AMD - How low can it go?

Page 3 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
Originally posted by: Special K
Originally posted by: JS80
Originally posted by: AMCRambler
I already bought 250 shares when they hit $12.15. If it goes below $10 again I think I'm gonna pick up a few more. I think this is definitely a bargain priced stock right now. They are big in the hole since they bought ATI though. I read they sold a big chunk of stock to an Indian company and their stock price borked some more on that news.

Are you even reading the financials? They are projecting losses for the next 2 years..that is why the stock is so cheap.

I am not very familiar with the process of hiring/firing CEOs, so I will ask a question:

For how many more quarters would AMD have to sustain a loss before Hector would likely be voted out? And how exactly is a CEO "voted out"? Do the shareholders just hold a vote? Who would initiate the vote? The board of directors?

It would be a pain in the ass process. Activist shareholder would have to rally other shareholders to remove and replace board members who would fire the CEO.
 

0roo0roo

No Lifer
Sep 21, 2002
64,795
84
91
Originally posted by: zanejohnson
Intel FTW

everyone laughed when i bought a 2.4b when everyone was crying Athlon XP....

i clocked mine to 3.6 and everyone shut up quick....

and then everyone laughed again when i bought a Presler 930d, and they were all crying Athlon X2....it clocked to 4GHz and everyone shut up quick again...

i dont even need a Core2 yet...not to say i wouldnt love one...

how much was that system sucking down at idle? 250watts?
 

Locut0s

Lifer
Nov 28, 2001
22,205
43
91
Given how poorly they have messed up this CPU release and how much ground Intel now has on them, and given how invigorated Intel is, I don't see AMD being competitive for a long time to come. Whether they go under or not is another story. Like others said they make a lot more than just desktop/workstation CPUs but then it's there that they get all the press coverage so?
 

AdamK47

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
15,675
3,529
136
I'm not going for it. There are too many negatives than there are positives with AMD right now.
 

Special K

Diamond Member
Jun 18, 2000
7,098
0
76
Originally posted by: JS80
Originally posted by: Special K
Originally posted by: JS80
Originally posted by: AMCRambler
I already bought 250 shares when they hit $12.15. If it goes below $10 again I think I'm gonna pick up a few more. I think this is definitely a bargain priced stock right now. They are big in the hole since they bought ATI though. I read they sold a big chunk of stock to an Indian company and their stock price borked some more on that news.

Are you even reading the financials? They are projecting losses for the next 2 years..that is why the stock is so cheap.

I am not very familiar with the process of hiring/firing CEOs, so I will ask a question:

For how many more quarters would AMD have to sustain a loss before Hector would likely be voted out? And how exactly is a CEO "voted out"? Do the shareholders just hold a vote? Who would initiate the vote? The board of directors?

It would be a pain in the ass process. Activist shareholder would have to rally other shareholders to remove and replace board members who would fire the CEO.

Then why were Charles Prince (Citigroup) and Stan O'Neal (Merrill Lynch) so quick to resign after their companies announced a single quarter of reduced profits? Couldn't they have stuck around longer if the firing of a CEO is that long of a process?

Or alternately, why wouldn't Hector have resigned by now?

I suppose any answers to those questions would be speculation, but I'm just curious.
 

zanejohnson

Diamond Member
Nov 29, 2002
7,054
17
81
Originally posted by: 0roo0roo
Originally posted by: zanejohnson
Intel FTW

everyone laughed when i bought a 2.4b when everyone was crying Athlon XP....

i clocked mine to 3.6 and everyone shut up quick....

and then everyone laughed again when i bought a Presler 930d, and they were all crying Athlon X2....it clocked to 4GHz and everyone shut up quick again...

i dont even need a Core2 yet...not to say i wouldnt love one...

how much was that system sucking down at idle? 250watts?

who cares how much power it takes.....


my presler at 4GHz, is about as quick as a core2 at 2.5GHz according to superpi and sandra...
 

zanejohnson

Diamond Member
Nov 29, 2002
7,054
17
81
and here's my presler machine....

it will do 4GHz on a lot of volts....

but i run it at 3.7 on default voltage...

screeny
 

Jadow

Diamond Member
Feb 12, 2003
5,962
2
0
I'm conflicted on AMD. Personally, every PC I've homebuilt since about 99 has been AMD based, I think AMD is the best bang for your buck as a user.

On the other hand, Intel makes more profit in 1 quarter than AMD has made in the history of it's company going back to 1972. I only invest in profitable companies, and frankly, AMD isn't one. If they made their next chip plant in India or Indonesia instead of Texas or New Mexico, I'd feel much better. As an American, I hate saying that, as a private investor, I have to.
 

BigJ

Lifer
Nov 18, 2001
21,330
1
81
Originally posted by: zanejohnson
Originally posted by: 0roo0roo
Originally posted by: zanejohnson
Intel FTW

everyone laughed when i bought a 2.4b when everyone was crying Athlon XP....

i clocked mine to 3.6 and everyone shut up quick....

and then everyone laughed again when i bought a Presler 930d, and they were all crying Athlon X2....it clocked to 4GHz and everyone shut up quick again...

i dont even need a Core2 yet...not to say i wouldnt love one...

how much was that system sucking down at idle? 250watts?

who cares how much power it takes.....


my presler at 4GHz, is about as quick as a core2 at 2.5GHz according to superpi and sandra...

Yea too bad many of the C2D processors can run at 3.2ghz with stock cooling.
 

sniperruff

Lifer
Apr 17, 2002
11,644
2
0
the entire market is just not stable right now. a company's performance doesn't necessarily reflect its stock performance. walmart is the world's largest retailer... yet its stocks isn't doing so great.
 

zanejohnson

Diamond Member
Nov 29, 2002
7,054
17
81
Originally posted by: BigJ
Originally posted by: zanejohnson
Originally posted by: 0roo0roo
Originally posted by: zanejohnson
Intel FTW

everyone laughed when i bought a 2.4b when everyone was crying Athlon XP....

i clocked mine to 3.6 and everyone shut up quick....

and then everyone laughed again when i bought a Presler 930d, and they were all crying Athlon X2....it clocked to 4GHz and everyone shut up quick again...

i dont even need a Core2 yet...not to say i wouldnt love one...

how much was that system sucking down at idle? 250watts?

who cares how much power it takes.....


my presler at 4GHz, is about as quick as a core2 at 2.5GHz according to superpi and sandra...

Yea too bad many of the C2D processors can run at 3.2ghz with stock cooling.

i never dissed c2d's i said i'd love to have one.....i just said i dont need one yet.

c2d> *

 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: intogamer
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: JS80
Originally posted by: AMCRambler
I already bought 250 shares when they hit $12.15. If it goes below $10 again I think I'm gonna pick up a few more. I think this is definitely a bargain priced stock right now. They are big in the hole since they bought ATI though. I read they sold a big chunk of stock to an Indian company and their stock price borked some more on that news.

Are you even reading the financials? They are projecting losses for the next 2 years..that is why the stock is so cheap.

AMD has posted a profit of all what 5-6 quarters in the past decade?

And that was because Intel dropped the ball...

As a company AMD should have never bought ATI, and they should have withdrawn from the CPU market. They should stick to what makes them money, not losses it.

:confused:

earning and profits are two different terms right? I don't think you can post profit if you in debt?

If i'm wrong... sorry I'ma noob :(

Most companies have debt of some kind or another. Equity, by its very nature, is expensive. Shareholders require a high rate of return for taking the risks of unsecured lending plus being last in line for liquidation in bankruptcy.

Debt holders, on the other hand, are more secured. They get the remnants of the company if it gets liquidated. Additionally, their debt payment is guaranteed, unlike equity. Finally, they have covenants built into the debt that puts the company in shackles.

Profitable companies can have debt.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: Special K
Originally posted by: JS80
Originally posted by: Special K
Originally posted by: JS80
Originally posted by: AMCRambler
I already bought 250 shares when they hit $12.15. If it goes below $10 again I think I'm gonna pick up a few more. I think this is definitely a bargain priced stock right now. They are big in the hole since they bought ATI though. I read they sold a big chunk of stock to an Indian company and their stock price borked some more on that news.

Are you even reading the financials? They are projecting losses for the next 2 years..that is why the stock is so cheap.

I am not very familiar with the process of hiring/firing CEOs, so I will ask a question:

For how many more quarters would AMD have to sustain a loss before Hector would likely be voted out? And how exactly is a CEO "voted out"? Do the shareholders just hold a vote? Who would initiate the vote? The board of directors?

It would be a pain in the ass process. Activist shareholder would have to rally other shareholders to remove and replace board members who would fire the CEO.

Then why were Charles Prince (Citigroup) and Stan O'Neal (Merrill Lynch) so quick to resign after their companies announced a single quarter of reduced profits? Couldn't they have stuck around longer if the firing of a CEO is that long of a process?

Or alternately, why wouldn't Hector have resigned by now?

I suppose any answers to those questions would be speculation, but I'm just curious.

They were forced out essentially. The company needed to signal changes, removing CEOs does that very well.

People still have hope for hector, so they keep him around.

I will respond to your PM soon.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: sniperruff
the entire market is just not stable right now. a company's performance doesn't necessarily reflect its stock performance. walmart is the world's largest retailer... yet its stocks isn't doing so great.

Walmart isn't doing great because their profitability is going down and many people are doubting they can keep the same-store sales up. The company has many problems.

Not all companies go down with the general market. There are many counter-cyclical companies out there.
 

Aluvus

Platinum Member
Apr 27, 2006
2,913
1
0
Originally posted by: Wreckem

AMD has posted a profit of all what 5-6 quarters in the past decade?

And that was because Intel dropped the ball...

As a company AMD should have never bought ATI, and they should have withdrawn from the CPU market. They should stick to what makes them money, not losses it.

If AMD had not purchased ATI and withdrew from the CPU market, that would leave them selling approximately 0 products.

Originally posted by: Special K

Then why were Charles Prince (Citigroup) and Stan O'Neal (Merrill Lynch) so quick to resign after their companies announced a single quarter of reduced profits? Couldn't they have stuck around longer if the firing of a CEO is that long of a process?

Or alternately, why wouldn't Hector have resigned by now?

I suppose any answers to those questions would be speculation, but I'm just curious.

The AP says that Citi lost $6.5 billion in Q3 and may write down another $8 to 11 billion in Q4. That Q3 loss was due to a $9.8 billion write-down. Merrill "only" wrote down $7.9 billion (so far). Both stocks fell by more than a third from their June price. I have heard but can't verify that internal politics at Merrill wrt Mr. O'Neal were also less than pretty before this whole thing came to a head.

So the executives fell on their swords. Their replacements will come in, swear they will never permit such a thing to happen again, and try to rebuild confidence. They will pitch themselves as reformers that will cut out the rot created by their predecessors (and hopefully will actually do it), and life for the companies will go on.

Mr. Ruiz has not resigned because he has not felt there was enough pressure that he needed to. AMD's performance issues and the investment from Abu Dhabi are different from a single, catastrophic event like these write-downs. And Mr. Ruiz doesn't make a very good scapegoat for the performance issues (he didn't exactly design the new microarchitecture himself), and the Abu Dhabi investment isn't the sort of thing that would prompt a resignation. His fingerprints are most obviously on the ATI deal, but the market seems to be somewhat ambivalent about that.

Honestly the people that I have seen calling for Mr. Ruiz to leave have mostly been pissy forum trolls. It does not appear that there is a large shareholder outcry against his leadership, and AMD itself seems to have decent confidence in him. If either of those things change, he could be gone.
 

Aluvus

Platinum Member
Apr 27, 2006
2,913
1
0
Originally posted by: Jadow
If they made their next chip plant in India or Indonesia instead of Texas or New Mexico, I'd feel much better. As an American, I hate saying that, as a private investor, I have to.

Front-end or back-end?

AMD has its only production front-end wafer fabs in Germany. They have an R&D fab in Finland (from ATI, which also got it in an acquisition), and have talked about building another fab in New York state (with large subsidies involved). All of their back-end package and test facilities are in China and Malaysia.

Wafer fabs are where all of the horrible costs are, and there is not a huge advantage to locating them in cheap-labor countries. Fabs need skilled labor, clean water, and minimal export restrictions. Intel is in the process of building a new fab in China as we speak, and has run into problems with restrictions on the export of advanced dual-use technologies (tech with potential military applications).

Intel's fabs are currently in Israel, Ireland, and yes, the United States. Assembly and test? China, Costa Rica, Malaysia, and the Philippines (list). These facilities are less capital-intensive and do benefit from being built overseas.
 

SlowSpyder

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
17,305
1,002
126
Originally posted by: zanejohnson
and here's my presler machine....

it will do 4GHz on a lot of volts....

but i run it at 3.7 on default voltage...

screeny

Congrats. You can keep up with a 2.4-2.6ghz A64 dual core. You sure showed us.