Another WTF moment brought to you by the city of Chicago

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Nov 25, 2013
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Can you name a major city in the US that isn't a Democratic stronghold?

I'll wait.

Not quite what you're looking for but,

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/jul/12/deadliest-cities-gun-control-laws-congress-chicago

and a bit more

Mayors-Chart__Chart-5000x0-c-default.png


https://www.thetrace.org/2016/11/homicide-rates-spike-major-cities-democrat-republican-mayors/
 

Exterous

Super Moderator
Jun 20, 2006
20,585
3,796
126
You know what's interesting....Chicago didn't even place in the top 25 most dangerous/violent U.S. cities.

Ok...? I'm not sure if you mean we shouldn't care because Chicago isn't at the top? It has a very real problem. Shootings were up 47% and homicides were up 58% in 2016 and 2017 is already on track to beat 2016 by a serious margin. Based on the graph in your post if this trend continues Chicago could take top spot for most homicides per person in 2 years.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
53,169
47,393
136
Hey they're back in the spotlight again with over 100 people being shot over the holiday weekend.
http://www.nbcchicago.com/news/loca...-independence-day-gun-violence-432025753.html

My own city of Jacksonville, Fl has also seen a major upsurge in shootings this year with multiple victim events becoming commonplace.

There is a trend of violence happening where people are getting shot for basically nothing or stuck in an endless cycle of retribution. This is a significant departure from how things were when the gangs were more organized. A number of years ago the FBI and CPD decided to dismantle the gang leadership, a decision some people partially blame for the free for all that's going on now.
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,484
8,345
126
There is a trend of violence happening where people are getting shot for basically nothing or stuck in an endless cycle of retribution. This is a significant departure from how things were when the gangs were more organized. A number of years ago the FBI and CPD decided to dismantle the gang leadership, a decision some people partially blame for the free for all that's going on now.

Was that in the summer of 2009? I remember living in a rougher part of Peoria, IL during that time and there was some serious shit going down that summer. It was almost like a purge in the gang ranks down there. Open fire on high attendance BBQ's, ton's of individual shootings, ect. Gang related violence went through the roof that summer compared to others.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
53,169
47,393
136
Was that in the summer of 2009? I remember living in a rougher part of Peoria, IL during that time and there was some serious shit going down that summer. It was almost like a purge in the gang ranks down there. Open fire on high attendance BBQ's, ton's of individual shootings, ect. Gang related violence went through the roof that summer compared to others.

2009 into 2010 as I recall. Many of the Chicago gangs also more or less controlled their factions in the downstate towns. The leadership vacuum seems to have not led to anything good.
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,484
8,345
126
Makes sense. We were a common stop between STL and Chicago where there was a lot of jockeying for power. Cut out leadership and that obstinate threat of your boss coming down on you and the crumbling of any semblance of organizational hierarchy. Then it's a total free for all as anyone looking to make a name/buck/or takeover a small market starts trying to exert their power and position.

It just further pushes the point of futile nature of the war on drugs.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
53,169
47,393
136
It just further pushes the point of futile nature of the war on drugs.

There's something to be said for giving up and treating it like the public health issue it is instead of a criminal problem. Maybe that will happen now at least on state levels with the opioid epidemic killing off white rural America. There seems to be an attitudinal shift these days that wasn't present when drugs were largely perceived as strictly a urban minority issue.
 
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spacejamz

Lifer
Mar 31, 2003
10,984
1,704
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You know what's interesting....Chicago didn't even place in the top 25 most dangerous/violent U.S. cities.




1. St. Louis, Missouri
2. Detroit, Michigan
3. Birmingham, Alabama
4. Memphis, Tennessee
5. Milwaukee, Wisconsin
6. Rockford, Illinois
7. Baltimore, Maryland
9. Oakland, California

Little Rock, Arkansas
10. Kansas City, Missouri
11. Springfield, Missouri
12. Stockton, California
13. Indianapolis, Indiana
14. San Bernardino, California
15. Washington, District of Columbia
16. Lansing, Michigan
17. Hartford, Connecticut
18. Toledo, Ohio
19. Atlanta, Georgia
20. Buffalo, New York
21. Springfield, Massachusetts
22. Anchorage, Alaska
23. Springfield, Illinois
24. Tallahassee, Florida
25. Minneapolis, Minnesota

http://247wallst.com/special-report/2016/09/27/25-most-dangerous-cities-in-america/2/


Heck, Chicago couldn't even place higher than 8th in murder rate in cities with >250k residents:

8247121-720x0-c-default.png


Chicago-Murder-Rate-in-Context-2015-2016_02-1024x0-c-default.png


https://www.thetrace.org/2017/01/chicago-not-most-dangerous-city-america/

FWIW, comparing the actual numbers instead of rates

St Louis - 95 Murders in 2017 http://www.slmpd.org/images/Homicide_Stats_for_Website.pdf
Baltimore - 177 Murders in 2017 http://data.baltimoresun.com/news/p...e=all&age=all&gender=all&race=all&article=all
Chicago - 341 Murders in 2017 https://www.dnainfo.com/chicago/2017-chicago-murders
New Orleans - 97 Murders in 2017 http://www.nola.com/crime/index.ssf/page/new_orleans_murders.html
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
15,142
10,041
136
The UK reports convictions and the US incidents. I went to the UN site and a nightmare is standardizing. I'm not saying the rate here isn't higher, but not as much as it might appear.


I have read the claim you make here before (the UK only counting convictions, and thus producing a more small-c-conservative figure than the US) on a US blogger site somewhere, and concluded that sounded pretty important, but have since encountered people saying that isn't true after all. This reply is a bit long, because I got a bee in my bonnet about this and never managed to work out exactly what the truth is, as haven't found any comprehensive non-partisan account directly engaging with the claim.

Ha, found the blog again, I think it was this one

http://rboatright.blogspot.co.uk/2013/03/comparing-england-or-uk-murder-rates.html

After having a frustrating time trying to google for definitive answers one way or the other, I eventually found this

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...offences/yearendingmarch2015/chapter2homicide

Which appears to imply that the claim you repeat here isn't strictly true...unless I've still misunderstood something.

This bit

When the police initially record an offence as a homicide, it remains classified as such unless the police or courts decide that a lesser offence, or no offence, took place.

and this bit

Of the 518 cases currently recorded as homicide in the year ending March 2015, data on the case outcomes of the principal suspects at 13 November 2015 showed (Appendix Table 2.02 (1.59 Mb Excel sheet)):

  • court proceedings had resulted in homicide convictions in 198 cases (38%)

  • court proceedings were pending for 173 cases (33%)

  • proceedings had been discontinued or not initiated or all suspects had been acquitted in 18 cases (3%)

  • suspects had committed suicide in 28 cases (5%)

  • no suspects had been charged in connection with 99 cases (19%)


would seem to imply that the UK does not insist on a conviction before counting a suspicious death as homicide. But it does imply that some deaths originally categorised as such are later downgraded, if it turns out the person, say, in fact committed sucide or died by accident (or turns up alive, presumably!).


I mean, if your claim were strictly true, surely it would mean, if there's no conviction in a case like the Manchester suicide bomber and London bridge attackers (because the perpetrators died in the attack so they can't be convicted) that those deaths aren't counted in stats? I don't believe that is true. Likewise if the killer is never found, but it remains the police's view that it was a murder, it gets counted as such.

But it's not definitive, I accept, because of that possibility of a death later being decided to be not a homicide [edit to remove 'murder'] - but how is that dealt with in the US and how significant a number is that category?
 
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GagHalfrunt

Lifer
Apr 19, 2001
25,284
1,998
126
Hey they're back in the spotlight again with over 100 people being shot over the holiday weekend.

It was a holiday, they had to do something special to commemorate it.

Makes sense. We were a common stop between STL and Chicago where there was a lot of jockeying for power. Cut out leadership and that obstinate threat of your boss coming down on you and the crumbling of any semblance of organizational hierarchy. Then it's a total free for all as anyone looking to make a name/buck/or takeover a small market starts trying to exert their power and position.

It just further pushes the point of futile nature of the war on drugs.

Those who do not learn from the mistakes made in the mid-east are doomed to repeat them. Take heavily armed groups of people who know no life other than violence as a means to an end and create a power vacuum at the top. Has that ever ended well? Maybe the police in Chicago are taking the wrong path. Instead of trying to create chaos in the gangs by going after the leaders they should be trying to organize the gangs better. Put powerful leaders who can control their people in charge. Define carefully regulated patches of turf with neutral zones between tribal areas. Get everybody on the same page as to who controls what. The Mafia actually got better and everyone in their territories got marginally safer when the Five Families carved things up and respected each others areas. Things were calmer and a lot fewer innocent bystanders got caught in the crossfire when they were not at war with each other every day. Maybe there's a lesson in there.
 

xthetenth

Golden Member
Oct 14, 2014
1,800
529
106
Those who do not learn from the mistakes made in the mid-east are doomed to repeat them. Take heavily armed groups of people who know no life other than violence as a means to an end and create a power vacuum at the top. Has that ever ended well? Maybe the police in Chicago are taking the wrong path. Instead of trying to create chaos in the gangs by going after the leaders they should be trying to organize the gangs better. Put powerful leaders who can control their people in charge. Define carefully regulated patches of turf with neutral zones between tribal areas. Get everybody on the same page as to who controls what. The Mafia actually got better and everyone in their territories got marginally safer when the Five Families carved things up and respected each others areas. Things were calmer and a lot fewer innocent bystanders got caught in the crossfire when they were not at war with each other every day. Maybe there's a lesson in there.

At that point you're trying to create a parallel government to cover for the failure of the actual government.
 

MrDudeMan

Lifer
Jan 15, 2001
15,069
94
91
From this study (page is dated 3 months ago), in 2014, 51% of the murders occurred in 2% of the US counties....54% of the counties have no murders (69% of the counties had one murder or less)....

https://crimeresearch.org/2017/04/n...54-us-counties-2014-zero-murders-69-1-murder/

This is one of the things people don't understand about the US. The vast majority is very safe. There are specific places you need to go to run into the violence you have shoved down your throat by the media. Chicago is a great city to visit and I've been there tons of times for work and vacation. Don't go to the places where stupid people are constantly being stupid and you'll never run into the crap you see on the news.

Something that occurred to me the other day are the key differences between how and when our country was formed compared to other, older countries. England, for example, was well established by the time guns were a thing. There was a huge amount of violence at the infancy of English rule with swords and other implements before things leveled out. The US was birthed at the exact time guns became prolific, so it was the weapon of choice, which is why it is much more ingrained in our culture. It doesn't mean we're all gun nuts at heart nor does it mean we're inherently more violent (we're not, especially given the previous facts/quotes as it's just a few dumbasses in specific places). It makes a difference how you came to be and how you view the world around you. This country was forced to figure out how to become a country in the middle of the deployment of a new type of weapon. I'm not claiming it's better or worse, but that difference is never mentioned and I think it's significant.
 

Puffnstuff

Lifer
Mar 9, 2005
16,255
4,928
136
This is one of the things people don't understand about the US. The vast majority is very safe. There are specific places you need to go to run into the violence you have shoved down your throat by the media. Chicago is a great city to visit and I've been there tons of times for work and vacation. Don't go to the places where stupid people are constantly being stupid and you'll never run into the crap you see on the news.
Here in the real world this violence is spontaneous and occurs anywhere people are. Here in my city its happening in multiple areas where residents are "shocked" that it could happen in their neighborhoods.
 

MrDudeMan

Lifer
Jan 15, 2001
15,069
94
91
Here in the real world this violence is spontaneous and occurs anywhere people are. Here in my city its happening in multiple areas where residents are "shocked" that it could happen in their neighborhoods.

Edit: removing things that will cause you to miss the point. Violence always has been and always will be spontaneous to some degree, but that doesn't mean it isn't concentrated. The majority of the violence in this country is very concentrated. Of course there will still be crime and violence everywhere, but the usual amount that you would find anywhere with a certain number of people who live close together. Husbands and wives are still going to kill each other over stupid shit every once in a while, but that's not what we're discussing.