> I will have to differ. With a 8 device stick, there is a higher chance that each device on the stick will
> OC with the FSB. Likewise, if you increase the number of devices to 16, the probability of them all
> OCing is less than if the number were 8.
This would be true, if the higher-density chips on the 8-device RIMMs could overclock as well as the lower-density chips on the 16-device RIMMs. But they don't.. The higher density chips on the 8-device 256Mb RIMMs don't overclock nearly as well as the lower-density chips found in the 16-device 256Mb RIMMs.
If you must think of it in probabilities, think of it like this: a single high-density chip (as found on 8-chip 256Mb RIMMs) has perhaps a 80% chance of hitting PC1200 speed, while a low-density chip has a 95% chance of hitting PC1200 speed. That would give an 8-device 256Mb RIMM a 16.7% chance of hitting PC1200 speed, while a 16-device 256Mb RIMM would have a 44% chance of hitting PC1200, and a 8-device 128Mb RIMM would have a 66% chance of hitting PC1200.
Hope that clears things up.