Originally posted by: kherman
Truth is, alot more damage would have to occur than 10 mukes could cause to break down transportation to the appocoliptic levels ou speak of.
Okay, so how much of our oil comes from out of the country? (All of these numbers here are off the top of my head, but I'll at least be within an order of magnitude.) I'll say 80%. Where does it enter the country? Most (90%?) of it enters the U.S. in 4 major ports, e.g. Houston, NY, LA, New Orleans. So that's 72% of our nation's transportation capacity entering the country through 4 cities. Blowing up and blocking these ports could easily be accomplished with the use of 4 nukes. And then destroying the refineries, which often are close by, would even further damage our capacity. Okay, so we've got reserves... but how long could those really last? More importantly, how accessible are they? I know we've got pipelines, but there's not nearly enough of them to cover the whole country. So we're wasting gas to take gas to other places. And then how likely do you think the gov't is to sell this reserve oil to civilians when there's such a state of emergency?
Again, these numbers were pulled straight out of my ass, but I think I've illustrated, without major logical leaps or extremely radical assumptions, that with a few hits in key locations, our transportation system would be severely disrupted, to the extent that food supply problems would start building up within months.
And no, repairs to heavily radiated areas cannot be achieved within a matter of months. Could some of the transport capacity be transferred elsewhere? Sure. But again as a result of the specialization we've achieved through economies of scale, that extreme amount of capacity simply isn't available anywhere else. And that's assuming that we're still getting oil from these other countries, the majority of which are Muslim, meaning the US's relationship with them would be severely destabilized after such an attack, possibly leading to embargoes or boycotts.
I'm seriously trying to be as realistic as possible here, so if any of my assumptions were way off-base, please correct me.