2/20/2009

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nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
91
anyone have a link to that "how low will it go" prediction thread from a couple months ago?
 

OCGuy

Lifer
Jul 12, 2000
27,224
37
91
Originally posted by: Bowfinger
Originally posted by: Ocguy31
Originally posted by: Bowfinger
Originally posted by: Ocguy31
Originally posted by: ayabe
You're right bitches, McCain would be owning this shit.

In fact, we'd all be toasting DOW 15,000 is we just got those corporate tax rates to zero, oh well too bad we chose the black guy, nothing but the gulag for us now.
I've heard of buuuh buuuuuh buuuh Bush....

Buuuh buuh buuh Mccain?
I believe she was mocking you for being such a partisan buffoon. Obama won. Grow up and get over it.
Oh the irony...

I was pointing out that Obama won, not Mccain, so diverting to McCain isnt valid. Thank you for backing me up.
ROFL. That whistling sound you heard was the point soaring far over your head. Our economic situation today would be exactly the same had McCain been elected, making your childish dig at Obama purely pointless partisan stupidity. You may want to stop digging now.

(By the way, it's dishonest to alter someone's quote without showing you've done so.)

ROFLLOLERCAKES (insert other meme here)


Actually, many people believe the market is reacting to Obama's "stimulus" bill. So no, you cant say it would have been exactly the same. Did you even read the news today?


As far as sniping quotes, I dont know what to tell you about that. I didnt change content, so I dont think it is "dishonest" ;)

 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
Given the volatility of the last 5-6 months and what that indicates historically, this is a great time to buy stocks and a home. Can't wait to get enough for a down payment in LA later this year. Though I'm personally wondering what the next tech revolution will look like, it's usually during recessions that we see all sorts of new ideas explode onto the scene.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Futures are down substantially. I've been watching these for months and they rarely get much more than 100 or so down, even on the days we've seen a huge drop (I know they hit their limit one of those days a while back, though). That's where they are today (130 or so). From time to time the futures will be way down and the day finishes up, however.
 

wwswimming

Banned
Jan 21, 2006
3,695
1
0
US markets usually track European markets. not exactly, but the general direction.

and European markets are down about 3% Friday.
 

Ozoned

Diamond Member
Mar 22, 2004
5,578
0
0
figure 1 point = 1billion $. Cross check that with each stimulus and bank bailout spending bill that passes. Note the correlation .
 

halik

Lifer
Oct 10, 2000
25,696
1
81
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Futures are down substantially. I've been watching these for months and they rarely get much more than 100 or so down, even on the days we've seen a huge drop (I know they hit their limit one of those days a while back, though). That's where they are today (130 or so). From time to time the futures will be way down and the day finishes up, however.

Actually futures tend to be down sharply if europe and asia closes down and there are no news here (especially early in the morning, then news start to move em). I'd bet that dow is gonna trade sideways, comparatively speaking we're a lot better off now than back in November. But then again i was making a ton of money back in november :D

Where's my USD slide though, dammit it? Crude oil definitely overshot on the downside, but the dollar quasi-rally he's been keeping me in the red.

<- lots of education, no crystal ball. Anyone that tells you otherwise is a liar.
 

imported_K3N

Golden Member
Dec 20, 2005
1,199
0
71
Trilateral Overlord Brzezinski: Possible Riots and Class Conflicts to come in the Future

Zbignew Brzezinski, co-founder of the Trilateral Commission and Guru of the 44th tenant of the White House, has warned that riots, and even a class conflict, could arise in the near future as result of the global financial crisis. Brzezinski is well known for being the National Security advisor of the catastrophic Jimmy Carter administration. It also shouldn't go unnoticed that Brzezinski is a Polish revanchist hell bent on the destruction of Russia. In 1979 Brzezinski was a strong advocate of Islamic fundamentalism, because these were seen as the ideal proxies at the time to take on the Soviet Union, as seen during the Soviet-Afghan war of the 80s.

The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), was founded under Jimmy Carter on April 1st, 1979, to primarily deal with the upsurge of the masses that was predicted to happen by around 2010-2030. All according to Trilateral member, Samuel P. Huntington. Indeed Zbignew is a man that should be taken seriously, as he hopes to accomplish something that the evicted neo-cons had never dreamt of, the eventual destruction of Russia and China by playing them against each other. Of course this strategy will more than likely blow up in Zbignew's face. This is as seen in World War II, where the British failed in trying to limit World War II by trying to play Nazi Germany against the Soviet Union, in hopes both countries would destroy eachother, presrving Anglo dominance in the region.

The books by Webster Tarpley, Obama the Postmodern Coup: Making of a Manchurian Candidate, and Barack H. Obama: The Unauthorized Biography are must reads, that go in depth of the ambitions of Obama's guru, Zbignew Brzezinski.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...k3ntegra.blogspot.com/
 

Specop 007

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2005
9,454
0
0
Originally posted by: Craig234
Originally posted by: dphantom
Originally posted by: Craig234
Originally posted by: dphantom
It's all Bush's fault.

It's a lot Bush's fault. Can you argue that, or only your straw man?

Sensitive aren't we? :)

Of course much is the Bush admins fault. But there is plenty to go around. No one and I mean no one has clean hands in this.

That's why all the finger pointing is meaningless at this point. We need to worry about fixing the problem.

Ya, but we need to understand why the problem happened, in order to fix it.

If you have a lot of drunk driving, but no laws against it, you can't fix the problem simply by improving the medical care and first responder budgets.

When the wealthy are able to dominate the system to the point they can force the rules to be good for them and bad for society, that's the problem and finger pointing is needed.

Except the wealthy still have to play by the same rules as you or I. Who sets those rules?

The government.
 

GrGr

Diamond Member
Sep 25, 2003
3,204
1
76
Originally posted by: Specop 007
Originally posted by: Craig234
Originally posted by: dphantom
Originally posted by: Craig234
Originally posted by: dphantom
It's all Bush's fault.

It's a lot Bush's fault. Can you argue that, or only your straw man?

Sensitive aren't we? :)

Of course much is the Bush admins fault. But there is plenty to go around. No one and I mean no one has clean hands in this.

That's why all the finger pointing is meaningless at this point. We need to worry about fixing the problem.

Ya, but we need to understand why the problem happened, in order to fix it.

If you have a lot of drunk driving, but no laws against it, you can't fix the problem simply by improving the medical care and first responder budgets.

When the wealthy are able to dominate the system to the point they can force the rules to be good for them and bad for society, that's the problem and finger pointing is needed.

Except the wealthy still have to play by the same rules as you or I. Who sets those rules?

The government.

And the wealthy own the government...



 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Most of us know the DOW dropped 90% during the great depression from peak to trough. However, who knew that the Nikkei (Japan) is currently down 80% from its 1989 high? They haven't even gone through a depression. Link

Damn, now that is just a SH*T investment isn't it? You drop in 100k and TWENTY YEARS LATER you are down 80%?
 

halik

Lifer
Oct 10, 2000
25,696
1
81
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Most of us know the DOW dropped 90% during the great depression from peak to trough. However, who knew that the Nikkei (Japan) is currently down 80% from its 1989 high? They haven't even gone through a depression. Link

Damn, now that is just a SH*T investment isn't it? You drop in 100k and TWENTY YEARS LATER you are down 80%?

Heh they also had a huge real estate bubble and like 15 years of stagflation. I've heard that at the peak Tokyo office space hit a million USD/m^2

They also had no mark to market rules, so no one know what bank owned what and deflation killed the consumer for 10+ years.
 

Pneumothorax

Golden Member
Nov 4, 2002
1,181
23
81
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Most of us know the DOW dropped 90% during the great depression from peak to trough. However, who knew that the Nikkei (Japan) is currently down 80% from its 1989 high? They haven't even gone through a depression. Link

Damn, now that is just a SH*T investment isn't it? You drop in 100k and TWENTY YEARS LATER you are down 80%?

Yup and we're heading down the same path...
 

halik

Lifer
Oct 10, 2000
25,696
1
81
Originally posted by: Pneumothorax
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Most of us know the DOW dropped 90% during the great depression from peak to trough. However, who knew that the Nikkei (Japan) is currently down 80% from its 1989 high? They haven't even gone through a depression. Link

Damn, now that is just a SH*T investment isn't it? You drop in 100k and TWENTY YEARS LATER you are down 80%?

Yup and we're heading down the same path...


Hardly, we're doing pretty much the opposite of what Japan did to "solve" it.

How much money would you have if you put $100K into Nasdaq in the spring of 2000?
 

Slew Foot

Lifer
Sep 22, 2005
12,379
96
86
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Most of us know the DOW dropped 90% during the great depression from peak to trough. However, who knew that the Nikkei (Japan) is currently down 80% from its 1989 high? They haven't even gone through a depression. Link

Damn, now that is just a SH*T investment isn't it? You drop in 100k and TWENTY YEARS LATER you are down 80%?

The two worst types of bubbles are real estate and government.

Japan is seeign what happens when a RE bubble pops, decades of crap economic growth.

When a government bubble pops, you see anarchy and hyperinflation, right now we're deciding which way we want to go
 

Zebo

Elite Member
Jul 29, 2001
39,398
19
81
Originally posted by: bamacre
Really amazing when you look at stocks individually. Dell at $8.12, Intel below $13.

Still overvalued like all stocks are. Whole thing has been about a 50 year pyramid scheme. GW tried to keep it going by investing SS funds in there. Took some time but people are financially buying a clue that these securities do not pay, never intended to pay, and increasing value was based on speculation (and in some cases semi-forced contributions e.g. 401K).

Let me know when they start paying 10% dividends, then I'll start investing in thier companies... Rather do my own in the meantime.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: halik
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Most of us know the DOW dropped 90% during the great depression from peak to trough. However, who knew that the Nikkei (Japan) is currently down 80% from its 1989 high? They haven't even gone through a depression. Link

Damn, now that is just a SH*T investment isn't it? You drop in 100k and TWENTY YEARS LATER you are down 80%?

Heh they also had a huge real estate bubble and like 15 years of stagflation. I've heard that at the peak Tokyo office space hit a million USD/m^2

They also had no mark to market rules, so no one know what bank owned what and deflation killed the consumer for 10+ years.
Is this not analogous to the problem we see over time as more banks are being steamrolled by losses that were difficult to identify the potential for before it happened?

I'm still extremely glad this is all happening when I'm young and not a stock-heavy about-to-retire person who's outlook on the future has been shattered.

As the market falls it bothers me, but a person who had even a mere 50% of their retirement in stocks and was looking for several years from now to retire is running some ugly numbers. Of course, sometimes you hear of people who were almost all stocks and needed the money soon, and they are in a major world of hurt.
 

ericlp

Diamond Member
Dec 24, 2000
6,137
225
106
Originally posted by: KB
There are some huge bargains on wallstreet right now. I wish I had the guts to invest.

Not to mention the money! :)


 

dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
26,042
4,683
126
Originally posted by: Zebo
Still overvalued like all stocks are. Whole thing has been about a 50 year pyramid scheme.
A pyramid or Ponzi scheme relies on new members to pay off long term members. The stock market relies on (a) new members and (b) company profits in order to pay off long term members. There is a similarity there, but there is also a major difference. The rise in stock prices is basically a pyrmaid scheme. But the dividends are not. Dividends historically were quite decent (approaching 5%). While that isn't the 10% that people expected from stocks (since that included an additional 5% pyramid scheme profit), it is a decent return. Too bad dividends were slashed in the internet boom and all we are left with is scraps and the pyramid scheme.

 

Zebo

Elite Member
Jul 29, 2001
39,398
19
81
Originally posted by: dullard
Originally posted by: Zebo
Still overvalued like all stocks are. Whole thing has been about a 50 year pyramid scheme.
A pyramid or Ponzi scheme relies on new members to pay off long term members. The stock market relies on (a) new members and (b) company profits in order to pay off long term members. There is a similarity there, but there is also a major difference. The rise in stock prices is basically a pyrmaid scheme. But the dividends are not. Dividends historically were quite decent (approaching 5%). While that isn't the 10% that people expected from stocks (since that included an additional 5% pyramid scheme profit), it is a decent return. Too bad dividends were slashed in the internet boom and all we are left with is scraps and the pyramid scheme.

Thanks Dullard, glad someone sees the problem - I speak in hyperbole to get my point across sometimes:p You explained the problem better.

 

halik

Lifer
Oct 10, 2000
25,696
1
81
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: halik
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Most of us know the DOW dropped 90% during the great depression from peak to trough. However, who knew that the Nikkei (Japan) is currently down 80% from its 1989 high? They haven't even gone through a depression. Link

Damn, now that is just a SH*T investment isn't it? You drop in 100k and TWENTY YEARS LATER you are down 80%?

Heh they also had a huge real estate bubble and like 15 years of stagflation. I've heard that at the peak Tokyo office space hit a million USD/m^2

They also had no mark to market rules, so no one know what bank owned what and deflation killed the consumer for 10+ years.
Is this not analogous to the problem we see over time as more banks are being steamrolled by losses that were difficult to identify the potential for before it happened?

I'm still extremely glad this is all happening when I'm young and not a stock-heavy about-to-retire person who's outlook on the future has been shattered.

As the market falls it bothers me, but a person who had even a mere 50% of their retirement in stocks and was looking for several years from now to retire is running some ugly numbers. Of course, sometimes you hear of people who were almost all stocks and needed the money soon, and they are in a major world of hurt.

1) If you're a stock heavy about to retire person, you're a moron. You can't fix stupid.

2) Without mark to market, you will de facto kill all investment. If you don't mark your assets to the current value, you may as well not make a balance sheet to begin with. I think my Porsche is worth eleventy jillion dollars, so that's what I put on my balance sheet... despite that I can probably only get $2G for it.
 

BoberFett

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
37,562
9
81
Originally posted by: dullard
Originally posted by: Zebo
Still overvalued like all stocks are. Whole thing has been about a 50 year pyramid scheme.
A pyramid or Ponzi scheme relies on new members to pay off long term members. The stock market relies on (a) new members and (b) company profits in order to pay off long term members. There is a similarity there, but there is also a major difference. The rise in stock prices is basically a pyrmaid scheme. But the dividends are not. Dividends historically were quite decent (approaching 5%). While that isn't the 10% that people expected from stocks (since that included an additional 5% pyramid scheme profit), it is a decent return. Too bad dividends were slashed in the internet boom and all we are left with is scraps and the pyramid scheme.

This is what bugs me about the stock market. Dividends are things of the past. The only reason to buy stock now is to sell it some sucker later who hopes he can pawn it off on someone else for more than he paid, and the cycle continues.