• We’re currently investigating an issue related to the forum theme and styling that is impacting page layout and visual formatting. The problem has been identified, and we are actively working on a resolution. There is no impact to user data or functionality, this is strictly a front-end display issue. We’ll post an update once the fix has been deployed. Thanks for your patience while we get this sorted.

Wall Street Journal figures out "emergency edition" P4...

Page 3 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.
Originally posted by: Evan Lieb
Lose money? Yikes, I love the WSJ, but that's just plain misinformation.

Read carefully:

But analysts now doubt that Intel will ever really do so, saying the company would lose money if it tried.


That may not be the prevelant opinion among professional technology analyists but i doubt either of us know for sure, do we? 🙂
 
Originally posted by: orion7144
Originally posted by: dexvx
Originally posted by: ElFenix
i wonder what intel's variable cost per cpu is? probably $5

One of my neighbors in Oregon is an Intel Finance person for Prescott. The Northwoods he helped managed beforehand cost about $40-50 per CPU in physical costs.

Lets just say that is a high average and those cost include everything including pay, benefits, tool cost (including depreciation), design, and so on. The reason that Intel's die costs are so low is their die yield. That is why AMD has so much trouble making money. If they could get their die yield to an acceptable level they would be making some good money.

By yield here I assume you refer to saleable yield (functional*(bin speeds)) and not functional yield? Been a long time since I've been aware of AMD having a functional yield problem. Not that I know anything, I'm just asking.
 
Originally posted by: jbond04
Originally posted by: Goose77

Unless ur an engineer for intel workin on these processor you really cant gaurentee any of the numbers you put up. 117 W is not out of the question.

That's BS...I work for HP, and I know a lot about products and technologies I don't work with on a day to day basis. It's kind of humorous, actually, what you can learn from bathroom and hallway talk. Just because Sohcan may not work on the Xeon MP or P4 EE doesn't mean he hasn't heard or read about something about it. There are tons of things I encounter each day that are labeled 'HP Confidential', which means that people like you don't hear about it. I have access to a database that lists reports on just about any technology that HP has ever developed; things that the public has never heard or dreamed of (and probably never will). I would trust the word of Intel's employees when they say that the consumption is less than the rumored 117W...just because they can't quote you a specific number (it may be 'Intel Confidential'), doesn't mean that they're full of it.

jbond04 is spot on. As a TI employee I see, hear, and read all kinds of crazy stuff. I can't divuldge it and I can't allow it to impact by TXN/NOK/SUNW buy and sell decisions. But I can utilize that info to guide my discussions on the bounds of what is physically possible versus improbable given what I know being already reduced to practice.

Bottom line is the non-semi industry employee can be easily duped by anyone claiming to be "in the know" but for those few people you do trust to be legit and in the biz you should learn to have a little more faith and a lot less uneducated opinion.
 
Originally posted by: Lucky

Read carefully:

But analysts now doubt that Intel will ever really do so, saying the company would lose money if it tried.

That may not be the prevelant opinion among professional technology analyists but i doubt either of us know for sure, do we? 🙂

The P4 EE is only slightly larger than Williamette or Klamath, I don't recall Intel losing money then. And AMD has a large chip itself with the Athlon 64/FX and if Intel loses money selling each EE, than so would AMD from selling each A64.
 
Originally posted by: Idontcare
Originally posted by: jbond04
Originally posted by: Goose77

Unless ur an engineer for intel workin on these processor you really cant gaurentee any of the numbers you put up. 117 W is not out of the question.

That's BS...I work for HP, and I know a lot about products and technologies I don't work with on a day to day basis. It's kind of humorous, actually, what you can learn from bathroom and hallway talk. Just because Sohcan may not work on the Xeon MP or P4 EE doesn't mean he hasn't heard or read about something about it. There are tons of things I encounter each day that are labeled 'HP Confidential', which means that people like you don't hear about it. I have access to a database that lists reports on just about any technology that HP has ever developed; things that the public has never heard or dreamed of (and probably never will). I would trust the word of Intel's employees when they say that the consumption is less than the rumored 117W...just because they can't quote you a specific number (it may be 'Intel Confidential'), doesn't mean that they're full of it.

jbond04 is spot on. As a TI employee I see, hear, and read all kinds of crazy stuff. I can't divuldge it and I can't allow it to impact by TXN/NOK/SUNW buy and sell decisions. But I can utilize that info to guide my discussions on the bounds of what is physically possible versus improbable given what I know being already reduced to practice.

Bottom line is the non-semi industry employee can be easily duped by anyone claiming to be "in the know" but for those few people you do trust to be legit and in the biz you should learn to have a little more faith and a lot less uneducated opinion.

Have any interesting info about US-IV or US-V? 😉
 
Originally posted by: Idontcare
Originally posted by: jbond04
Originally posted by: Goose77

Unless ur an engineer for intel workin on these processor you really cant gaurentee any of the numbers you put up. 117 W is not out of the question.

That's BS...I work for HP, and I know a lot about products and technologies I don't work with on a day to day basis. It's kind of humorous, actually, what you can learn from bathroom and hallway talk. Just because Sohcan may not work on the Xeon MP or P4 EE doesn't mean he hasn't heard or read about something about it. There are tons of things I encounter each day that are labeled 'HP Confidential', which means that people like you don't hear about it. I have access to a database that lists reports on just about any technology that HP has ever developed; things that the public has never heard or dreamed of (and probably never will). I would trust the word of Intel's employees when they say that the consumption is less than the rumored 117W...just because they can't quote you a specific number (it may be 'Intel Confidential'), doesn't mean that they're full of it.

jbond04 is spot on. As a TI employee I see, hear, and read all kinds of crazy stuff. I can't divuldge it and I can't allow it to impact by TXN/NOK/SUNW buy and sell decisions. But I can utilize that info to guide my discussions on the bounds of what is physically possible versus improbable given what I know being already reduced to practice.

Bottom line is the non-semi industry employee can be easily duped by anyone claiming to be "in the know" but for those few people you do trust to be legit and in the biz you should learn to have a little more faith and a lot less uneducated opinion.

Yeah...it wasn't until I started to work at HP that I realized how uneducated I was before. When I first joined these forums, I didn't know an ALU from an FPU. I would take every word a review site said as the unwavering truth, and I would harbor biases of the worst kind. Now, after a few years and a lot of learning, I realize that there are people out there who know more (a lot more) than I do. Respect these people. Basically, until I started work, I didn't know sh*t. It still amazes me how some people on these forums will come out and blatantly tell employees they're lying. Just because you're an EE or a CpE major doesn't mean that you know everything there is to know. I learned way more in 2 months at HP than I did in 1 year of college...there's a lot to be said for real world experience.

Employees are enthusiasts just like everyone else, and if I were to share information or give a strong hint, it's only because I want to help other people to learn and understand more, not to say "my company is better than yours". Wingznut and Sohcan don't make any money if you buy Intel processors; that's not why they debunk rumors or point out misinformation. Instead, they're trying to provide accurate information from the best source possible, the place where they work. Give these guys a break...they're not out to convert you...they're here to learn and teach and talk about the technology they love, not give inaccurate numbers for the thermal output of the P4EE.
 
Originally posted by: Idontcare
Originally posted by: orion7144
Originally posted by: dexvx
Originally posted by: ElFenix
i wonder what intel's variable cost per cpu is? probably $5

One of my neighbors in Oregon is an Intel Finance person for Prescott. The Northwoods he helped managed beforehand cost about $40-50 per CPU in physical costs.

Lets just say that is a high average and those cost include everything including pay, benefits, tool cost (including depreciation), design, and so on. The reason that Intel's die costs are so low is their die yield. That is why AMD has so much trouble making money. If they could get their die yield to an acceptable level they would be making some good money.

By yield here I assume you refer to saleable yield (functional*(bin speeds)) and not functional yield? Been a long time since I've been aware of AMD having a functional yield problem. Not that I know anything, I'm just asking.

Exactly!
 
Originally posted by: jbond04
Employees are enthusiasts just like everyone else, and if I were to share information or give a strong hint, it's only because I want to help other people to learn and understand more, not to say "my company is better than yours". Wingznut and Sohcan don't make any money if you buy Intel processors; that's not why they debunk rumors or point out misinformation. Instead, they're trying to provide accurate information from the best source possible, the place where they work. Give these guys a break...they're not out to convert you...they're here to learn and teach and talk about the technology they love, not give inaccurate numbers for the thermal output of the P4EE.
Well said, jbond. 🙂

 
Originally posted by: LuckyThat may not be the prevelant opinion among professional technology analyists but i doubt either of us know for sure, do we? 🙂

We do. Intel would have to sell the P4EE for a ridiculously small amount of money (say somewhere under a 2.4C) to actually lose money on the P4EE. Now, if WSJ meant to say that Intel wouldn't make as much, that's completely different. But WSJ certainly didn't word it clearly if that was the case, that's for sure.
 
Originally posted by: Sunner
Originally posted by: Idontcare
Originally posted by: jbond04
Originally posted by: Goose77

Unless ur an engineer for intel workin on these processor you really cant gaurentee any of the numbers you put up. 117 W is not out of the question.

That's BS...I work for HP, and I know a lot about products and technologies I don't work with on a day to day basis. It's kind of humorous, actually, what you can learn from bathroom and hallway talk. Just because Sohcan may not work on the Xeon MP or P4 EE doesn't mean he hasn't heard or read about something about it. There are tons of things I encounter each day that are labeled 'HP Confidential', which means that people like you don't hear about it. I have access to a database that lists reports on just about any technology that HP has ever developed; things that the public has never heard or dreamed of (and probably never will). I would trust the word of Intel's employees when they say that the consumption is less than the rumored 117W...just because they can't quote you a specific number (it may be 'Intel Confidential'), doesn't mean that they're full of it.

jbond04 is spot on. As a TI employee I see, hear, and read all kinds of crazy stuff. I can't divuldge it and I can't allow it to impact by TXN/NOK/SUNW buy and sell decisions. But I can utilize that info to guide my discussions on the bounds of what is physically possible versus improbable given what I know being already reduced to practice.

Bottom line is the non-semi industry employee can be easily duped by anyone claiming to be "in the know" but for those few people you do trust to be legit and in the biz you should learn to have a little more faith and a lot less uneducated opinion.

Have any interesting info about US-IV or US-V? 😉

Of course! Can I divulge any of it? Absolutely no! err, I mean maybe...

If you want to read up on what is publicly available knowledge then see: TI on R&D Requirements for 90nm and Beyond

Once you get past the usual marketing boilerplate look specifically to page 15 and 16 for process and numbers on the USIV. Not that anything has been officially announced but you'll notice comments about 35nm xtors for 90nm node. I work on the 65nm node, all I can say is things will be smaller and faster...maybe (disclaimer, opinions expressed here are mine and not reflective of my employer).

Edit: I can't spell!
 
Originally posted by: Idontcare
Originally posted by: Sunner
Originally posted by: Idontcare
Originally posted by: jbond04
Originally posted by: Goose77

Unless ur an engineer for intel workin on these processor you really cant gaurentee any of the numbers you put up. 117 W is not out of the question.

That's BS...I work for HP, and I know a lot about products and technologies I don't work with on a day to day basis. It's kind of humorous, actually, what you can learn from bathroom and hallway talk. Just because Sohcan may not work on the Xeon MP or P4 EE doesn't mean he hasn't heard or read about something about it. There are tons of things I encounter each day that are labeled 'HP Confidential', which means that people like you don't hear about it. I have access to a database that lists reports on just about any technology that HP has ever developed; things that the public has never heard or dreamed of (and probably never will). I would trust the word of Intel's employees when they say that the consumption is less than the rumored 117W...just because they can't quote you a specific number (it may be 'Intel Confidential'), doesn't mean that they're full of it.

jbond04 is spot on. As a TI employee I see, hear, and read all kinds of crazy stuff. I can't divuldge it and I can't allow it to impact by TXN/NOK/SUNW buy and sell decisions. But I can utilize that info to guide my discussions on the bounds of what is physically possible versus improbable given what I know being already reduced to practice.

Bottom line is the non-semi industry employee can be easily duped by anyone claiming to be "in the know" but for those few people you do trust to be legit and in the biz you should learn to have a little more faith and a lot less uneducated opinion.

Have any interesting info about US-IV or US-V? 😉

Of course! Can I divulge any of it? Absolutely no! err, I mean maybe...

If you want to read up on what is publicly available knowledge then see: TI on R&D Requirements for 90nm and Beyond

Once you get past the usual marketing boilerplate look specifically to page 15 and 16 for process and numbers on the USIV. Not that anything has been officially announced but you'll notice comments about 35nm xtors for 90nm node. I work on the 65nm node, all I can say is things will be smaller and faster...maybe (disclaimer, opinions expressed here are mine and not reflective of my employer).

Edit: I can't spell!

Idontcare I sent you a PM.
 
Originally posted by: Sohcan
Originally posted by: Goose77


Umm...I'm a microprocessor engineer? 😛

Reread my previous post after the edit. Dynamic power is proportional to clock rate, while static power (a major contribution to power consumption these days) is proportional to voltage * leakage. Had the P4 EE had a 400 MHz bus like the Xeon MP, power would have most certainly scaled less than the proportional increase in clock rate...the faster bus adds about 5 watts. Between 85-90 W is likely for the TDP, 117 W is out of the question.

There's no reason to be belligerent, I'm just trying to help out.

Your right about alot of that, but there still is a lot of variables to contend with. Unless ur an engineer for intel workin on these processor you really cant gaurentee any of the numbers you put up. 117 W is not out of the question. Is there a 3.2 Xeon proc to guesstimate with. My guess, and i mean guess, is no. There might be a reason for no Xeon at higher speeds because of some sort of problem (i.e. prob with heat, might be too hot for a server). Remember, architecture varies from core to core.

Yes, I do work for Intel; and no, I don't need to have worked on this particular processor to know that 117 watts TDP is out of the question.

You don't need me telling you this, there are more than enough data points from the publically available datasheets for the P4 and the Xeon MP to estimate power consumption.

Until intel says "this is the watts" its all Skepticism. Look, im not trying to argue with any of you, but i dont like someone telling me what the facts are when there is no solid evidence to back up what he says. I can take what he says as his guess, but not as fact.
I'm not about to start posting information I might have from confidential meetings and documents. I linked the Xeon MP datasheet (here's the P4 datasheet), there's more than enough public info you need.

Until intel says what it is, its all an estimate, and even then they could be skewing the fact. Take for example the NV fx fiasco!! man did they skew fact!! My point is that all these numbers are nice guesses!
rolleye.gif
Intel can't lie about power consumption, vendors rely on the datasheets to supply enough power to the processor and provide adequate cooling. If the numbers were intentionally lowered, systems would fail.


Right, im not arguing with you about the numbers, but the info that is posted only allows you to get and estimate of how it MIGHT work! not the way its gonna work upon release! point being that its just an estimate. The actual wattage could be +-5 watts or more, or less.

as for the NV comment, i was j/k, i know the cant lie about that. My point here is that they can market one thing while its still being developed, and then anounce that its another after the release. anyone with marketing sense would do that to create hype around the product! The thing is, you cant go too far with that, cause you could end up shooting your self in the foot like NV did!
 
Originally posted by: Goose77
Originally posted by: Sohcan
Originally posted by: Goose77


Umm...I'm a microprocessor engineer? 😛

Reread my previous post after the edit. Dynamic power is proportional to clock rate, while static power (a major contribution to power consumption these days) is proportional to voltage * leakage. Had the P4 EE had a 400 MHz bus like the Xeon MP, power would have most certainly scaled less than the proportional increase in clock rate...the faster bus adds about 5 watts. Between 85-90 W is likely for the TDP, 117 W is out of the question.

There's no reason to be belligerent, I'm just trying to help out.

Your right about alot of that, but there still is a lot of variables to contend with. Unless ur an engineer for intel workin on these processor you really cant gaurentee any of the numbers you put up. 117 W is not out of the question. Is there a 3.2 Xeon proc to guesstimate with. My guess, and i mean guess, is no. There might be a reason for no Xeon at higher speeds because of some sort of problem (i.e. prob with heat, might be too hot for a server). Remember, architecture varies from core to core.

Yes, I do work for Intel; and no, I don't need to have worked on this particular processor to know that 117 watts TDP is out of the question.

You don't need me telling you this, there are more than enough data points from the publically available datasheets for the P4 and the Xeon MP to estimate power consumption.

Until intel says "this is the watts" its all Skepticism. Look, im not trying to argue with any of you, but i dont like someone telling me what the facts are when there is no solid evidence to back up what he says. I can take what he says as his guess, but not as fact.
I'm not about to start posting information I might have from confidential meetings and documents. I linked the Xeon MP datasheet (here's the P4 datasheet), there's more than enough public info you need.

Until intel says what it is, its all an estimate, and even then they could be skewing the fact. Take for example the NV fx fiasco!! man did they skew fact!! My point is that all these numbers are nice guesses!
rolleye.gif
Intel can't lie about power consumption, vendors rely on the datasheets to supply enough power to the processor and provide adequate cooling. If the numbers were intentionally lowered, systems would fail.


Right, im not arguing with you about the numbers, but the info that is posted only allows you to get and estimate of how it MIGHT work! not the way its gonna work upon release! point being that its just an estimate. The actual wattage could be +-5 watts or more, or less.

as for the NV comment, i was j/k, i know the cant lie about that. My point here is that they can market one thing while its still being developed, and then anounce that its another after the release. anyone with marketing sense would do that to create hype around the product! The thing is, you cant go too far with that, cause you could end up shooting your self in the foot like NV did!

Goose77, I'm not sure what you are trying to nit-pick about here. Even after release, the manufacturing processes will produce normal (as in Gaussian) distributions of chips and the "actual" heat dissipation numbers from any given Lot's worth of Si (or batch of wafers) will vary both in average and 6sigma.

One week you might have 3.2GHz P4 EEs with average 100W +/- 10W (6sigma) and the next week you may have a batch of 3.2GHz P4 EEs with average 90W +/- 20W...the specific chip you might purchase will most likely operate at the average heat dissipation (under given load) for that batch of chips but all Intel or any IDM can tell you is what the worst-case power usage will be allowed to pass through some validation program and into the consumer market.


Until intel says "this is the watts" its all Skepticism

So what does someone telling 117W is too high mean to you? You've got to get beyond your thirst for technically correct semantics and learn to distinguish between someone "estimating the error of the mean (accuracy) for the heat dissipation distribution within some statistical distribution assuming 3 or 6 sigma (precision)" and someone "estimating the most-likely maximum allowed (6sigma) bin for heat dissipation " Both the mean and distribution about the mean will vary from wafer to wafer, fab to fab, and lot to lot within the same stepping. And guess what, not only would a "this is the watts" value be meaningless when the chip is sold to you, but it would be meaningless everyday thereafter as thermal profiles of a chip are also a function of the chips age and usage.

From what I've read here it would appear that most people are trying to clue you in the fact that 99% of the chips will not likely come even close to 110W heat output whereas you appear to want people to believe you are fixated on estimating the global mean-value of all chips to be produced.😕 Stop biting the hands that feed you and let some of this soak in, most of us don't post for practice. 🙂


Edit - Me can't spell or paste good 🙂
 
Of course! Can I divulge any of it? Absolutely no! err, I mean maybe...

If you want to read up on what is publicly available knowledge then see: TI on R&D Requirements for 90nm and Beyond

Once you get past the usual marketing boilerplate look specifically to page 15 and 16 for process and numbers on the USIV. Not that anything has been officially announced but you'll notice comments about 35nm xtors for 90nm node. I work on the 65nm node, all I can say is things will be smaller and faster...maybe (disclaimer, opinions expressed here are mine and not reflective of my employer).

Edit: I can't spell!
Thanks for that one, haven't read that paper before.
 
Originally posted by: Idontcare
Originally posted by: Goose77
Originally posted by: Sohcan
Originally posted by: Goose77


Umm...I'm a microprocessor engineer? 😛

Reread my previous post after the edit. Dynamic power is proportional to clock rate, while static power (a major contribution to power consumption these days) is proportional to voltage * leakage. Had the P4 EE had a 400 MHz bus like the Xeon MP, power would have most certainly scaled less than the proportional increase in clock rate...the faster bus adds about 5 watts. Between 85-90 W is likely for the TDP, 117 W is out of the question.

There's no reason to be belligerent, I'm just trying to help out.

Your right about alot of that, but there still is a lot of variables to contend with. Unless ur an engineer for intel workin on these processor you really cant gaurentee any of the numbers you put up. 117 W is not out of the question. Is there a 3.2 Xeon proc to guesstimate with. My guess, and i mean guess, is no. There might be a reason for no Xeon at higher speeds because of some sort of problem (i.e. prob with heat, might be too hot for a server). Remember, architecture varies from core to core.

Yes, I do work for Intel; and no, I don't need to have worked on this particular processor to know that 117 watts TDP is out of the question.

You don't need me telling you this, there are more than enough data points from the publically available datasheets for the P4 and the Xeon MP to estimate power consumption.

Until intel says "this is the watts" its all Skepticism. Look, im not trying to argue with any of you, but i dont like someone telling me what the facts are when there is no solid evidence to back up what he says. I can take what he says as his guess, but not as fact.
I'm not about to start posting information I might have from confidential meetings and documents. I linked the Xeon MP datasheet (here's the P4 datasheet), there's more than enough public info you need.

Until intel says what it is, its all an estimate, and even then they could be skewing the fact. Take for example the NV fx fiasco!! man did they skew fact!! My point is that all these numbers are nice guesses!
rolleye.gif
Intel can't lie about power consumption, vendors rely on the datasheets to supply enough power to the processor and provide adequate cooling. If the numbers were intentionally lowered, systems would fail.


Right, im not arguing with you about the numbers, but the info that is posted only allows you to get and estimate of how it MIGHT work! not the way its gonna work upon release! point being that its just an estimate. The actual wattage could be +-5 watts or more, or less.

as for the NV comment, i was j/k, i know the cant lie about that. My point here is that they can market one thing while its still being developed, and then anounce that its another after the release. anyone with marketing sense would do that to create hype around the product! The thing is, you cant go too far with that, cause you could end up shooting your self in the foot like NV did!

Goose77, I'm not sure what you are trying to nit-pick about here. Even after release, the manufacturing processes will produce normal (as in Gaussian) distributions of chips and the "actual" heat dissipation numbers from any given Lot's worth of Si (or batch of wafers) will vary both in average and 6sigma.

One week you might have 3.2GHz P4 EEs with average 100W +/- 10W (6sigma) and the next week you may have a batch of 3.2GHz P4 EEs with average 90W +/- 20W...the specific chip you might purchase will most likely operate at the average heat dissipation (under given load) for that batch of chips but all Intel or any IDM can tell you is what the worst-case power usage will be allowed to pass through some validation program and into the consumer market.


Until intel says "this is the watts" its all Skepticism

So what does someone telling 117W is too high mean to you? You've got to get beyond your thirst for technically correct semantics and learn to distinguish between someone "estimating the error of the mean (accuracy) for the heat dissipation distribution within some statistical distribution assuming 3 or 6 sigma (precision)" and someone "estimating the most-likely maximum allowed (6sigma) bin for heat dissipation " Both the mean and distribution about the mean will vary from wafer to wafer, fab to fab, and lot to lot within the same stepping. And guess what, not only would a "this is the watts" value be meaningless when the chip is sold to you, but it would be meaningless everyday thereafter as thermal profiles of a chip are also a function of the chips age and usage.

From what I've read here it would appear that most people are trying to clue you in the fact that 99% of the chips will not likely come even close to 110W heat output whereas you appear to want people to believe you are fixated on estimating the global mean-value of all chips to be produced.😕 Stop biting the hands that feed you and let some of this soak in, most of us don't post for practice. 🙂


Edit - Me can't spell or paste good 🙂

You have a good point here, and im sorry for any frustration that i have caused, just that heat production does matter to those that overclock. The more a proc produces heat the less likely you are to overclock it well. Plus, this is one factor that some people base there purchasing decisions on. I am starting to inclue the amount of heat production in my decision on which proc to buy. The one in my system is hell. In the summer, it get so hot in my room that i cant sleep at night! this is with ac on. The other floors are ice cold and my room is blazin hot! (note: halogen light doesnt help either 😉 ) maybe to joeschmoe it might not really matter, but to fanatices everything matters! 😉
 
Originally posted by: Goose77
Originally posted by: Idontcare
Originally posted by: Goose77
Originally posted by: Sohcan
Originally posted by: Goose77


Umm...I'm a microprocessor engineer? 😛

Reread my previous post after the edit. Dynamic power is proportional to clock rate, while static power (a major contribution to power consumption these days) is proportional to voltage * leakage. Had the P4 EE had a 400 MHz bus like the Xeon MP, power would have most certainly scaled less than the proportional increase in clock rate...the faster bus adds about 5 watts. Between 85-90 W is likely for the TDP, 117 W is out of the question.

There's no reason to be belligerent, I'm just trying to help out.

Your right about alot of that, but there still is a lot of variables to contend with. Unless ur an engineer for intel workin on these processor you really cant gaurentee any of the numbers you put up. 117 W is not out of the question. Is there a 3.2 Xeon proc to guesstimate with. My guess, and i mean guess, is no. There might be a reason for no Xeon at higher speeds because of some sort of problem (i.e. prob with heat, might be too hot for a server). Remember, architecture varies from core to core.

Yes, I do work for Intel; and no, I don't need to have worked on this particular processor to know that 117 watts TDP is out of the question.

You don't need me telling you this, there are more than enough data points from the publically available datasheets for the P4 and the Xeon MP to estimate power consumption.

Until intel says "this is the watts" its all Skepticism. Look, im not trying to argue with any of you, but i dont like someone telling me what the facts are when there is no solid evidence to back up what he says. I can take what he says as his guess, but not as fact.
I'm not about to start posting information I might have from confidential meetings and documents. I linked the Xeon MP datasheet (here's the P4 datasheet), there's more than enough public info you need.

Until intel says what it is, its all an estimate, and even then they could be skewing the fact. Take for example the NV fx fiasco!! man did they skew fact!! My point is that all these numbers are nice guesses!
rolleye.gif
Intel can't lie about power consumption, vendors rely on the datasheets to supply enough power to the processor and provide adequate cooling. If the numbers were intentionally lowered, systems would fail.


Right, im not arguing with you about the numbers, but the info that is posted only allows you to get and estimate of how it MIGHT work! not the way its gonna work upon release! point being that its just an estimate. The actual wattage could be +-5 watts or more, or less.

as for the NV comment, i was j/k, i know the cant lie about that. My point here is that they can market one thing while its still being developed, and then anounce that its another after the release. anyone with marketing sense would do that to create hype around the product! The thing is, you cant go too far with that, cause you could end up shooting your self in the foot like NV did!

Goose77, I'm not sure what you are trying to nit-pick about here. Even after release, the manufacturing processes will produce normal (as in Gaussian) distributions of chips and the "actual" heat dissipation numbers from any given Lot's worth of Si (or batch of wafers) will vary both in average and 6sigma.

One week you might have 3.2GHz P4 EEs with average 100W +/- 10W (6sigma) and the next week you may have a batch of 3.2GHz P4 EEs with average 90W +/- 20W...the specific chip you might purchase will most likely operate at the average heat dissipation (under given load) for that batch of chips but all Intel or any IDM can tell you is what the worst-case power usage will be allowed to pass through some validation program and into the consumer market.


Until intel says "this is the watts" its all Skepticism

So what does someone telling 117W is too high mean to you? You've got to get beyond your thirst for technically correct semantics and learn to distinguish between someone "estimating the error of the mean (accuracy) for the heat dissipation distribution within some statistical distribution assuming 3 or 6 sigma (precision)" and someone "estimating the most-likely maximum allowed (6sigma) bin for heat dissipation " Both the mean and distribution about the mean will vary from wafer to wafer, fab to fab, and lot to lot within the same stepping. And guess what, not only would a "this is the watts" value be meaningless when the chip is sold to you, but it would be meaningless everyday thereafter as thermal profiles of a chip are also a function of the chips age and usage.

From what I've read here it would appear that most people are trying to clue you in the fact that 99% of the chips will not likely come even close to 110W heat output whereas you appear to want people to believe you are fixated on estimating the global mean-value of all chips to be produced.😕 Stop biting the hands that feed you and let some of this soak in, most of us don't post for practice. 🙂


Edit - Me can't spell or paste good 🙂

You have a good point here, and im sorry for any frustration that i have caused, just that heat production does matter to those that overclock. The more a proc produces heat the less likely you are to overclock it well. Plus, this is one factor that some people base there purchasing decisions on. I am starting to inclue the amount of heat production in my decision on which proc to buy. The one in my system is hell. In the summer, it get so hot in my room that i cant sleep at night! this is with ac on. The other floors are ice cold and my room is blazin hot! (note: halogen light doesnt help either 😉 ) maybe to joeschmoe it might not really matter, but to fanatices everything matters! 😉

I hear ya. One of the things I read recently that perked my ears was that Intel might begin locking in the default-operating voltage per each individual CPU's leakage characteristics at test.

This will quickly segregate the market into "O/C friendly" chips as we start questing over the low-voltage high GHz bins.
 
Yes and no... If you have a defect on a Northwood wafer that takes out four die, then it would take out two die on a wafer that is producing die twice the size. Either way, the percentage is the same. Now if we are talking bin splits (the speed the die can run at), then you are cutting your chances in half of getting the top speeds out of a wafer. How much does that affect potential profits? I guess that depends on the maturity of the process and the stepping.
I haven't read the rest of the thread, but I thought that I'd mention that I disagree with you here.

Without trying to tell you what you probably know already, defects can be thought of a random scattering of sand on a wafer. They appear all over randomly. So hypothetically if you have 400 die per wafer and you randomly scatter 12 grains of sand over them to take out a few of them, you may find that you have lost 12 die per wafer. 97% yeild. But if you have 50 die per wafer, and you throw your 12 grains over the wafer, you find that you may have die big enough to grab 2 of these defects at a time, but overall you are now down 10 die. 80% yield. And if you somehow had 10 die per wafer, you might find that you are down to 1 defect-free die once you throw your defect scattering sand over the wafer.

 
Originally posted by: pm
Yes and no... If you have a defect on a Northwood wafer that takes out four die, then it would take out two die on a wafer that is producing die twice the size. Either way, the percentage is the same. Now if we are talking bin splits (the speed the die can run at), then you are cutting your chances in half of getting the top speeds out of a wafer. How much does that affect potential profits? I guess that depends on the maturity of the process and the stepping.
I haven't read the rest of the thread, but I thought that I'd mention that I disagree with you here.

Without trying to tell you what you probably know already, defects can be thought of a random scattering of sand on a wafer. They appear all over randomly. So hypothetically if you have 400 die per wafer and you randomly scatter 12 grains of sand over them to take out a few of them, you may find that you have lost 12 die per wafer. 97% yeild. But if you have 50 die per wafer, and you throw your 12 grains over the wafer, you find that you may have die big enough to grab 2 of these defects at a time, but overall you are now down 10 die. 80% yield. And if you somehow had 10 die per wafer, you might find that you are down to 1 defect-free die once you throw your defect scattering sand over the wafer.
True... But then you are talking about defects such as particles. If you think about others such as focus spots, spin defects, polish defects, etc, then my theory holds true.

Obviously we cannot get into which defects are more prevalent, or more specific examples... But I'd say that both of our statements are true. 🙂

 
Originally posted by: Wingznut
Originally posted by: pm
Yes and no... If you have a defect on a Northwood wafer that takes out four die, then it would take out two die on a wafer that is producing die twice the size. Either way, the percentage is the same. Now if we are talking bin splits (the speed the die can run at), then you are cutting your chances in half of getting the top speeds out of a wafer. How much does that affect potential profits? I guess that depends on the maturity of the process and the stepping.
I haven't read the rest of the thread, but I thought that I'd mention that I disagree with you here.

Without trying to tell you what you probably know already, defects can be thought of a random scattering of sand on a wafer. They appear all over randomly. So hypothetically if you have 400 die per wafer and you randomly scatter 12 grains of sand over them to take out a few of them, you may find that you have lost 12 die per wafer. 97% yeild. But if you have 50 die per wafer, and you throw your 12 grains over the wafer, you find that you may have die big enough to grab 2 of these defects at a time, but overall you are now down 10 die. 80% yield. And if you somehow had 10 die per wafer, you might find that you are down to 1 defect-free die once you throw your defect scattering sand over the wafer.
True... But then you are talking about defects such as particles. If you think about others such as focus spots, spin defects, polish defects, etc, then my theory holds true.

Obviously we cannot get into which defects are more prevalent, or more specific examples... But I'd say that both of our statements are true. 🙂

What pm said is pretty much what I was referring to.

In the article I read, they interviewed some suit at an Intel fab, and he mentioned that the biggest cause of lost dies was due particles, though of course he didn't go into exact yield numbers or anything.
This was quite a few years ago though, so I guess maybe things are better on that front these days?
 
Good point, Wings. I forgot about those kinds of effects. The way that I think about defects is still stuck in the days prior to CMP, I think.
 
Just to skew the thread OT for a sec:

I never really understood why people always quoted 3 pages of text, but only follow it up with a paragraph, a sentence, or even just a word sometimes. Why not just quote the very last one you're responding to, and just reply. Or even if it's the very last post on the thread, not even quote it at all? Makes browsing and finding your old spot when you last read the thread
SO much easiar,
 
Originally posted by: pm
Good point, Wings. I forgot about those kinds of effects. The way that I think about defects is still stuck in the days prior to CMP, I think.

Im assuming you're not speaking about Cellular Multi Processing there?
 
Back
Top