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What does "surprise" mean in stock information?

P

PoPPeR

Diamond Member
I couldn't find a clear definition on investopedia or investorwords, so would anyone be kind enough to explain what the "surprise" percentage indicates in earnings per share
 
The surprise percentage is basically the difference between the earnings per share (EPS) that the analysts following the stock had predicted/expected versus the 'real' EPS.

For example, if the analysts following a company expect $1.00 per share, and the company reports $1.05, then the surprise percentage is 5%. Very simple, it's just a measure to show wheather there's a big variance between what the street "expects" from a company versus what it reports. Generally if a company gives the analysts guidance from time to time, the expectations tend to be a little closer to the actual results, reducing the surprise percentage.
 
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