Originally posted by: Chris2wire
Lets not forget... Conroe is not the end of the line.
you *think* holding out for Conroe will get you a great upgrade. But what happens when 1 week before Conroe is released that AMD announces its new CPU that trounces the Conroe? Then you'll be waiting LONGER to upgrade...
The point is just upgrade and get it over with and have fun... if you keep waiting for the best to come around so you can upgrade, then you'll never upgrade because something better will always be paper-launched and in the making.
This doesn't really hold water. Some upgrades make a lot of sense. For example, someone going from an aging s754 system or an overclocked Athlon XP-M to a s939 x2 would have seen an enormous improvement in performance, especially if they got one that overclocked well (or an Opteron 165 or what have you). Such a jump in performance would have been considerable enough for them to hold out through the entire s939 product cycle until the release of dual-core procs from AMD. Someone upgrading from their overclocked X2/s939 Opteron to an AM2 system will see maybe a 5% increase in performance. That is not an enormous increase in performance, and it's an upgrade they can afford to ignore. One upgrade made sense and was "worth the wait". Another wasn't. Can you tell which was which?
Conroe is on the roadmaps, and we have a pretty good idea of when the chips will be available to the public. AM2 will be out at the same time. Based on what we've seen of Conroe, it will be worth the wait. AM2 won't.
Whatever product AMD intends to use against Conroe (K8L I assume) isn't due to launch until sometime in 2007, which is a pretty vague, sweeping estimate. That means that, after Conroe ships, AMD will have to suffer at least 6 months of being without the performance crown. In contrast, Conroe will ship in about 3 months from now, give or take.
Are you beginning to see why the "you're always waiting for the next best thing" argument just doesn't make sense? I'll summarize: some processors are just great buys with respect to their generation. Some are not. Stick to getting the ones that are, and wait for the ones that promise to be true winners. Nothing on AM2 looks like a winner, but Conroe and Merom both have enormous potential.
And dont say AMD trouncing Conroe is impossible... Lets not forget the mighty P4 getting outdone by the Athlon XPs.
Revisionist history. Northwood took back the performance crown for Intel culminating with the release of the 3.2c. AMD's response, the Barton core (represented by the flagship 3200+) could not keep up in a majority of apps. The 3200+ was only able to compete in the gaming arena. It wasn't until the release of the Athlon 64 that AMD was able to compete again.
And lets not forget the great Barton core that raised the bar that much more.
Barton sucked, sorry. It was only useful once AMD started shipping nice mobile cores that could overclock well. At stock speeds, desktop Bartons were inferior to Northwoods. The 3.2c was faster than any desktop Barton released.
AMD has always responded and has done it with something that has a better price-performance ratio.
Their responses have not always been adequate. Notables include the k6-3 and all the Barton-core XPs. Now we have AM2 which won't launch with anything faster than that which is on s939 aside from the FX-62.
Conroe will be no different. AMD will be there with an answer on paper, and you'll hold off on upgrading for even longer.
Why would anyone do that? AMD's response will be at least 6 months off from the Conroe launch. People who are salivating over Conore know it's about 3 months from now. They also know that engineering samples have been tested by a number of individuals, and the results are intriguing. That's more than a teaser on paper. You'd have to be a real fanboy to ignore Conroe and Merom in hopes that AMD will release details on their next big thing in June or July.
be like me... upgrade now. when you see something you like later, sell your stuff and upgrade. then do it again, and again.
Um, no? These people see something they like about 3 months from now. I don't blame them for holding off. If Conroe launches at the prices Intel has released to the public, AMD prices could drop through the floor too, which will be great for anyone looking to upgrade on the cheap.
The point is if you wait then you'll die very unsatisfied. Live life and enjoy it as things become available.
Wrong. If you wait, you get to skip over useless generations of technology like Barton, Willamette, Prescott/Smithfield/Cedar Mill/Presler, Nforce 3-based s939 boards, and other junk.
AMD will not have a response for Conroe until 2007. Waiting for Conroe makes sense. It's a short wait, and it promises to offer a huge boost in performance for both Intel and AMD users.