• We’re currently investigating an issue related to the forum theme and styling that is impacting page layout and visual formatting. The problem has been identified, and we are actively working on a resolution. There is no impact to user data or functionality, this is strictly a front-end display issue. We’ll post an update once the fix has been deployed. Thanks for your patience while we get this sorted.

Are we headed for hyperinflation?

Page 4 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.
I know what the econ textbooks say, although I don't think it is necessarily correct from what I observe. Deflation means paying back loans in the future is more difficult because you are paying them back with dollars that are worth much more than what you borrowed. It means the rate of borrowing will plummet (as real interest rates skyrocket) and thus the rate of money creation within the banking system also plummets.

Once the rate of borrowing plummets people will default en masse because the money doesn't exist to pay back their loans, as loans temporarily create money until repaid. Hence we need to loan ever increasing amounts of money. It doesn't matter if its a bunch of small loans for college or house prices rise or whatever, the loans MUST get bigger or more frequent. Aggregate demand is a fluffy concept to me. Seems like it is just code for borrowing to the hilt.

The reason for no inflation is very simple. The banks are sitting on the excess reserves instead of loaning them out. Everything is actually very simple.

Yes, we are currently in a liquidity trap. The funny thing is that more inflation would be just what the doctor ordered.
 
Back
Top