- Jan 27, 2014
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“Under Obama, Average Family Premiums Have Increased $4,154”
– Republican National Committee tweet and “fact check”
Here is the link to the "fact check"; http://rncresearch.tumblr.com/post/108696375165/sotu-fact-check-obamacare-premiums-under-obama
But if you dig into the 2014 Kaiser report, you see that two things happened. First, the rate of premium increases has slowed compared to previous years. Second, the RNC changed the baseline to make Obama’s numbers look even worse. (Perhaps that was in response to the sudden slowdown in premium increases?)
To come up with $4,154, the RNC has to reach all the way back to 2008, the year before Obama took the oath of office. Never mind that it previously had measured the increase starting in 2010. Under the RNC’s previous baseline, the increase would have just been $3,064. But it would actually make more sense to have a baseline starting in 2011, so you are capturing what happened after at least some of the Obamacare provisions went into effect; that’s an increase of $1,761.
Kris Anderson, research director of the RNC ,said the 2008 baseline was taken “to encompass the growth in premiums across [Obama's] entire term.” He said “it’s the metric we’ve used for quite some time for examining how premiums have grown during his entire time in office.: he did not explain why a different baseline was used for the 2012 ad.
Regular readers know that The Fact Checker is often dubious about raw numbers that appear to have little context. Health-care premiums, like the costs of most goods, go up year after year. What matters is the rate of increase — and right now, health-care inflation is at its lowest rate in decades.
So the RNC has managed to take a good-news story and tried to turn it into something negative. That alone would result in another Three Pinocchios. But in order to make the numbers look even worse, the RNC changed the baseline and went all the way back to a year before Obama became president. That’s worthy of Four Pinocchios.
Is it a small thing to ask that we finally put this zombie stat to rest?
Here are some deets on the Pinocchio 'rating'; http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/about-the-fact-checker/#pinocchio

One Pinocchio
Some shading of the facts. Selective telling of the truth. Some omissions and exaggerations, but no outright falsehoods.

Two Pinocchios
Significant omissions and/or exaggerations. Some factual error may be involved but not necessarily. A politician can create a false, misleading impression by playing with words and using legalistic language that means little to ordinary people.

Three Pinocchios
Significant factual error and/or obvious contradictions.

Four Pinocchios Which is where this 'fact' from RNC sits,..
Whoppers.