What are the Odds?

[KarenMarie]

http://www.funny2.com/odds.htm

The Odds
Ever wondered....

Odds that a person between the age of 18 and 29 does NOT read a newspaper regularly: 3 to 1

Odds that an American adult does not want to live to age 120 under any circumstances: 3 to 2

Odds of injury from fireworks: 19,556 to 1

Odds of injury from shaving: 6,585 to 1

Odds of injury from using a chain saw: 4,464 to 1

Odds of injury from mowing the lawn: 3,623 to 1

Odds of fatally slipping in bath or shower: 2,232 to 1

Odds of drowning in a bathtub: 685,000 to 1

Odds of being killed on a 5-mile bus trip: 500,000,000 to 1

Odds of being killed sometime in the next year in any sort of transportation accident: 77 to 1

Odds of being killed in any sort of non-transportation accident: 69 to 1

Odds of being struck by lightning: 576,000 to 1

Odds of being killed by lightning: 2,320,000 to 1

Odds of being murdered: 18,000 to 1

Odds of getting away with murder: 2 to 1

Odds of being the victim of serious crime in your lifetime: 20 to 1

Odds of dating a supermodel: 88,000 to 1

Odds of being considered possessed by Satan: 7,000 to 1

Odds that a first marriage will survive without separation or divorce for 15 years: 1.3 to 1

Odds that a celebrity marriage will last a lifetime: 3 to 1

Odds of getting hemorrhoids: 25 to 1

Odds of being born a twin in North America: 90 to 1

Odds of being on plane with a drunken pilot: 117 to 1

Odds of being audited by the IRS: 175 to 1

Odds of having your identity stolen: 200 to 1

Odds of dating a millionaire: 215 to 1

Odds of dating a supermodel: 88,000 to 1

Odds of writing a New York Times best seller: 220 to 1

Odds of finding out your child is a genius: 250 to 1

Odds of catching a ball at a major league ballgame: 563 to 1

Odds of becoming a pro athlete: 22,000 to 1

Odds of finding a four-leaf clover on first try: 10,000 to 1

Odds of a person in the military winning the Medal of Honor: 11,000 to 1

Odds of winning an Academy Award: 11,500 to 1

Odds of striking it rich on Antiques Roadshow: 60,000 to 1

Odds of getting a royal flush in poker on first five cards dealt: 649,740 to 1

Odds of spotting a UFO today: 3,000,000 to 1

Odds of becoming president: 10,000,000 to 1

Odds of winning the California lottery: 13,000,000 to 1

Odds of becoming a saint: 20,000,000 to 1

Odds of a meteor landing on your house: 182,138,880,000,000 to 1

Chance of an American home having at least one container of ice cream in the freezer: 9 in 10.

Chance of dying from any kind of injury during the next year: 1 in 1,820

Chance of dying from intentional self-harm: 1 in 9,380

Chance of dying from an assault: 1 in 16,421

Chance of dying from a car accident: 1 in 18,585

Chance of dying from any kind of fall: 1 in 20,666

Chance of dying from accidental drowning: 1 in 79,065

Chance of dying from exposure to smoke, fire, and flames: 1 in 81,524

Chance of dying in an explosion: 1 in 107,787

Chance that Earth will experience a catastrophic collision with an asteroid in the next 100 years: 1 in 5,000

Chance of dying in such a collision: 1 in 20,000

Chance of dying from exposure to forces of nature (heat, cold, lightning, earthquake, flood): 1 in 225,107

Chance of dying in an airplane accident: 1 in 354,319

Chance of dying from choking on food: 1 in 370,035

Chance of dying in a terrorist attack while visiting a foreign country: 1 in 650,000

Chance of dying in a fireworks accident: 1 in 1,000,000

Chance of dying from overexertion, travel or privation: 1 in 1,428,377

Chance of dying from food poisoning: 1 in 3,000,000

Chance of dying from legal execution: 1 in 3,441,325

Chance of dying from contact with hot tap water: 1 in 5,005,564

Chance of dying from parts falling off an airplane: 1 in 10,000,000

Chance of dying from ignition or melting of nightwear: 1 in 30,589,556

Chance of dying from being bitten by a dog: 1 in 700,000

Chance of dying from contact with a venomous animal or plant: 1 in 3,441,325

Chance of dying from being bitten or struck by mammals (other than dogs or humans): 1 in 4,235,477

Chance of dying from a mountain lion attack in California: 1 in 32,000,000

Chance of dying from a shark attack: 1 in 300,000,000

Chance of having a stroke: 1 in 6

Chance of dying from heart disease: 1 in 3

Chance of getting arthritis: 1 in 7

Chance of suffering from asthma or allergy diseases: 1 in 6

Chance of getting the flu this year: 1 in 10

Chance of developing schizophrenia: 1 in 00

Chance of contracting the human version of mad cow disease: 1 in 40,000,000

Chance of dying from SARS in the United States: 1 in 100,000,000

Chance of American man developing cancer in his lifetime: 1 in 2

Chance of an American woman developing cancer in her lifetime: 1 in 3

Chance of getting prostate cancer: 1 in 6

Chance of getting breast cancer: 1 in 9

Chance of getting colon / rectal cancer: 1 in 26

Chance of beating pancreatic or liver cancer: 1 in 9

Chance of beating thyroid or testicular cancer: 9 in 10

 

[glenn beck]

Odds I read that all: 1,000,000,000 to 1

 

[JEDIYoda]

who caRES?

 

[n yusef]

A lot of these things aren't probability at all.

You can't write a NYT best-seller if you don't write a book.
You can't catch a baseball unless you go to a game. And if you do, sitting in the first row in left field will certainly help your chances.

These are two examples, there are tons more. Even the disease or lightening ones are controllable.

This data is 100% useless.

 

[dj2004]

Originally posted by: n yusef
A lot of these things aren't probability at all.

You can't write a NYT best-seller if you don't write a book.
You can't catch a baseball unless you go to a game. And if you do, sitting in the first row in left field will certainly help your chances.

These are two examples, there are tons more. Even the disease or lightening ones are controllable.

This data is 100% useless.

Agreed.

 

[mundane]

Everyday, over 6,500 people on this planet experience a 'one-in-a-million' event.

 

[Ika]

Chance of an American home having at least one container of ice cream in the freezer: 9 in 10.

hah

 

[Slew Foot]

dying in a bathtub 1:2835? Yeah right.

 

[Perknose]

Odds that these two "odds" below are in any way scientific or realistic 2,000,000 to 1

Odds of writing a New York Times best seller: 220 to 1

Odds of finding out your child is a genius: 250 to 1

I guarantee you that in any random group of 250 parents you'd be hard pressed to find any one couple that actually has a fvcking child genius.

And that in any group of 220 peeps, one will have written a New York Times bestseller??? Puhleeese.

 

[alrocky]

Originally posted by: KarenMarie
Odds of being struck by lightning: 576,000 to 1

Odds of being killed by lightning: 2,320,000 to 1

Odds of winning the California lottery: 13,000,000 to 1

Odds of being murdered: 18,000 to 1

Odds of getting away with murder: 2 to 1

Hmm, since it's more likely you'd be struck or killed by lightning several times before you hit the CA lottery, your best bet is take your "2 to 1" chance and off the eventual CA lottery winner.:Q

 

[jagec]

Originally posted by: Perknose
Odds that these two "odds" below are in any way scientific or realistic 2,000,000 to 1

Odds of writing a New York Times best seller: 220 to 1

Odds of finding out your child is a genius: 250 to 1

I guarantee you that in any random group of 250 parents you'd be hard pressed to find any one couple that actually has a fvcking child genius.

And that in any group of 220 peeps, one will have written a New York Times bestseller??? Puhleeese.

Do you know what's considered a "genius level" IQ?

It's lower than you think. Not all "geniuses" make much of their lives.

And the 1:220 for writing a bestseller book is probably only for people who actually write a book to begin with. That seems obvious to me.

 

[KarenMarie]

Hmm... sorry. I would have thought that given the source, those 'facts' would have been taken a lot more lightly.

Perhaps these will be more interesting:

Text

Text

 

[mugs]

Originally posted by: Perknose
Odds that these two "odds" below are in any way scientific or realistic 2,000,000 to 1

Odds of writing a New York Times best seller: 220 to 1

Odds of finding out your child is a genius: 250 to 1

I guarantee you that in any random group of 250 parents you'd be hard pressed to find any one couple that actually has a fvcking child genius.

And that in any group of 220 peeps, one will have written a New York Times bestseller??? Puhleeese.

Assuming 2.3 kids per set of parents, that's 1 in 575 or ~99.83 percentile. Apparantly their definition of genius is 3 standard deviations above the norm (~99.865 percentile). Not a terrible definition of genius, but not a great one either. I don't think there are 500,000 people in the United States who could be considered geniuses.

As for the NY Times best sellers one, I have to assume they're referring to published authors only, not the general public. That's one reason lists like this are meaningless, they never explain where the numbers came from. The other reason is many things on the list have nothing to do with odds and probability. i.e. writing a bestseller - I think writing ability might have something to do with that. And having a child who is a genius - it helps if the parents aren't idiots themselves.

 

[Atheus]

Odds of being killed sometime in the next year in any sort of transportation accident: 77 to 1

Since 77 is realatively close to the average lifespan, and the statistic is per year, wouldn't that mean that almost everyone dies in a transportation accident?

 

[LordMorpheus]

Odds of being killed sometime in the next year in any sort of transportation accident: 77 to 1

bs.

 

[mugs]

Originally posted by: Atheus

Odds of being killed sometime in the next year in any sort of transportation accident: 77 to 1

Since 77 is realatively close to the average lifespan, and the statistic is per year, wouldn't that mean that almost everyone dies in a transportation accident?

Originally posted by: LordMorpheus
Odds of being killed sometime in the next year in any sort of transportation accident: 77 to 1

bs.

I think that's just out of people who actually die.

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm

~ 1 out of 25 die in an accident of any kind, so apparantly about 1/3 of those are transportation accidents.

Very poorly worded.

 

[Whoozyerdaddy]

Odds of fatally slipping in bath or shower: 2,232 to 1

So if you shower every day, you'll be dead in six years.

OMG! 1/2232 = .000448

That means that if all 300 million people in america shower on a daily basis there should be 134,400 shower fatalities EVERY DAY!

So this begs the question: Should I live alone in my own funk or should I risk it and bathe with the hopeful optimism that removing my BO will result in an encounter with a member of the opposite sex?

 

[fire400]

Odds of being on plane with a drunken pilot: 117 to 1

... are you serious!?

I need to check with my flight attendants 117 times more than I would normally do for the safety of me and my fellow passengers should I ever board a plane, "Um, excuse me, can you check with the pilots in the cockpit? I have a feeling that someone might be a little drunk in determining the course of this plane."

 

[bunnyfubbles]

some of this sounds like pure made up crap

 

[DrPizza]

Originally posted by: bunnyfubbles
some of this sounds like pure made up crap

If some, it's more likely that it's all made up. But, someone did a good enough job guessing on some of the odds that a lot of people don't question the bulk of them.