What's wrong with just letting the companies fail?

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smack Down

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2005
4,507
0
0
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Trying to prevent this type of problem with regulation has been tried in the past and failed. There is simply to much money to be made by changing the regulations so they will not be enforced. Look up the term regulatory capture

Selective regulation and not removing old regulation (Glass Steagall) would have easily prevented this whole situation.

Banks speed billions to get around regulations. Look at madoff 50 billion stolen and the SEC knew about it for years but didn't stop it.

Second this isn't a US only problem ever large bank in the free world is bankrupt at this point.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Trying to prevent this type of problem with regulation has been tried in the past and failed. There is simply to much money to be made by changing the regulations so they will not be enforced. Look up the term regulatory capture

Selective regulation and not removing old regulation (Glass Steagall) would have easily prevented this whole situation.

Banks speed billions to get around regulations. Look at madoff 50 billion stolen and the SEC knew about it for years but didn't stop it.

Second this isn't a US only problem ever large bank in the free world is bankrupt at this point.

Madoff wasn't regulated by the SEC.
 

smack Down

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2005
4,507
0
0
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Trying to prevent this type of problem with regulation has been tried in the past and failed. There is simply to much money to be made by changing the regulations so they will not be enforced. Look up the term regulatory capture

Selective regulation and not removing old regulation (Glass Steagall) would have easily prevented this whole situation.

Banks speed billions to get around regulations. Look at madoff 50 billion stolen and the SEC knew about it for years but didn't stop it.

Second this isn't a US only problem ever large bank in the free world is bankrupt at this point.

Madoff wasn't regulated by the SEC.

Yeah, no shit they watch him steal 50 Billion dollars.
 

Zebo

Elite Member
Jul 29, 2001
39,398
19
81
Why cant we just keep everything in our possession and start over? Mortgage clear. Car Clear. CC obviously worthless but now clear. New banks, new currency etc. The Jews used to do this every seven years or so right?
 

bamacre

Lifer
Jul 1, 2004
21,029
2
61
Originally posted by: Zebo
Why cant we just keep everything in our possession and start over? Mortgage clear. Car Clear. CC obviously worthless but now clear. New banks, new currency etc. The Jews used to do this every seven years or so right?

Well, that's just replacing one bad idea with another. The gov't should enforce contracts when necessary, not void them.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: smack Down


Yeah, no shit they watch him steal 50 Billion dollars.

Hedge funds are marginally regulated and Madoff's fund wasn't even under those auspices. This was one aspect that many people have been discussing for new regulations.
 

bamacre

Lifer
Jul 1, 2004
21,029
2
61
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down


Yeah, no shit they watch him steal 50 Billion dollars.

Hedge funds are marginally regulated and Madoff's fund wasn't even under those auspices. This was one aspect that many people have been discussing for new regulations.


From the horse's mouth, former chairman of the SEC, Chris Cox...

Since Commissioners were first informed of the Madoff investigation last week, the Commission has met multiple times on an emergency basis to seek answers to the question of how Mr. Madoff?s vast scheme remained undetected by regulators and law enforcement for so long. Our initial findings have been deeply troubling. The Commission has learned that credible and specific allegations regarding Mr. Madoff?s financial wrongdoing, going back to at least 1999, were repeatedly brought to the attention of SEC staff, but were never recommended to the Commission for action. I am gravely concerned by the apparent multiple failures over at least a decade to thoroughly investigate these allegations or at any point to seek formal authority to pursue them. Moreover, a consequence of the failure to seek a formal order of investigation from the Commission is that subpoena power was not used to obtain information, but rather the staff relied upon information voluntarily produced by Mr. Madoff and his firm.

Yet, for some reason you continuously want to relieve them from any blame. I mean, they are pleading guilty, and you want to let them off the hook.
 

Hacp

Lifer
Jun 8, 2005
13,923
2
81
Japan let the banks rot for 10 years before bailing them out and getting outa the funk.
 

BoomerD

No Lifer
Feb 26, 2006
65,979
14,369
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On the surface, letting these companies go under as a result of their bad business practices just SEEMS right...

BUT, underlying the problem (as has been mentioned numerous times) is the problem of:
1) Massive job loss, not only from the business that folds, but from the myriad of businesses that depend on that business: suppliers, customers, etc.
2) The ensuing loss of credit for consumers and businesses would create a MASSIVE loss of jobs and business closings...even businesses that are otherwise doing fine.


I don't like the idea of bailing these folks out. Most of them have pissed away billions of $$$ in bonuses, parties, "seminars" and the like.
I don't like the concept of privatizing profits but socializing losses. The companies HAVE to be held responsible for their own losses...

I do NOT know how to best make that happen however. Government has no place in running businesses.

I'd MUCH rather see the government bail out the "little guy" and private citizens than the big banks and corporations, but it ain't gonna happen.
(we don't have the lobbying power!)
 

Schadenfroh

Elite Member
Mar 8, 2003
38,416
4
0
All of these banks. All of these companies that made mistakes. What ever happened to Free Trade?
It is sad that companies fail and people lose jobs. But, they are corporations and should live and die by the hand of capitalism. I fully expect the companies that I hold stock in to receive zero aid from the government beyond chapter 11 "protection" if they fail. Similar things can be said for the companies that my friends and family work for as almost none of them have politicians in their pockets and lobbyists that can help them steal tax dollars from the American people to perpetuate their failed business practices all the while lining their pockets with bonuses.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: bamacre
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down


Yeah, no shit they watch him steal 50 Billion dollars.

Hedge funds are marginally regulated and Madoff's fund wasn't even under those auspices. This was one aspect that many people have been discussing for new regulations.


From the horse's mouth, former chairman of the SEC, Chris Cox...

Since Commissioners were first informed of the Madoff investigation last week, the Commission has met multiple times on an emergency basis to seek answers to the question of how Mr. Madoff?s vast scheme remained undetected by regulators and law enforcement for so long. Our initial findings have been deeply troubling. The Commission has learned that credible and specific allegations regarding Mr. Madoff?s financial wrongdoing, going back to at least 1999, were repeatedly brought to the attention of SEC staff, but were never recommended to the Commission for action. I am gravely concerned by the apparent multiple failures over at least a decade to thoroughly investigate these allegations or at any point to seek formal authority to pursue them. Moreover, a consequence of the failure to seek a formal order of investigation from the Commission is that subpoena power was not used to obtain information, but rather the staff relied upon information voluntarily produced by Mr. Madoff and his firm.

Yet, for some reason you continuously want to relieve them from any blame. I mean, they are pleading guilty, and you want to let them off the hook.

So, one guy goes to the SEC and claims fraud, yet the SEC isn't responsible for daily regulation of HF/PE/PWF, but then the SEC chairman says they should be done something. Wow, so he's falling on the sword despite not having the strong burden of regulation.

You're willing to point out that fraud that isn't regulated shouldn't be regulated because the non-regulators didn't regulate?

How fucking stupid is that?

If they didn't regulate and everybody in that market knows they won't regulate, then how did the "free market" not regulate?
 

nergee

Senior member
Jan 25, 2000
843
0
0
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Trying to prevent this type of problem with regulation has been tried in the past and failed. There is simply to much money to be made by changing the regulations so they will not be enforced. Look up the term regulatory capture

Selective regulation and not removing old regulation (Glass Steagall) would have easily prevented this whole situation.

Good Point. If a regulator might have said to the banks, investment banks and insurers you cannot utilize 30, 50 100:1 leverage and you can not set up off balance sheet items to get around the low capital requirements, would we be anywhere close to where are now?
 

bamacre

Lifer
Jul 1, 2004
21,029
2
61
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: bamacre
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down


Yeah, no shit they watch him steal 50 Billion dollars.

Hedge funds are marginally regulated and Madoff's fund wasn't even under those auspices. This was one aspect that many people have been discussing for new regulations.


From the horse's mouth, former chairman of the SEC, Chris Cox...

Since Commissioners were first informed of the Madoff investigation last week, the Commission has met multiple times on an emergency basis to seek answers to the question of how Mr. Madoff?s vast scheme remained undetected by regulators and law enforcement for so long. Our initial findings have been deeply troubling. The Commission has learned that credible and specific allegations regarding Mr. Madoff?s financial wrongdoing, going back to at least 1999, were repeatedly brought to the attention of SEC staff, but were never recommended to the Commission for action. I am gravely concerned by the apparent multiple failures over at least a decade to thoroughly investigate these allegations or at any point to seek formal authority to pursue them. Moreover, a consequence of the failure to seek a formal order of investigation from the Commission is that subpoena power was not used to obtain information, but rather the staff relied upon information voluntarily produced by Mr. Madoff and his firm.

Yet, for some reason you continuously want to relieve them from any blame. I mean, they are pleading guilty, and you want to let them off the hook.

So, one guy goes to the SEC and claims fraud, yet the SEC isn't responsible for daily regulation of HF/PE/PWF, but then the SEC chairman says they should be done something. Wow, so he's falling on the sword despite not having the strong burden of regulation.

You're willing to point out that fraud that isn't regulated shouldn't be regulated because the non-regulators didn't regulate?

How fucking stupid is that?

If they didn't regulate and everybody in that market knows they won't regulate, then how did the "free market" not regulate?

Way to redirect the argument. :roll:

And now you are suggesting that this is a case of free market failure when in fact it was people's dependency on government to do it's job that failed them. How stupid is that?

Can you just at least admit that the SEC dropped the ball and that Madoff should have been arrested years ago? I mean, the SEC can, and has, but you can't? Or do you want to keep redirecting the argument?
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: bamacre
Way to redirect the argument. :roll:

And now you are suggesting that this is a case of free market failure when in fact it was people's dependency on government to do it's job that failed them. How stupid is that?

Can you just at least admit that the SEC dropped the ball and that Madoff should have been arrested years ago? I mean, the SEC can, and has, but you can't? Or do you want to keep redirecting the argument?


As I have asked you many times. Who were the investors? Do you know any of them? I know them secondarily and I know what they thought. Do your research and come back to me.

Please, the SEC is prostrating itself in front of Congress. Sure, they could have done something, but it really wasn't their job. There was a lot of talk about regulating hedge funds 2 years ago. Why would there be discussions to regulate them if they were already regulated? use your fucking brain.

As far as their effectiveness, I would agree with Markopoulos they need more REAL finance people there, not bureaucrats, lawyers, and political appointees. He mentioned CFA charterholders (like me) who can actually understand what's going on.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: nergee
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Trying to prevent this type of problem with regulation has been tried in the past and failed. There is simply to much money to be made by changing the regulations so they will not be enforced. Look up the term regulatory capture

Selective regulation and not removing old regulation (Glass Steagall) would have easily prevented this whole situation.

Good Point. If a regulator might have said to the banks, investment banks and insurers you cannot utilize 30, 50 100:1 leverage and you can not set up off balance sheet items to get around the low capital requirements, would we be anywhere close to where are now?

Correct, it was 2004 de-regulation that allowed the i-banks to exceed traditional leverage ratios.

As far as Off-BS items, some are good, some are bad. In general I hate the idea you can hide anything from investors, even if they were "sold" to other people. Simply valuing what you "kept" (the equity tranche of the Off-BS entities) doesn't let people actually understand the risk inherent in the held piece.

Many Off-BS entities are OK, provided they are regulated correctly. However, the idea of taking a bunch of shit and shoving it into a SIV, was garbage.
 

BenSkywalker

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
9,140
67
91
What's wrong with just letting the companies fail?

Short answer- you could end up killing millions of people, and that isn't a joke.

Forget high finance sector and executives making millions in bonuses- how are you going to buy a gallon of milk or a loaf of bread?

You may have millions tucked under your mattress at home, companies don't. I work in distribution, the company I work for has over a billion in liquid assets which are utilzed as a credit line to move product, we have had one quarter with a loss in the last ten years(we have been quite profitable even in the current situation)- but if the banks were to fail outright, my company shuts down. Given, we just distribute- but one of the items we distribute is grocery products(we handle everything from jars of baby food to TVs and pharmecueticals).

Banks go under collection of food stops immediately- companies have no funds available to purchase. Collection of food stops, production stops at all the food manufacturers(Kellogs, Kraft etc) shipments from the manufacturers to the distributors stops(that's me ;) ) and shipments from distribution to store level stops. The amounts of money we are talking about moving are several billions of dollars per day(nationwide, not just my company), yes our liquidity is not tied up in a bank account, but being able to turn the liquidity into moveable product we need a very large bank to back it via a credit line.

The amount of time it would take to build a new financial backbone for the amounts of dollars we are moving under normal circumstances would take years, but let's say we get some insanely fast movement by the government and large corporations and that got trimmed down to one month. You would have a one month gap with no production of food products. I'm not sure what most people think that stores carry for on hand inventory, but two weeks worth of product is the norm for a grocery store(about 8-12 weeks for retail). Half way to getting a system put in place all of the grocery stores in the nation would be out of food. Due to regulations, I honestly have no idea how long it would be before medical supplies dried up, in terms of scripts(government regulations don't allow us access to store level inventory on those items for numerous reasons), but I can tell you that most of our customers get 3-4 deliveries per week, so it can't be too high.

So, letting banks fail has you about two weeks out from not being able to buy any food. If some things got worked out in a month we could clear the channel of what we had left for inventory(which would give you about another two weeks for staple items, far more if you want to load up on hot sauce and marinades ;) ). Two weeks without any food would thin out the population a bit, but you would still be dealing with roughly a month to get production back up to speed- probably would be a few more days worth of inventory that the producers had on hand that we could push out to the populace, but you still have about a week delay transit time from when the wheels start moving again until when you are able to actually purchase goods from a grocer again. So about two weeks with food, two weeks with none, a week maybe two with some, then about three more weeks with none.

Planning on eating out- restaraunts will run out of food long before the grocers will ;)

This is not paranoia, this is what I do for a living. The banks failing was never a viable option for the powers that be, we need them as a functioning society far too much. If we had another way to move large amounts of cash very quickly it would be a bit different, but we don't. Consolidation and the large corporate structure of the US business world demands we have large banks backing our credit lines or everything falls apart. I don't think it is wise to bash the corporations for being so dependant on the system, what happened if you got up tomorrow and there were no roads when you were going to work? Same general idea on how fvcked we would be if the major banks all failed.
 

Drift3r

Guest
Jun 3, 2003
3,572
0
0
Originally posted by: manlymatt83
All of these banks. All of these companies that made mistakes. What ever happened to Free Trade? I'm not 100% in support of free trade, because from what I've learned, it eventually causes economic abuse, shutdown of small businesses, garbage dumping in 3rd world countries, etc... but for the most part, why can't we just let the companies that did poor jobs fail, go into bankruptcy, and let them come out restructured under new, proper management?

Because if you can dig your claws deep enough into the American economy via de-regulation you can hold America hostage and threaten to take everyone with you if you "fail".
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
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Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: BoberFett


It doesn't matter what Evan thinks, he's a help desk jockey.

Who has far more education and knowledge in finance/economics than you. What the fuck do you do sparky? Weren't you the guy filling up the toilette paper at the mall last night?

He told me he installs cable TV for a living now. Give him a break.
 

manowar821

Diamond Member
Mar 1, 2007
6,063
0
0
Because we're not a republic, we're a corporatism, and our owners are cowardly chicken-hawk fascists.
 

BoberFett

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
37,562
9
81
Originally posted by: Evan
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: BoberFett


It doesn't matter what Evan thinks, he's a help desk jockey.

Who has far more education and knowledge in finance/economics than you. What the fuck do you do sparky? Weren't you the guy filling up the toilette paper at the mall last night?

He told me he installs cable TV for a living now. Give him a break.

No, I said I lay cable.

And your mom says hello.
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
Originally posted by: BoberFett
Originally posted by: Evan
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: BoberFett


It doesn't matter what Evan thinks, he's a help desk jockey.

Who has far more education and knowledge in finance/economics than you. What the fuck do you do sparky? Weren't you the guy filling up the toilette paper at the mall last night?

He told me he installs cable TV for a living now. Give him a break.

No, I said I lay cable.

And your mom says hello.

How cute, Boober bitches out of another discussion.
 

Locut0s

Lifer
Nov 28, 2001
22,205
43
91
Because the worlds financial system does not run on common sense and real life logic. It runs to a great extent of fear and speculation. Letting those companies fail might be the right thing to do for the companies themselves, their managers, ceo's and all the rest but the trillions upon trillions of dollars that might be pulled out of the market in mass panic if all of the big ones fell would NOT be good!
 

Jiggz

Diamond Member
Mar 10, 2001
4,329
0
76
There's nothing wrong at all unless they made political contribution to someone in the White House or Capitol Hill! Politicians will not allow their big time contributors to go belly up- obviously for the next election!