Why is McCain promising victory?

[seemingly random]

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU

Originally posted by: seemingly random

Originally posted by: alien42

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU
well, the polls have been closing, the average is now down to a 4.5 point lead for Obama, from 6+ just a couple of days ago.

Trends are making this a much closer race.

only if you are selectively picking and choosing your polls. the fivethirtyeight.com super tracker shows no such divergence.

He's just speaking empathetically for mccain. It's a repug trait. Always defend a fellow repug even when they're wrong.

hmmm, you seem so unbiased

Yes, I look at the numbers, suspend disbelief and give the cheer "mccain's winning".

 

[StageLeft]

Originally posted by: seemingly random
It is pitiful to watch him lying about the state of his campaign.

"We're doing just fine. We're gonna win."

"My vp candidate is doing a great job and I'm proud of her."

The recent 'meet the press' performance was distressing. If I didn't know he was a sell-out, I'd feel sorry for him.

This.

If he came out and said look I know Palin is actually a total fvckup and I apologize for this joke of a campaign, please forgive me, I'd have mad respect for that.

--

Does anybody think McCain is inviting Palin over for Thanksgiving dinner this year?

 

[MikeyLSU]

Originally posted by: jpeyton

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU
With all six trackers out for today, the avg gap has Obama up by 4.3 today:
Zogby Obama by 4
Ras Obama by 5
Hotline Obama by 8
GWUBat Obama by 3
Gallup Obama by 2
IBD Obama by 4

Tracking the average since Saturday:
Sat: Obama by 6.2
Sun: Obama by 5.4
Mon: Obama by 4.8
Tue: Obama by 4.3

WRONG

where exactly is it wrong, looks like the same by day, I just did a daily average added that the link you provided doesn't add.

 

[MikeyLSU]

Originally posted by: seemingly random

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU

Originally posted by: seemingly random

Originally posted by: alien42

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU
well, the polls have been closing, the average is now down to a 4.5 point lead for Obama, from 6+ just a couple of days ago.

Trends are making this a much closer race.

only if you are selectively picking and choosing your polls. the fivethirtyeight.com super tracker shows no such divergence.

He's just speaking empathetically for mccain. It's a repug trait. Always defend a fellow repug even when they're wrong.

hmmm, you seem so unbiased

Yes, I look at the numbers, suspend disbelief and give the cheer "mccain's winning".

never said McCain was winning. In fact I think Obama wins the election. I'm just pointing out the polls are closing some and I don't think it will be the absolute blowout(350+) some are predicting.

 

[polarmystery]

Originally posted by: jpeyton

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU
With all six trackers out for today, the avg gap has Obama up by 4.3 today:
Zogby Obama by 4
Ras Obama by 5
Hotline Obama by 8
GWUBat Obama by 3
Gallup Obama by 2
IBD Obama by 4

Tracking the average since Saturday:
Sat: Obama by 6.2
Sun: Obama by 5.4
Mon: Obama by 4.8
Tue: Obama by 4.3

WRONG

LOL @ Fox news showing McCain +19! Here in Texas, I am surrounded by people who are voting for McCain or who already have. I just like sitting here in my cube knowing that most of them have no idea that McCain is not winning. Actually, it's fairly red-necky over here and I desperately am trying to GTFO!

 

[seemingly random]

Originally posted by: Skoorb

Originally posted by: seemingly random
It is pitiful to watch him lying about the state of his campaign.

"We're doing just fine. We're gonna win."

"My vp candidate is doing a great job and I'm proud of her."

The recent 'meet the press' performance was distressing. If I didn't know he was a sell-out, I'd feel sorry for him.

This.

If he came out and said look I know Palin is actually a total fvckup and I apologize for this joke of a campaign, please forgive me, I'd have mad respect for that.

--

Does anybody think McCain will be serving Palin for Thanksgiving dinner this year?

She did turn out to be a turkey...

 

[miketheidiot]

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU
With all six trackers out for today, the avg gap has Obama up by 4.3 today:
Zogby Obama by 4
Ras Obama by 5
Hotline Obama by 8
GWUBat Obama by 3
Gallup Obama by 2
IBD Obama by 4

Tracking the average since Saturday:
Sat: Obama by 6.2
Sun: Obama by 5.4
Mon: Obama by 4.8
Tue: Obama by 4.3

your picking the wrong gallop poll, the one you are using takes the same voter breakdown from last election and applies it to this one, it basically holding everything else constant and subbing mccain for gwb and obama for kerry.


as we all know, alot has changed since 2004

 

[MikeyLSU]

Originally posted by: miketheidiot

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU
With all six trackers out for today, the avg gap has Obama up by 4.3 today:
Zogby Obama by 4
Ras Obama by 5
Hotline Obama by 8
GWUBat Obama by 3
Gallup Obama by 2
IBD Obama by 4

Tracking the average since Saturday:
Sat: Obama by 6.2
Sun: Obama by 5.4
Mon: Obama by 4.8
Tue: Obama by 4.3

your picking the wrong gallop poll, the one you are using takes the same voter breakdown from last election and applies it to this one, it basically holding everything else constant and subbing mccain for gwb and obama for kerry.


as we all know, alot has changed since 2004

the same will hold true though.

I'm not bothering as much with the actual numbers as much as the trends. THe past week the expanded gallup poll has gone from Obama +10 to Obama +7.

Polls are all over the place but the past week has been a small trend to a close race. We will see.

 

[StageLeft]

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU

Originally posted by: miketheidiot

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU
With all six trackers out for today, the avg gap has Obama up by 4.3 today:
Zogby Obama by 4
Ras Obama by 5
Hotline Obama by 8
GWUBat Obama by 3
Gallup Obama by 2
IBD Obama by 4

Tracking the average since Saturday:
Sat: Obama by 6.2
Sun: Obama by 5.4
Mon: Obama by 4.8
Tue: Obama by 4.3

your picking the wrong gallop poll, the one you are using takes the same voter breakdown from last election and applies it to this one, it basically holding everything else constant and subbing mccain for gwb and obama for kerry.


as we all know, alot has changed since 2004

the same will hold true though.

I'm not bothering as much with the actual numbers as much as the trends. THe past week the expanded gallup poll has gone from Obama +10 to Obama +7.

Polls are all over the place but the past week has been a small trend to a close race. We will see.

And as I mentioned in a thred earlier today but nobody responded to (tear), many votes hve already been cast--1/5th of Georgia--a million people in GA alone--have already voted. Even if McCain pulls to a dead heat with Obama he still loses assuming early voters were at all echoing the polls when they voted.

There is no reasonable chance for McCain now.

 

[fskimospy]

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU

the same will hold true though.

I'm not bothering as much with the actual numbers as much as the trends. THe past week the expanded gallup poll has gone from Obama +10 to Obama +7.

Polls are all over the place but the past week has been a small trend to a close race. We will see.

I tend to agree with you. To be honest I've always considered 5 points about the largest margin of victory possible in our current political climate. The electorate is so polarized, there just aren't that many people that switch back and forth.

 

[StageLeft]

Originally posted by: eskimospy

Originally posted by: MikeyLSU

the same will hold true though.

I'm not bothering as much with the actual numbers as much as the trends. THe past week the expanded gallup poll has gone from Obama +10 to Obama +7.

Polls are all over the place but the past week has been a small trend to a close race. We will see.

I tend to agree with you. To be honest I've always considered 5 points about the largest margin of victory possible in our current political climate. The electorate is so polarized, there just aren't that many people that switch back and forth.

Yep, as it is now is about as big as one could really have expected.