Weary of drug war, Mexico debates legalization

JEDIYoda

Lifer
Jul 13, 2005
33,986
3,320
126
Perhaps mexico has an idea......
I guess if I was Mexican and had to live there I would be thinking the same thing.
How do we stop all the killing that permeates our society?
Over what?
Drugs....hmmmm


http://news.yahoo.com/s/mcclatchy/20100908/wl_mcclatchy/3620921_1

By Tim Johnson, McClatchy Newspapers Tim Johnson, Mcclatchy Newspapers – Wed Sep 8, 4:59 pm ET
MEXICO CITY — A debate about legalizing marijuana and possibly other drugs — once a taboo suggestion — is percolating in Mexico , a national exhausted by runaway violence and a deadly drug war.

The debate is only likely to grow more animated if Californians approve an initiative on Nov. 2 to legalize marijuana for recreational use in their state.

Mexicans are keeping a close eye on the vote, seeing it as a bellwether.

"If they vote 'yes' to approve the full legalization of marijuana, I think it will have a radical impact in Mexico ," said Jorge Hernandez Tinajero , a political scientist at the National Autonomous University .

Discussion about legalization flew onto the agenda last month, the outcome of President Felipe Calderon's pressing need to win more public support for waging war against criminal organizations profiting hugely from drug trafficking.

As he held a series of open forums with politicians and civic leaders about faltering security, Calderon suddenly found himself amid a groundswell of suggestions that legalization — which he described as "absurd" — should be considered.

Among those throwing their weight behind legalization was former President Vicente Fox , a member of Calderon's own conservative National Action Party .

"We should consider legalizing the production, distribution and sale of drugs," Fox wrote on his blog during the series of forums. "Legalizing in this sense does not mean that drugs are good or don't hurt those who consume. Rather, we have to see it as a strategy to strike and break the economic structure that allows the mafias to generate huge profits in their business."

Calderon immediately said Mexico couldn't act on its own to legalize.

"If drugs are not legalized in the world, or if drugs are not legalized at least in the United States , this is simply absurd, because the price of drugs is not determined in Mexico . The price of drugs is determined by consumers in Los Angeles , or in New York , or in Chicago or Texas ," he said.

Such public debate would have been largely unthinkable a few years ago. Since Calderon came to office in late 2006, however, a national gloom has descended on Mexico from unending cartel violence and a death toll topping 28,000. The grim mood has provided fertile ground for public figures who think that legalization would undercut the power of the drug cartels.

Among them are business tycoons such as billionaire Ricardo Salinas Pliego , who controls broadcaster TV Azteca, and retailer Grupo Elektra.

With his own pro-legalization statement, Fox aligned with another former president, Ernesto Zedillo , who suggested last year that prohibition isn't working.

Still, several analysts said debate about legalization — coming most strongly from the political left — was an attempt to needle Calderon as much as an exploration of whether legalization is feasible.

(EDITORS: BEGIN OPTIONIAL TRIM)

Edgardo Buscaglia , an expert on Mexico's criminal syndicates, said Mexico's government is too weak to legalize and regulate narcotics and marijuana.

"You need to have regulatory capacity in place," he said. " Mexico does not even have the capacity to regulate its pharmaceutical products."

Without a better framework, any move to take away penalties for narcotics would "amount to a subsidy to drug organizations," he said, as prices and demand remain buoyant for illegal narcotics in the U.S. and other countries.

Legislators in August 2009 quietly decriminalized the possession of less than 5 grams of marijuana, the equivalent of about four joints. Tiny amounts of cocaine, heroin, ecstasy, LSD, and methamphetamine also are no longer subject to criminal penalties.

Further measures have been blocked, however, such as one before two committees of the Chamber of Deputies to permit the use of marijuana for medical purposes, as 14 U.S. states allow. Others have been put before the Senate , the legislative assembly of Mexico City and before a local congress in the state of Mexico .

Hernandez Tinajero said he thinks that Mexican society may not be ready for such moves, but that the California initiative on marijuana would impel debate further.

"Whatever the result may be, it will have a positive impact on Mexico ," he said, and give way to a "a far more serious discussion."

Experts said they can't fully weigh arguments about the impact that legalization of marijuana in California might have on this country of 111 million, or whether steps toward legalization here would weaken drug syndicates.

That's because so little is known publicly about the revenue streams of cartels, the extent of production of marijuana, crystal meth and heroin, and the range of revenue from other criminal enterprises.

Counternarcotics officials say several Mexican cartels, particularly the Familia Michoacana, are deeply involved in marijuana production and sales in California .

Alex Kreit , an expert on drug law at the Thomas Jefferson School of Law in San Diego , said the fallout from Proposition 19, whichever way voters lean, might not be immediate.

Opinion polls show a near toss-up over whether voters will approve or reject it.

If the initiative passes, it would have an impact only in localities that take steps to permit the cultivation, distribution and sale of marijuana, he said.

"If this passes, it doesn't mean that all of a sudden that people who are growing marijuana in large amounts are going to be doing so legally," he said.

If the initiative loses by a large margin, Kreit said, it could "be the death knell" for legalization. If it goes the other way, it could "start to create a feeling of inevitability" in the U.S. and Mexico toward the legalization of marijuana.

"I almost view it as similar to the gay marriage issue. People's views are changing very quickly," Kreit said.

Hernandez Tinajero said any shift in U.S. public opinion would ripple south.

"The basic equation is this: If the United States is changing, why can't we change as well?" he asked.
 

Infohawk

Lifer
Jan 12, 2002
17,844
1
0
I wonder though... if inner city youths didn't have drugs to make money, what would they turn to? More thievery? Is that as profitable? One would hope they would try to get real jobs but if they wanted to do that they could do that now. (And for sensitive types I'm not saying all inner-city youths are criminals.)
 

SammyJr

Golden Member
Feb 27, 2008
1,708
0
0
I wonder though... if inner city youths didn't have drugs to make money, what would they turn to? More thievery? Is that as profitable? One would hope they would try to get real jobs but if they wanted to do that they could do that now. (And for sensitive types I'm not saying all inner-city youths are criminals.)

Then maybe our Government would really be forced to address the lack of low end living wage jobs in this country.
 

PokerGuy

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
13,650
201
101
Then maybe our Government would really be forced to address the lack of low end living wage jobs in this country.

Since when is it the governments job to provide jobs?

OP: they can legalize all the want, but as long as they are still illegal in the US, that's where the price will be set and the money will be made, so legalization probably would not do a whole lot for them.
 

TechBoyJK

Lifer
Oct 17, 2002
16,699
60
91
Since when is it the governments job to provide jobs?

OP: they can legalize all the want, but as long as they are still illegal in the US, that's where the price will be set and the money will be made, so legalization probably would not do a whole lot for them.

That's no reason not to get the ball rolling though. Yea, let's keep our stupid policy just because someone else has a stupid policy.

The drug war would fall apart pretty quickly if

1. California legalized pot.
2. Mexico legalized pot.
 

woolfe9999

Diamond Member
Mar 28, 2005
7,153
0
0
Since when is it the governments job to provide jobs?

OP: they can legalize all the want, but as long as they are still illegal in the US, that's where the price will be set and the money will be made, so legalization probably would not do a whole lot for them.

Much of the violence there is related to the fact that it is illegal. The cartels bribe police to look the other way, corrupting them, and kill the ones who won't look the other way. They also kill people for informing on them to the police. Make it legal and many reasons for violence disappear. That said, I do agree that there is no complete solution unless or until it is legalized here.

- wolf
 

BoberFett

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
37,562
9
81
Much of the violence there is related to the fact that it is illegal. The cartels bribe police to look the other way, corrupting them, and kill the ones who won't look the other way. They also kill people for informing on them to the police. Make it legal and many reasons for violence disappear. That said, I do agree that there is no complete solution unless or until it is legalized here.

- wolf

Legalization in Mexico would put a lot of pressure on the US the legalize it. It would shift the war from their soil to ours and we could see a significant rise in violence. It's not ideal, but apparently Americans are so stupid that we need to be smacked in the face with a crowbar before we admit the truth on anything.
 

Fern

Elite Member
Sep 30, 2003
26,907
173
106
Since when is it the governments job to provide jobs?

OP: they can legalize all the want, but as long as they are still illegal in the US, that's where the price will be set and the money will be made, so legalization probably would not do a whole lot for them.

Much of the violence there is related to the fact that it is illegal. The cartels bribe police to look the other way, corrupting them, and kill the ones who won't look the other way. They also kill people for informing on them to the police. Make it legal and many reasons for violence disappear. That said, I do agree that there is no complete solution unless or until it is legalized here.

- wolf

Yeah, also:

1. If it's legal in Mexico and not the US, I think the US will have a problem because the whole of the drug fight will move here entirely here. (As BoberFett says)

2. If it's legal in the US, Mexico may have further problems because the entire drug fight will rest with their side, and being legal here may likely influence more Mexicans to engage in the drug business.

However, if it's legal here and not there, it may lead to an influx of illegal immigration by drug growers/sellers. If it's legal here why not move production out of Mexico and into the US?

Right now, looks to me like if one side legalizes it, the other side better do so too.

Fern
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
Yeah, also:

1. If it's legal in Mexico and not the US, I think the US will have a problem because the whole of the drug fight will move here entirely here. (As BoberFett says)

2. If it's legal in the US, Mexico may have further problems because the entire drug fight will rest with their side, and being legal here may likely influence more Mexicans to engage in the drug business.

However, if it's legal here and not there, it may lead to an influx of illegal immigration by drug growers/sellers. If it's legal here why not move production out of Mexico and into the US?

Right now, looks to me like if one side legalizes it, the other side better do so too.

Fern

If it is legalized there it will quickly be legalized over here. You really think our politicians are gonna sit around and let Mexico collect all that tax revenue that we could otherwise be collecting?
 

SammyJr

Golden Member
Feb 27, 2008
1,708
0
0
Since when is it the governments job to provide jobs?

Promote the general welfare - it applies to more than the Aristocracy. Normal folks need jobs and its up to the Government to promote an economic environment that promotes living wage private sector employment. Neither party is up to that task, unfortunately.
 

shortylickens

No Lifer
Jul 15, 2003
80,287
17,080
136
America is the reason Mexico has a drug problem. We're their number 1 customer, and source of their income. If we legalize it here we'd keep money in the US and put Mexico out of business.

Also, fuck Mexico!!!
:awe:
 

Infohawk

Lifer
Jan 12, 2002
17,844
1
0
Then maybe our Government would really be forced to address the lack of low end living wage jobs in this country.

And what do you expect the government to do about that? You're gullible if you think politicians can do anything about it.
 

coreyb

Platinum Member
Aug 12, 2007
2,437
1
0
That's no reason not to get the ball rolling though. Yea, let's keep our stupid policy just because someone else has a stupid policy.

The drug war would fall apart pretty quickly if

1. California legalized pot.
2. Mexico legalized pot.

I think you're underestimating the amount of meth, coke, etc that is coming through Mexico to the states.
 

BoberFett

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
37,562
9
81
I think you're underestimating the amount of meth, coke, etc that is coming through Mexico to the states.

I can't vouch for accuracy, but I've seen estimates stating that 60% of the drug cartels income comes from pot. That would put a big dent in their ability to make war.
 

coreyb

Platinum Member
Aug 12, 2007
2,437
1
0
How would anyone be able to figure that out though? I always thought the richest drug dealers were the coke and heroin ones.
 

Sinsear

Diamond Member
Jan 13, 2007
6,439
80
91
Sounds good to me. Maybe all of our junkies and stoners will move there.
 

rudder

Lifer
Nov 9, 2000
19,441
86
91
What would legalizing drugs in mexico do? The drug lords want American dinero. They don't care about the peso.
 

GuitarDaddy

Lifer
Nov 9, 2004
11,465
1
0
What would legalizing drugs in mexico do? The drug lords want American dinero. They don't care about the peso.


It would basically return things to the way they were in Mexico before Calderones war against the cartels when the cartels were allowed to do business as they please with the Policia looking the other way. Except it would be an official policy of non interference.

In my approximation it would roughly reduce the violence in Mexico by half, as it wouldn't eliminate the cartel on cartel turf war violence but it would iliminate the government vs. cartel violence.

Only US legalization will significantly reduce cartels and the related violence that comes with them.
 

crownjules

Diamond Member
Jul 7, 2005
4,858
0
76
How would anyone be able to figure that out though? I always thought the richest drug dealers were the coke and heroin ones.

It's no doubt wrong. There is no way the Mexican cartels make the majority of their money from pot.

What happens is they just looked at all the drug busts over a set period of time and ascribed them street value prices and then do the calculations. But anyone that knows anything about any sort of selling knows the street price (market price) to the consumer is never the same as what a wholesaler (distributor or dealer) is paying. Not to mention, Mexican stuff is the lowest quality MJ and isn't selling for regular street prices. The DEA/Feds look at a drug bust containing 100lbs of MJ and assign it a value of $400 per ounce when in reality that's probably not getting sold on the streets for much more than $150. And the cartels are probably offloading it for $50-75.

So it's probably in the neighborhood of 15-20% of their profits. But anti-drug and law enforcement agencies pad the numbers to make it look like their job is more impactful then it really is and the average American won't know any better.
 

ShawnD1

Lifer
May 24, 2003
15,987
2
81
So it's probably in the neighborhood of 15-20% of their profits. But anti-drug and law enforcement agencies pad the numbers to make it look like their job is more impactful then it really is and the average American won't know any better.
They also pad the numbers to make pot look more evil than it is. "omg did you know 60% of organized crime is funded by pot!!!"

That sure would be interesting to see legalized drugs in mexico but still illegal in the US. The price of drugs would drop like a rock because mexicans could legally buy the drugs, and the US would be flooded with very low cost illegal drugs. It wold be straight up LOL
 

xj0hnx

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2007
9,262
3
76
That's no reason not to get the ball rolling though. Yea, let's keep our stupid policy just because someone else has a stupid policy.

The drug war would fall apart pretty quickly if

1. California legalized pot.
2. Mexico legalized pot.

One state, and Mexico legalizing pot is not going to do anything to the drug cartels, except make them more money. I think a lot of people are going to be in for a rude awakening when they legalize pot and there's still a lot of violence and cartels are still running metric tons of coke, heroin, and meth.
 
Last edited:

zsdersw

Lifer
Oct 29, 2003
10,505
2
0
I've always maintained that taking/purchasing/selling drugs should be completely legal. The accidents and mistakes one makes while under their influence, however, are perfectly punishable.

Sure, you can smoke crack, meth, pot and shoot up heroin all you want, but if you harm anyone else or their property, you're gonna pay up. We're also not going to pay for any medical conditions you may develop as a result of your drug use.

This will identify, pretty quickly, who's smart and who's stupid. Over time, it will also lead to fewer stupid people.