U.S. to Be Half Minority by 2050

FrodoB

Senior member
Apr 5, 2001
299
0
0
Link

I'm not saying this is a bad thing. I do think it's very interesting. And with a projected population rise to 420 million by 2050 (50% increase), it would be wise to invest in real estate now. :)

"WASHINGTON ? The nation's Asian and Hispanic populations will roughly triple in size by midcentury, when minority groups overall will be nearly equal in number with whites, the Census Bureau (search) says.


Whites, now about 69 percent of the population, would comprise 50.1 percent of U.S. residents by 2050, bureau projections released Thursday show.

Immigration should continue to play a key role in sparking the explosive growth among Asians and especially Hispanics, said Greg Spencer, a demographer at the Census Bureau.

These demographic shifts will occur as the national population balloons to 420 million at midcentury, rising nearly 50 percent from 2000. Americans will get a bit grayer, too, by 2050 ? nearly 21 percent of residents will be age 65 or older, compared with 12 percent now.

The latest estimates update long-predicted trends, though race and ethnic changes are occurring sooner because of higher-than-expected immigration rates.

"These kind of data pushes us to think about the country in different ways, and how we define America," said Sonia Perez, vice president of research for the National Council of La Raza (search), the nation's largest advocacy group for Hispanics.

"But in terms of the message, it's the same story on how we need to focus on investments in these populations" such as reducing disparities in education and health care, Perez said.

Projections for whites, blacks and Asians covered only those who identified with one race. More detailed estimates, including those of multiracial Americans, will be released next year.

The Asian population is expected to grow 213 percent to 33 million by 2050. Hispanics will increase their ranks by 188 percent to 102.6 million, or roughly one-quarter of the population.

The black population would see a 71 percent increase to 61 million, remaining the second-largest minority.

Meanwhile, the white population would grow just 7 percent to 210 million. That figure refers only to whites who are not Hispanic.

The Census Bureau counts "Hispanic" or "Latino" as an ethnicity rather than a race, so Hispanics can be of any race, including white.

"Non-Hispanic white" is what would generally be considered the majority group in the U.S. population, though they are not officially designated as such, said John Haaga, a demographer with the Population Reference Bureau (search) in Washington, a research group.

Between 2040 and 2050, the Census Bureau expects the non-Hispanic white population actually will decline slightly because of a large number of expected deaths of baby boomers, who by 2040 will be at least 76.

The projections ? the first released by the bureau since the 2000 head count ? also show a burgeoning older population as healthier lifestyles and better medical treatment increase longevity. By 2050, 5 percent of the country will be 85 or older, compared with 1.5 percent now.

"This poses very interesting challenges. Institutions are going to be transformed ? and Social Security is the obvious one," said demographer Martha Farnsworth Riche, a former Census Bureau director. She pointed to education and health care as other affected areas.

Factors such as how multiracial Americans identify themselves could drastically alter these predictions, Riche said.

There is also the issue of how Hispanics identify themselves. Prior census data show that most Hispanics choose white as their race. Riche said that could be a sign that future generations of U.S.-born Latinos would select white and "non-Hispanic" as their background as they move further from the generation that first immigrated to the United States.

"When you look at 2050 and possibly see a large Hispanic population that doesn't speak Spanish anymore, being Hispanic might be something very different from today," said Roderick Harrison, a demographer with the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies (search), a research group that specializes in studying minority issues. "
 

ScrewFace

Banned
Sep 21, 2002
3,812
0
0
I read that report just minutes ago at www.usatoday.com. I think the 420,000,000 people estimated for 2050 is way off. It should be around 515,000,000 at current birth rates and immigration rates. Who cares if 'Whites' 'only' make up 50% of the population by 2050. With less whites and more blacks, hispanics and asians we may have to allow them to live next door to us which is a very good thing. It can only create more racial harmony in the long run.:beer::)
 

feralkid

Lifer
Jan 28, 2002
16,903
5,000
136
Originally posted by: ScrewFace
I read that report just minutes ago at www.usatoday.com. I think the 420,000,000 people estimated for 2050 is way off. It should be around 515,000,000 at current birth rates and immigration rates. Who cares if 'Whites' 'only' make up 50% of the population by 2050. With less whites and more blacks, hispanics and asians we may have to allow them to live next door to us which is a very good thing. It can only create more racial harmony in the long run.:beer::)





You mean like when the minorities becomes the majority then we can achieve parity and finally have true democracy?




:beer:
 

nutxo

Diamond Member
May 20, 2001
6,825
504
126
Originally posted by: ScrewFace
I read that report just minutes ago at www.usatoday.com. I think the 420,000,000 people estimated for 2050 is way off. It should be around 515,000,000 at current birth rates and immigration rates. Who cares if 'Whites' 'only' make up 50% of the population by 2050. With less whites and more blacks, hispanics and asians we may have to allow them to live next door to us which is a very good thing. It can only create more racial harmony in the long run.:beer::)

LOL, where you live? Theyve been my neighbors for a long time.
 

Dissipate

Diamond Member
Jan 17, 2004
6,815
0
0
What will be interesting is if each minority chooses a state to settle down in. What if all the caucasians leave California and head to say New Hampshire, all the blacks head to the southern states and the asians, well who knows where the asians will go. Point is, we could be looking at a divided country by 2050, but probably not.
 

alchemize

Lifer
Mar 24, 2000
11,486
0
0
Somebody is going to have to pay for all those old white folks retirement and healthcare that the democrats promised ;)
 

tec699

Banned
Dec 19, 2002
6,440
0
0
White people are worried and they should be. In a matter of 25-30 years the caucasians of this great country aren't going to have the influence they have at the moment. It's power in numbers and once the minorities start to fill the White House and once we get a minority President then hopefully it will make us a better society.
 

Dissipate

Diamond Member
Jan 17, 2004
6,815
0
0
Originally posted by: alchemize
Somebody is going to have to pay for all those old white folks retirement and healthcare that the democrats promised ;)

What?! The drug bill was passed by a Republican controlled congress and signed into law by Bush! No serious social security reform has come from Congress or the Whitehouse in the past 4 years either. Its not just the deomcrats that are pushing these things, its both democrats and conservatives.

Only party I know of that is denouncing SS and free drugs is the Libertarian party. Unfortunately the old folks are going to the polls in droves.

 

XMan

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
12,513
49
91
Originally posted by: tec699
White people are worried and they should be. In a matter of 25-30 years the caucasians of this great country aren't going to have the influence they have at the moment. It's power in numbers and once the minorities start to fill the White House and once we get a minority President then hopefully it will make us a better society.

White people are worried? Damn, I gotta talk to my shop steward. I haven't been getting my bulletins from "The Man".
 

bozack

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2000
7,913
12
81
Originally posted by: X-Man

White people are worried? Damn, I gotta talk to my shop steward. I haven't been getting my bulletins from "The Man".

lol....honestly why will this be a better place only after we get a minority prez??
 

shiner

Lifer
Jul 18, 2000
17,112
1
0
This is good news...means I probably won't have to drive as far to find good Mexican, Chinese, Vietnamese, or Thai food........
 

classy

Lifer
Oct 12, 1999
15,219
1
81
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
A bit off, most reports say by 2025 now.

I think that was for all the major cities. If I remeber correctly all the major cities by 2015 or somewhere around there will be mostly minority.
 

Zephyr106

Banned
Jul 2, 2003
1,309
0
0
Originally posted by: josphII
in related news....

America is going down the shitter!

Yeah, reminds me of when all those damn Italians and Irish came into this country. Not to mention the Jews and Poles. The poor WASP culture was "under assault."

Zephyr
 
May 10, 2001
2,669
0
0
Whites, now about 69 percent of the population, would comprise 50.1 percent of U.S. residents by 2050, bureau projections released Thursday show.
sounds good to me, mix the 'races' until we're all brown;

No serious social security reform has come from Congress or the Whitehouse in the past 4 years either. Its not just the deomcrats that are pushing these things, its both democrats and conservatives.
Actually it does a LOT of good when it things get into swing in 2006
 

Zebo

Elite Member
Jul 29, 2001
39,398
19
81
"But in terms of the message, it's the same story on how we need to focus on investments in these populations" such as reducing disparities in education and health care
---------------------
Sweet..Bring in more!!! All liberals are welcome...and make no mistake..coming from thier purley capalistic lasse fair holes in the walls they know the value of mixed economies.;) Interesting indeed.
 

Pepsei

Lifer
Dec 14, 2001
12,895
1
0
Originally posted by: shinerburke
This is good news...means I probably won't have to drive as far to find good Mexican, Chinese, Vietnamese, or Thai food........

I disagree, have you ever had Chinese food cooked by an amigo?