Originally posted by: chess9
What's next? Bow, you ask such difficult questions!
It's up to the parties as I see it. This conflict can have several different results in the short term (5 years). The best result imaginable for Bush at this juncture is a Shiite regime that isn't openly hostile to America. If we continue to actually rebuild Iraq, like we did Japan and Germany, then that is a possible result. An American style democracy, which Lieberman touted in NH is sheer lunacy. What makes anyone think that is even a remote possibility in Iraq? Already Chalabi has turned his coat and is siding with those who want elections now. (Chalabi is a snake so no one should be surprised.) Most Iraqis see America the way a cancer patient views chemotherapy. Necessary but painful, and they will be happy when the pain is GONE!
I don't think the Iraqis have the capability to directly affect this election (such as with bombings hers) because we have them occupied there. But, if Iraq starts to stabilize in the next 4-5 months, and it is palpable to the American public, then Bush benefits. So, the terrible irony here is that if they keep killing Americans at the current pace, we might have a new President because Americans have a short attention span and little tolerance for pain.
The Koran is not going to change, which means that the Muslims are not going to change very much. But the number of them who are suicide bombing crazies can drop precipitously if the U.S., Israel, and the other Western countries do something about their poverty, health care, infrastructure, and civil rights. They want some respect. You know if you don't LISTEN to someone's issues, you can't solve them. (Your wife may have mentioned this.

) This has been our failing in the past. We can't solve everyone's issues, but we can do a hell of a lot more good with butter than guns.
Just my .00002 Rials.
-Robert