What Joe fails to say is that 40% of AMD's business is in FLASH. The memory market has been creamed worse than the CPU market. Intel and Merrill don't get along anymore, not since the days of their analyst Tom Kurlak. Osha is not much better. I am a Merrill client and they have been heavily biased against Intel for quite some time. So is Salomon Smith Barney's analyst, who continues to maintain that Intel will be cutting capital spending, saying he has this info "from the highest levels of the company." Craig Barrett specifically addressed this analyst's (Jonathan Joseph) at his IDF speech, saying "he obviously didn't go high enough", ie. he did not get this from him (Barrett), and being CEO he would be the "highest level of the company". Further proof that Osha is a bit out of it is his saying that AMD has been doing real well in the low-end segment of PC market. When in fact, AMD is just now penetrating that market - it was no fault of AMD's, there just was not an integrated (w/graphics) chipset solution available for AMD until recently. That is a necessity to garner the low end.
Ashok Kumar is a better analyst to follow, he's predicting tough times for both. He revised his earnings numbers 4 days before the warning announcement, and with Reg.D banning insider info now, it's real hard to make such accurate calls.