UNC professor of economics declares p2p is not the fault of decreasing record sales

kranky

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
21,019
156
106
I think the professor is pretty much off base here.

His logic is that people who download music wouldn't have bought it anyway. So what? Why should they get to enjoy the music free while other people pay for it? Strangely enough, I know quite a few people who say they can't afford to buy CDs but don't seem to lack for the latest clothes and tons of DVDs.

They download music instead of buying it because they can get away with it, and they convince themselves they wouldn't have bought it anyway. And that's probably what they tell people like the professor.
 

halik

Lifer
Oct 10, 2000
25,696
1
81
Well thats a great article and all, but it wont change status quo at all.

RIAA will keep on suing people, while people will keep on using kazaa. The CD sales will keep on dropping and ill be not buying CDs as usual.

I'm sure downloading hurts CD sales somewhat, but by no means the 20% decrese we've observed. But suing your consumer base will just aliante them plus the most flawed idea of em all - it will not make people buy music.

I mean say i hear some song on the radio and download it off kazaa that night. If RIAA managaes to wipe out all possible means of p2p (i wanna see that happen...), that will NOT make me run to the store that nigth and drop 20 bucks on a cd to get the song i heard earlier. It just wont happen.

My downloading or not downloading music (or software for that matter) doesnt change the situation one way or another.


EDIT:

I do buy DVDs however, MPAA has somewhat more modern apporach to the whole thing. First off they dont sue people left and right and second they give me and incentive to get the DVD. I like the extra features, behind the scenes, surround sound and all of that. I have 50+ dvd collection and probably the same amount of DiVX movies. Most of the time if i download a movie on divx thats really good, i go out and get the DVD.
 

codeyf

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
11,854
3
81
Originally posted by: kranky
I think the professor is pretty much off base here.

His logic is that people who download music wouldn't have bought it anyway. So what? Why should they get to enjoy the music free while other people pay for it? Strangely enough, I know quite a few people who say they can't afford to buy CDs but don't seem to lack for the latest clothes and tons of DVDs.

They download music instead of buying it because they can get away with it, and they convince themselves they wouldn't have bought it anyway. And that's probably what they tell people like the professor.

The logic is if the person who downloaded it, wouldn't have bought it in the first place, they're not out any money.

The reason why people download is endlessly debateable and the point of the article.

I for one stopped buying cd's long before P2P/burners became popular. And on the rare occasion I did, they were used.
 

RaynorWolfcastle

Diamond Member
Feb 8, 2001
8,968
16
81
I still buy the occasional CD that's worthwhile even though I know I could download it free. I've downloaded a few CDs and within a couple of weeks I usually either delete it because it sucks or buy the actual CD because it's good.
 

sygyzy

Lifer
Oct 21, 2000
14,001
4
76
Does this subject line even make sense? Is the OP claiming that the professor is saying that p2p came after decreasing record sales? That it is the result of it? I thought the claim was always that decreasing records sales came as a result of p2p.
 

dighn

Lifer
Aug 12, 2001
22,820
4
81
Originally posted by: kranky
I think the professor is pretty much off base here.

His logic is that people who download music wouldn't have bought it anyway. So what? Why should they get to enjoy the music free while other people pay for it? Strangely enough, I know quite a few people who say they can't afford to buy CDs but don't seem to lack for the latest clothes and tons of DVDs.

the point is the companies do not lose any potential sale. then nobody is really hurt. but i agree emotionally it seems a bit unfair.

anyway i don't buy cds; i didn't buy them before mp3s became popular either
 

TheNinja

Lifer
Jan 22, 2003
12,207
1
0
Originally posted by: sygyzy
Does this subject line even make sense? Is the OP claiming that the professor is saying that p2p came after decreasing record sales? That is is the result of it? I thought the claim was always that decreasing records sales came as a result of p2p.


Ya, wouldn't it make more sense to say "UNC professor of economics declares decreasing record sales are not the fault of p2p downloading"?
 

Turin39789

Lifer
Nov 21, 2000
12,218
8
81
Originally posted by: sygyzy
Does this subject line even make sense? Is the OP claiming that the professor is saying that p2p came after decreasing record sales? That is is the result of it? I thought the claim was always that decreasing records sales came as a result of p2p.

" Strumpf, 35, and a Harvard University colleague concluded that online file sharing doesn't hurt music sales"
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
136
Originally posted by: kranky
I think the professor is pretty much off base here.

His logic is that people who download music wouldn't have bought it anyway. So what? Why should they get to enjoy the music free while other people pay for it? Strangely enough, I know quite a few people who say they can't afford to buy CDs but don't seem to lack for the latest clothes and tons of DVDs.

They download music instead of buying it because they can get away with it, and they convince themselves they wouldn't have bought it anyway. And that's probably what they tell people like the professor.


That is not the point of the study, and is not at issue here (although I agree with you in part).

The point of the study was to counter the music industry's claim that every download meant a lost sale. The RIAA has outright said that their sales are down simply because of internet downloading, and for no other reason. (The BSA is known to make the same ridiculous claim as well).
Koleman Strumpf here proved the RIAA wrong, although everyone else but the RIAA already knew that. It's just common sense. Just because someone will take something that was given to them for free does not mean that they would otherwise had paid for it (even if that would have been the only way to acquire it). Considering the crap it constantly spews out these days, the RIAA should know that their product is not always that desirable.

IMO, I wouldn't be surprised if music sales went down if internet downloading was finally stopped.
 

brigden

Diamond Member
Dec 22, 2002
8,702
2
81
This paper confirms my long-held supposition that downloading music illegally only affects a small fraction of record sales. One should not consider all music downloaded illegally to be a total loss of sales, but rather potential sales. Of those potential sales, only a very small fraction would actually purchase the music legally.
 

kranky

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
21,019
156
106
Originally posted by:Vic
Considering the crap it constantly spews out these days, the RIAA should know that their product is not always that desirable.

Not defending the RIAA, but isn't that like saying movie theaters are to blame for bad movies? They don't make the music. Don't know why people download so much if the music is that bad.

 

agnitrate

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2001
3,761
1
0
Originally posted by: kranky
Originally posted by:Vic
Considering the crap it constantly spews out these days, the RIAA should know that their product is not always that desirable.

Not defending the RIAA, but isn't that like saying movie theaters are to blame for bad movies? They don't make the music. Don't know why people download so much if the music is that bad.

Nope, it's different. Movie theaters aren't the ones who manufacture the movies. The RIAA DOES decide who to fund and who to bring up as stars. I bet most of what's downloaded isn't the crap that's played on MTV (oh wait, no videos), but the lesser known bands and people's smaller favorites.

The movie industry has tons of studios striving to make the best pictures ever. The RIAA controls the most artists and is almost like a monopoly on the industry. It's a quite different picture.

-silver
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
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IMO, the decline in music sales can be tied to the decline of radio. Just like how most people see the trailer and read the reviews of a movie before they go to see it, most people want to hear a song of an album before they will purchase it.
For decades, radio served as a valuable marketing tool for the music industry. Now radio is more interested in shock jocks and talk than music, and the music industry has suffered.

Of course, being a luxury item targeted mostly to teenagers (who generally have much lower incomes than older adults, and whose income is usually dependent on an adult, like a parent), the economic downturn hasn't helped any either.
 

sygyzy

Lifer
Oct 21, 2000
14,001
4
76
Originally posted by: Turin39789
Originally posted by: sygyzy
Does this subject line even make sense? Is the OP claiming that the professor is saying that p2p came after decreasing record sales? That is is the result of it? I thought the claim was always that decreasing records sales came as a result of p2p.

" Strumpf, 35, and a Harvard University colleague concluded that online file sharing doesn't hurt music sales"

Thanks for supporting my point.