I wouldn't underestimate the potential to ban abortion....Below i've tried to list what the Democrats will have to do and overcome to stop any potential ban on abortion. Also, below is what i feel are the trends of this topic over recent years...Do not take offense to the term "Libral" i just use it because thats the general description of pro-choice people termed by the media and etc...
Look at the trends from recent and in the past in terms of "morality."
1) America has spoken in this election in terms of "moral" values. Take example the 11/11 States that put Ban's on gay marriage.....
2) Here in Florida Amendment 1 was passed, allowing that Parents of Minor's trying to get an abortion must be notified.
3) March 13, 2003
WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Senate voted overwhelmingly Thursday to ban a procedure that critics call partial birth abortion, a triumph for President Bush and the Republicans who took control of Congress this year.
http://www.cnn.com/2003/ALLPOL.../congress.abortion.ap/
The 64-33 vote sent the legislation to the GOP-controlled House, where passage is expected this spring. That vote was cast almost a year ago...now the Republicans have even more power with the 4 seats they have. And only 33 votead for it...that means in the time of that vote....~ 13 or so Democratic Senator crossed over to support a type of BAN on abortion AND the Republicans now have 4 more seats (plus 1 VP if needed). Main point here is......56 seats now have the Senate...it takes 60.......so if less than half of the ~13 that crossed the line do it again, its bad news for the legallity of abortion.
Kerry's record showed all the weekness Bush needed to dominate the moral topic of abortion. This is just an example of the type of tatics used on the "#1 Democrat's" views on abortion in this recent election.
Voting Record
# FactCheck: Yes, Kerry did vote against Laci Peterson law. (Oct 2004)
# Against partial-birth abortion but there are exceptions. (Oct 2004)
# Voted NO on criminal penalty for harming unborn fetus during other crime. (Mar 2004)
# Voted NO on maintaining ban on Military Base Abortions. (Jun 2000)
# Voted NO on banning partial birth abortions. (Oct 1999)
# Voted NO on disallowing overseas military abortions. (May 1999)
# Rated 100% by NARAL, indicating a pro-choice voting record. (Dec 2003)
# Expand embryonic stem cell research. (Jun 2004)
From May 1999 well before this recent election....the "moral" swing started almost a year ago, which in my opinion led to a outbreak of "morality" that carried President Bush to victory. Not to mention Kerry supports abortion, which is a "NO NO" in the catholic church, also didn't help Kerry that the pope didn't favor him.
4) The next big "push" for a ban on abortion will be to use simple facts on the practice itself. Including statistical data, detailed procedures and "grusome" examples of the practice. I.E. Bush used these metods of "simple facts" to dominate the abortion issue. This will help drill home more support of the people, the Representatives will see this, and respresent what the people elected them feel.
Look for Republicans to push the 40,000,000 (40 million) abortions this country has performed (a very big number of "casulaties" of american citizens)....especially win Librals in the future start stressing the "war casulaties" when this abortion ban momentum starts to surface to try to counter act it.
5) If its going to get banned, the work on the bill is going to start soon and will be accomplished, or tried anyways within the next 2 years....before the Republicans have a chance to loose any seats in the House or Senate.
6) The timing of supreme court Justicies to be replaced is also vital... If a "libral" justice can maybe make it 2 years more...then maybe the Dems could gain back some seats in the House's. If bush appoints 2 or even 3 within the first year and gets them seated, its over.
7) The supreme court can still function with as few as 6 Justices (from what i understand). So EVEN IF the Dems can manage by a few vote's to fillibuster Judge appointments, the potential for the Supreme court to rule on this issue is still there, even if not all spots are seated by a judge.
Wheter you agree with what i've listed above or not....the general since of my message will transition the next 2 years on the topic of abortion. If there is time coming to ban abortion, its in these next 2 years.
Whichever way you feel, just keep in mind how things like this work in washington.