Weather predictions

[DrPizza]

If the weatherman says the probability of rain is 90%, it rains 100% of the time?
This probably applies to 80% as well.

Are they afraid to commit or something?

 

[Gibson486]

*head explodes*

 

[salt9876]

Do you always believe what the weatherman says?

 

[MikeyIs4Dcats]

and whats the deal with airline food?

 

[Ryan]

Originally posted by: DrPizza
If the weatherman says the probability of rain is 90%, it rains 100% of the time?
This probably applies to 80% as well.

Are they afraid to commit or something?

Not here in FL.

 

[sixone]

Originally posted by: DrPizza
If the weatherman says the probability of rain is 90%, it rains 100% of the time?
This probably applies to 80% as well.

Are they afraid to commit or something?

They'll never give you a 100% chance of anything, or a 0% chance either. That's how you get sued.

 

[archiloco]

i have seen them predict 100% but only when it's a tropical storm/depression that is going to stick around for 1 or 2 days..and they only do that if the storm is direclty overhead, and 100% for that day only.

 

[hellman69]

If I'm not mistaken, when they give a percentage, it means it is going to rain. The percentage is just the percent of the area that will get rain.

Trevor

 

[dullard]

Originally posted by: hellman69
If I'm not mistaken, when they give a percentage, it means it is going to rain. The percentage is just the percent of the area that will get rain.

Pretty close to the truth there. Although there is still some uncertainty that is is going to rain or not. But generally yes, a 50% chance of rain means it will rain, but it'll only hit about 50% of the targetted area. If you assume the viewers are evenly spread out, then 50% of the viewing population will get the rain.

The problem is that even if you perfect in your prediction (temperatures, precipitation, wind, etc) but you happen to be off by 5 miles - then you miss the forecast horribly.

 

[dainthomas]

Saw Weather Man with Nicholas Cage yesterday. Very dark humor.