2018 mid-term forecast

[Jhhnn]

They'll want him for the primaries and have a complete failure of memory that he ever campaigned for them come the general.

Indeed. Trump commands the delusional GOP primary voting base. He holds them in thrall, poor bastards. The gulf between their headsets & the rest of America is enormous. And there are obviously plenty of GOP politicians willing to kiss the sphincter ring to get a nomination, too.

 

[hal2kilo]

As the homicide detective says "My! My!"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...ate-seat-in-wisconsin/?utm_term=.561e2eed5ea2

Another one bites the dust.

 

[MomentsofSanity]

As the homicide detective says "My! My!"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...ate-seat-in-wisconsin/?utm_term=.561e2eed5ea2

Another one bites the dust.

While the GOP won the rest of the seats (3/4 on the night) they underperformed by something like 20% from previous years on incredibly low turnout.

 

[hal2kilo]

While the GOP won the rest of the seats (3/4 on the night) they underperformed by something like 20% from previous years on incredibly low turnout.

That's not possible! How you gonna MAGA if you don't show up.

 

[woolfe9998]

I wish that site didn't try to keep editorializing, but the source data kinda says it all, really: in the House, at least, the Dems stand a good chance of winning simply through sheer numbers. My question is the Senate -- I know that there aren't many seats up for grabs, and those that are open aren't necessarily in states where change is likely. With that said, the GOP's fumble with Moore gives the Democrats a better chance than they had before.

This is as thorough an analysis of the dems chances for the Senate in 2018 as you'll find anywhere.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/are-democrats-senate-chances-overrated/

 

[MomentsofSanity]

That's not possible! How you gonna MAGA if you don't show up.

From my vantage point conservatives not showing up to vote is the perfect way to MAGA...

 

[Jhhnn]

While the GOP won the rest of the seats (3/4 on the night) they underperformed by something like 20% from previous years on incredibly low turnout.

Already sick of winning!

 

[KMFJD]

If North Carolina is any indication -

Once the GOP loses control, they'll quickly shove through new House/Senate rules that denude the power of committees and majority leaders. The NC legislature stifled the governor's powers last year because a Democrat won.

If Kansas is any indication -

Once the GOP loses control, they'll slash funding to education, healthcare, and welfare just to say they finally did it (Been promising those a long time), and insist these are balancing the budget and enhancing growth (Note "growth" has been the GOP's favorite economic talking point lately).

If Wisconsin is any indication -

Once the GOP loses control, the lame duck session will slash the "deep state" aka the civil service corps. People who've built careers and put kids through college will be unemployed. A whole chain of continuity from lowly GS-5's and up will have their pay and benefits slashed. This will bleed the civil service dry and permit a wave of new government contracts with companies tied to GOP office holders' interests.

If Oklahoma is any indication -

Schools nationwide will slip to 4-day weeks as teachers move to Canada for better pay and QOL.