfire and comedy central.
Arnold seems sincere but to me very scripted. You just knew he had the one-liners ready. He had some generalities but not much else. Mumbled here and there and all of that. I got from the debate that he loves jobs, children and California. In the post debate interview he talked about tv rating and all of that as the reason he was only doing one debate (?) I just don't think he is ready or qualified or knowledgeable enough to run California.
Arianna ripped both Arnold and Cruz Bustamante. She is actually a great debater with some nice sound bites but I think is becoming shrill in her attacks on Bush. I still cannot get over her transformation from an arch-conservative commentator to a neo-progressive reformer. It's weird to hear what is coming out of her mouth.
Camejo is an alternative voice in the race. I am glad that he is raising issues that the two parties don't talk about. However, I will never vote for a green candidate because of Nader and because some of their views are too liberal.
Cruz was very passive and somewhat condescending (ok Arnold, ok Arnold ... you probably don't know this but ...). It is weird because his handlers are making the decision not to engage the other candidates. He did not take post-debate questions/spin. They may think that the democrats (~43percent) will eventually consolidate around him. I dunno, the race is too close for him to be this passive or they may want to remain above the fray. I think it is a mistake. I don't think he has run a good campaign but it is too soon to tell.
McClintock. I respect him for being honest about his views and beliefs. I don't agree with him on most social issues but I think that he is mostly right fiscally. His budget cuts will be severe and I don't think gov't reforms and contracting out will solve the issues. It is a mixture of too much spending and not enough revenues coming in.
I won't vote for him but he definitely helped himself and his party. He also made the decision not to attack Arnold which shows he doesn't want to actively spoil the race for Arnold. I respect the man but when he looks crossed-eyed at the camera ... well I am petty and shallow ... it is slightly disconcerting.
I truly think the winner of this debate was Gray Davis. All this sniping and attacking is not helping the candidates. I think it will reenforce the decisions of those that have already decided on who they wanted to vote for. No one can win decisively in a 5 person debate. Everyone just looks petty by associate when the attacks or jokes fly.
Everyone says that Cruz and Arnold are the front-runners. Well, I look at it this way.
53% of the respondents of a Public Policy Institute poll are for the recall. Gray Davis is 3% behind. If he can bridge that gap, and bring that down 4% by election, he would survive. Put it another way, he needs to move 10% in 2 weeks as he only has 40% solidly "no". I dunno, it could happen.
Two wildcard I think in all of this is ... 1). Indian gaming interest. Arnold has attacked Cruz (and to a lesser extent McClintock) on this campaign issue but for some bizzare reason has singled out the very powerful Indian gaming interests (instead of just saying special interests). I think the Indian interests will flood the airwaves in the next two weeks with a lot of mostly negative ads in response from the right and from the left probably.
2). The large influx of newly registered voters. Lots come from San Diego. Lots from the Bay Area and LA. We don't know how they will vote, who is most motivated to vote and their opinions won't be know until election deal because they won't necessarily be sampled by poll takers as they are "not likely voters."
Last thing for sure, this is a political junkie?s SuperBowl!
