Time to let Japan train their own military?

wazzledoozle

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Apr 14, 2006
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It seems like at this point it would be a good idea to support Japan in developing their own military (other than their "self defense" forces). At this point in time, being tied up in Iraq and Afghanistan, US forces could be severely pinned down by the Chinese if the Taiwan-China war ever happens (I am thinking it will within the decade...)

50,000 US troops in Japan wont stop 500,000 Chinese Soldiers from invading Taiwan...
 

Aegeon

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Nov 2, 2004
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Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
It seems like at this point it would be a good idea to support Japan in developing their own military (other than their "self defense" forces). At this point in time, being tied up in Iraq and Afghanistan, US forces could be severely pinned down by the Chinese if the Taiwan-China war ever happens (I am thinking it will within the decade...)

50,000 US troops in Japan wont stop 500,000 Chinese Soldiers from invading Taiwan...
You don't seem to grasp the military realities of China invading Taiwan. Taiwan has approximately an over 3 million man military including all their reserves. China also has a rather limited amount of dedicated military transports that they would need to move men and supplies to Taiwan. All the US needs to commit to stop a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be air and naval assets, the US wouldn't need to stick a single infantryman on Taiwan itself.
 

wazzledoozle

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Apr 14, 2006
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Oh im tired and its late, but I meant 5 million man army invading taiwan. I know that China doesnt have the greatest ability to project its standing army right now, but in case anyone forgot they have an incredible ability to replicate, and mass produce anything. That would also include landing craft for an invasion.

China has a HUGE amount of artillery and missiles pointed across the straight, so at any moment someone could give the order for all hell to break loose.
I am not sure of Taiwan's military capabilities, I will have to look that up later..

*oh, im not trying to argue, just have an intelligent conversation over military strategy :D
 

imported_Aelius

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Apr 25, 2004
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The US shouldn't be the world's police and making up rules for everybody else. Especially when it doesn't follow it itself.

Anyone ever watch an anime called "Silent Service"? I know it's just an anime meant for entertainment but the underlying idealism in it (US vs Japan) was 100% dead on and it was released 11 years ago.

Get out of Japan. Get out of South Korea. Actually get the heck out of Asia entirely. Let each country build up its military as it so chooses. Especially Japan.

Japan may be a wildcard when it comes to coming to the aid of other Democratic nations but if it feels threatened or if it thinks that invasion is possible and it has a large enough bite (which it very well could if we allowed them to build up again) they could potentially be an equalizing force when combined with other Asian nations against China and North Korea.

There really is no reason to keep a whole fleet and an entire Army stationed there. Even if they couldn't protect themselves the US shouldn't be there until asked for assistance. It's not a terribly long voyage from Pearl.

Tactically it would make more sense to allow the Asian nations to be attacked anyway without the US forces being there. This way they cannot be wiped out in the first round and instead give the enemy a moment of pause. Knowing that they could be counter attacked effectively by at least one Army with several fleets in support. I see that as a far better alternative to knowing exactly where the US Army is with a virtual guarantee of them being wiped out.
 

wazzledoozle

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Apr 14, 2006
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We would have to let them develop their own militarys before we pulled out though.

This probably conflicts with "regional interests" aka controlling our "allies"...
 

judasmachine

Diamond Member
Sep 15, 2002
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absolutely they have a right to, they've paid for their transgressions that led to the terms at the end of ww2.
 

imported_Aelius

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Apr 25, 2004
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Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
We would have to let them develop their own militarys before we pulled out though.

This probably conflicts with "regional interests" aka controlling our "allies"...

Controlling allies was the bedrock principles for the foreign policies of both Communist Russia and Nazi Germany.

Someone explain to me, without shooting themselves in the foot in the process, why we are doing this.
 

wazzledoozle

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Apr 14, 2006
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Originally posted by: Aelius
Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
We would have to let them develop their own militarys before we pulled out though.

This probably conflicts with "regional interests" aka controlling our "allies"...

Controlling allies was the bedrock principles for the foreign policies of both Communist Russia and Nazi Germany.

Someone explain to me, without shooting themselves in the foot in the process, why we are doing this.

I think if you realize the control we excercise over our allies, it shouldn't be long before you see why.
 

imported_Aelius

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Apr 25, 2004
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Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
Originally posted by: Aelius
Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
We would have to let them develop their own militarys before we pulled out though.

This probably conflicts with "regional interests" aka controlling our "allies"...

Controlling allies was the bedrock principles for the foreign policies of both Communist Russia and Nazi Germany.

Someone explain to me, without shooting themselves in the foot in the process, why we are doing this.

I think if you realize the control we excercise over our allies, it shouldn't be long before you see why.

Was looking for a response from someone who supports it.
 

Aegeon

Golden Member
Nov 2, 2004
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Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
Oh im tired and its late, but I meant 5 million man army invading taiwan. I know that China doesnt have the greatest ability to project its standing army right now, but in case anyone forgot they have an incredible ability to replicate, and mass produce anything. That would also include landing craft for an invasion.

China has a HUGE amount of artillery and missiles pointed across the straight, so at any moment someone could give the order for all hell to break loose.
I am not sure of Taiwan's military capabilities, I will have to look that up later..

*oh, im not trying to argue, just have an intelligent conversation over military strategy :D
You can start by reading up on Taiwan's military capabilities at this link.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/taiwan/index.html

Taiwan happens to specifically have around 2,000 anti-shipping missiles at the moment, and China's escorts lack the ability to effectively protect its transports right now. Its also alot cheaper to build a single anti-shipping missile than it is to build a substancially sized dedicated amphibious transport.

China's artillery doesn't do it much good against Taiwan proper. The distance is far too great for it to reach Taiwan from the mainland. Chinese propoganda has hyped up a couple of exceptionally long ranged artillery systems they are developing that they say can hit Taiwan, but not only are these expesive, but the artillery would lack the accuracy to be aimed at specific Taiwanese troop groupings.

You don't seem to grasp how much transport capacity would be needed to pull off a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, we're talking a much greater amount than was needed for D-Day during WW2. China needs to land enough supplies and troops to prevent them from getting wiped out by the massive Taiwanese counter attack before China can send an additional wave of reinforcements. Those transports have to survive Taiwanese anti-ship missiles, Taiwan's own substancial amount of artillery, Taiwan's navy, and Taiwanese tanks and armored vehicles using the main guns to hit transports as they try to approach Taiwan's beaches. Its also true that Taiwan is highly suited as an island fortress, with less than 20% of its small coastline suitable to amphibious invasion. This details makes it easy for Taiwan to have plenty of defenders in position waiting for the Chinese attack in advance.

Taiwan isn't standing still either. Its navy is getting stronger with the aquisition of two Kidd Class Destroyers, and 2 more by the end of this year. Other future aquisitions include 30 stealth missile boats. Taiwan is also expected to start deploying the Hsiung-Feng III next year, which is a supersonic sea skimming anti-ship missile.

Basically the amount of transports potentially needed is absolutely enourmous, and even with China's mass production capabilities it would take years to build sufficient transports even if China did almost everything they can to maximize production of them.
 

wazzledoozle

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Apr 14, 2006
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Well then if a sea-borne invasion isnt possible, widespread missile strikes of anti-air sites and an airborne ascent on the city could (theoretically) work.
 

Aegeon

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Nov 2, 2004
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Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
Well then if a sea-borne invasion isnt possible, widespread missile strikes of anti-air sites and an airborne ascent on the city could (theoretically) work.
No it wouldn't, at least in a remotely timely manner that doesn't give the US an absurd amount of time to move its own air force assets, either land or carrier based, into the area.

Taiwan has an extremely impressive amount of SAM and anti-aircraft weaponry, with the densest SAM network in the world outside of possibly Israel.

Chinese transport planes are large planes with huge radar signatures that also move rather slowly, with the ILYUSHIN IL-76 CANDID having a speed of 560 miles per hour for instance. The slow speed and lack of manuverability of these transports make them highly vulnerable to SAMs. Such a slow speed gives anti-aircraft missiles quite a bit of time to hit their targets. Air transports don't just need to worry about shorter ranged air defense systems such as the Avenger, but also longer ranged systems such as the I-Hawk. Each I-Hawk battery has 18 tripple launchers with a total of 54 missiles per battery.
http://www.periscope.ucg.com/mdb-smpl/nations/asia/taiwan/army/index.shtml

The I-Hawk has a range of over 20 nautical miles, an over 300 pound warhead, and the ability for a bettery to fire a missile every 3 seconds. Presumably some these batteries will be in range of Chinese air transports as they approach and will take a fearsome toll upon the uncoming transports. If 10 batteries are in range of the Chinese air tranports, it seems quite possibly they could shoot down 350 Chinese air transports by themselves.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/space/systems/hawk.htm

The PAC-2 Patriot missiles that are loaded onto the 6 launchers based near Tapei have a max range of 160 km when used in an anti-aircraft role.

China also has to worry about air defense systems such as the Chaparral air defense system, and the Tien Kung I anti-aircraft missile with a range of 100 km. Taiwan also has the Sparrow enhanced Skyguard air defense system with a range of 11 miles. The Antelope Air defense system with a range of 4 miles is also likely to play a role. When you factor in the Tien Kung II missile with a max range range of 200 km, and the anti-aircraft guns Taiwan has, the question becomes whether any of the Chinese transports will even sucessfully reach their targets in Taiwan. The evidence on the total size of the military transports in the PLAAF suggests otherwise.
http://www.sinodefence.com/airforce/aircraft/transport/transport.asp

After a sustained Chinese campaign, you're looking at thousands of mobilized Taiwanese troops wherever paratroopers could possibly try to land. China simpy can't drop enough paratroopers to do the trick. Taking airfields are not a valid option either. Besides the defending Taiwanese troops which should already be in the area, all Taiwan has to do is launch an artillery bombardment against the captured airfield to prevent regular aircraft that China might requisition for the invasion from landing. The small size of Taiwan means that artillery shoud already be in range, and some of Taiwan's artillery has an over 40 kilometer range, which means that China has to maintain a constant 40 kilometers perimeter in all directions from its captured airfield in order to prevent it getting bombarded. This simply isn't plausible for China to manage.
 

Red Dawn

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Jun 4, 2001
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We should make a deal with the Chicoms. If they were to take out the North Koreans and hand it over to the South Koreans we'd stand back and let them have Taiwan.
 

Strk

Lifer
Nov 23, 2003
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Japan has one of the best funded and most advanced militaries in the world. However, they're limited on where they can send it (but that's not due to a lack of ability).
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
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Originally posted by: Aelius
Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
We would have to let them develop their own militarys before we pulled out though.

This probably conflicts with "regional interests" aka controlling our "allies"...

Controlling allies was the bedrock principles for the foreign policies of both Communist Russia and Nazi Germany.

Someone explain to me, without shooting themselves in the foot in the process, why we are doing this.

As a deterrent to stop aggression in the region. I think some of you are being way too naive in believing if we simply left the area all would be fine and dandy.

Considering the amount of computer and telecommunication equipment that comes out of Taiwan, and other products out of S. Korea. Simply packing up and hoping for the best is not a wise idea.

I am positive the reason N.Korea hasnt launched an attack on S. Korea is because of our presense.

 

Red Dawn

Elite Member
Jun 4, 2001
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Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: Aelius
Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
We would have to let them develop their own militarys before we pulled out though.

This probably conflicts with "regional interests" aka controlling our "allies"...

Controlling allies was the bedrock principles for the foreign policies of both Communist Russia and Nazi Germany.

Someone explain to me, without shooting themselves in the foot in the process, why we are doing this.

As a deterrent to stop aggression in the region. I think some of you are being way too naive in believing if we simply left the area all would be fine and dandy.

Considering the amount of computer and telecommunication equipment that comes out of Taiwan, and other products out of S. Korea. Simply packing up and hoping for the best is not a wise idea.

I am positive the reason N.Korea hasnt launched an attack on S. Korea is because of our presense.
And that the South Koreans might kick their ass!

 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
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Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: Aelius
Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
We would have to let them develop their own militarys before we pulled out though.

This probably conflicts with "regional interests" aka controlling our "allies"...

Controlling allies was the bedrock principles for the foreign policies of both Communist Russia and Nazi Germany.

Someone explain to me, without shooting themselves in the foot in the process, why we are doing this.

As a deterrent to stop aggression in the region. I think some of you are being way too naive in believing if we simply left the area all would be fine and dandy.

Considering the amount of computer and telecommunication equipment that comes out of Taiwan, and other products out of S. Korea. Simply packing up and hoping for the best is not a wise idea.

I am positive the reason N.Korea hasnt launched an attack on S. Korea is because of our presense.
And that the South Koreans might kick their ass!

And they might be overrun like before. The simple fact of us being there keeps the possibility of this experiement from happening.

 

imported_Aelius

Golden Member
Apr 25, 2004
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Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: Aelius
Originally posted by: wazzledoozle
We would have to let them develop their own militarys before we pulled out though.

This probably conflicts with "regional interests" aka controlling our "allies"...

Controlling allies was the bedrock principles for the foreign policies of both Communist Russia and Nazi Germany.

Someone explain to me, without shooting themselves in the foot in the process, why we are doing this.

As a deterrent to stop aggression in the region. I think some of you are being way too naive in believing if we simply left the area all would be fine and dandy.

Considering the amount of computer and telecommunication equipment that comes out of Taiwan, and other products out of S. Korea. Simply packing up and hoping for the best is not a wise idea.

I am positive the reason N.Korea hasnt launched an attack on S. Korea is because of our presense.

That is the textbook answer I was looking for. Very good point and a very valid answer. True even.

However the US should not be exerting political power over the world. Regardless of how bad certain nations are preceived to be or known to be. It is not in us to govern the fate of other nations, that is theirs to make. Alliances are that, an alliance. It doesn't mean we place troops in a country indefinately. It means we defend them or assist them as needed should they come under attack. No nation has a right or feel that it has the right to exert control over another.

This sort of foreign policy is very similar to the way the US government acts in domestic affairs. It puts its nose into everything from state and local laws (which it then tries to turn into federal laws) and snooping into the lives its own population.

The only thing the federal government should be doing is protecting the rights of each citizen (not illegals), ensure the safety of the country from invasion or otherwise (without violating the first) and come to the aid of our allies should they come under attack or are threatened.

Anything beyond that and a country is exerting control. Which is what is going on right now. Sure it may seem that some nations may want us to stay in the region but it's not a straight answer. The US has refused to provide military high technology to Taiwan because of Chinese influence. In turn Taiwan wants us to remain. I'm not sure if it's the same story in both South Korea and Japan but I'm willing to bet that it is.

This serves two purposes for the US. The Chinese are importing cheap goods (in many cases made for US companies) which drives profits for big business in the US. Lastly it gives a motive for the US to remain in the region to exert political influence.

There is no good will in this anywhere. That's a shroud. Good will was back in the 40s and 50s. 50-60 years later it's a politicaly acceptable excuse that people still seem to blindly buy into.

You want a fix? Don't deal with nations that do not follow our 3 bedrock ideals I named above. That means cutting off all ties with nations like China, Nigeria, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Russia, Pakistan, India etc. The list is far too long.

You worry about Oil? There are workable alternatives. There are no excuses.

If nations want to trade or a military alliance they need to earn that and we should not take advantage of the situation like a cheap pimp. There wouldn't be any issues at all with alliances or trade with such nations since they would not be at odds with one another if they followed our 3 bedrock principles.

Problem solved.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
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Originally posted by: Aelius

Anything beyond that and a country is exerting control. Which is what is going on right now. Sure it may seem that some nations may want us to stay in the region but it's not a straight answer. The US has refused to provide military high technology to Taiwan because of Chinese influence. In turn Taiwan wants us to remain. I'm not sure if it's the same story in both South Korea and Japan but I'm willing to bet that it is.

The only thing the US has held back was the Arleigh Burke class destroyers back in 2001, but they got everything else they wanted from the US. China basically sh!t a brick when it looked like we might sell them the AEGIS system since they don't and won't (for many, many years) have anything that can touch it.

Supposedly there is an under the table deal for the US government to finance construction of four Flight IIA Arleigh Burkes with the understanding that they would be sold to Taiwan upon competition sometime around 2010. These ships would include an upgraded capacity to counter theater ballistic missiles which is an extremely attractive option (and thus well worth the cost) to the Taiwanese since China has a bunch pointed at them.
 

imported_Aelius

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Apr 25, 2004
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Originally posted by: K1052
Originally posted by: Aelius

Anything beyond that and a country is exerting control. Which is what is going on right now. Sure it may seem that some nations may want us to stay in the region but it's not a straight answer. The US has refused to provide military high technology to Taiwan because of Chinese influence. In turn Taiwan wants us to remain. I'm not sure if it's the same story in both South Korea and Japan but I'm willing to bet that it is.

The only thing the US has held back was the Arleigh Burke class destroyers back in 2001, but they got everything else they wanted from the US. China basically sh!t a brick when it looked like we might sell them the AEGIS system since they don't and won't (for many, many years) have anything that can touch it.

Supposedly there is an under the table deal for the US government to finance construction of four Flight IIA Arleigh Burkes with the understanding that they would be sold to Taiwan upon competition sometime around 2010. These ships would include an upgraded capacity to counter theater ballistic missiles which is an extremely attractive option (and thus well worth the cost) to the Taiwanese since China has a bunch pointed at them.

That's intresting but that isn't the only item on the list that was blocked. I recall Apache helicopters also being blocked as well as some other high technology items such as software and various chips etc.

If I had more time I would go looking around for it but I gota run around for the next 4 or 5 hours. Sorry to post and run but I'll come back to this thread later.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
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Originally posted by: Aelius
Originally posted by: K1052
Originally posted by: Aelius

Anything beyond that and a country is exerting control. Which is what is going on right now. Sure it may seem that some nations may want us to stay in the region but it's not a straight answer. The US has refused to provide military high technology to Taiwan because of Chinese influence. In turn Taiwan wants us to remain. I'm not sure if it's the same story in both South Korea and Japan but I'm willing to bet that it is.

The only thing the US has held back was the Arleigh Burke class destroyers back in 2001, but they got everything else they wanted from the US. China basically sh!t a brick when it looked like we might sell them the AEGIS system since they don't and won't (for many, many years) have anything that can touch it.

Supposedly there is an under the table deal for the US government to finance construction of four Flight IIA Arleigh Burkes with the understanding that they would be sold to Taiwan upon competition sometime around 2010. These ships would include an upgraded capacity to counter theater ballistic missiles which is an extremely attractive option (and thus well worth the cost) to the Taiwanese since China has a bunch pointed at them.

That's intresting but that isn't the only item on the list that was blocked. I recall Apache helicopters also being blocked as well as some other high technology items such as software and various chips etc.

If I had more time I would go looking around for it but I gota run around for the next 4 or 5 hours. Sorry to post and run but I'll come back to this thread later.


The pretty much got the works, including the Apache, IIRC. Javlin anti-tank missiles, PAC-3 Patriot systems (the PRC was NOT happy about that), sophisticated missile tracking radar systems, the AMMRAAM air-to-air missiles, P-3 anti-sub planes, etc...

The only problematic items are the diesel electric subs. The US hasn't built one on several decades and the only countries with production models (Germany and Sweden I think) have declined to sell them to Taiwan. Germany has however licensed one of their diesel electric/fuel cell models to South Korea for them to construct for their navy and there is speculation that SK might build some for export to Taiwan.
 

Passions

Diamond Member
Feb 17, 2000
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NO way. Japan cannot be trusted with their military.

When you have their Prime Minister visiting the shrine of fallen war criminals, you know that country cannot be trusted.

Imagine today's German leaders visiting and bowing to the graves of Hitler and other Nazi's. Does that spark outrage? Yet no Americans complain when Junichiro Koizumi does it.

Japan should be kept in check by American military. If allowed to build up, who knows what crazy thing they would do next.

The samurai blood thursts for war. Don't forget it.
 

Strk

Lifer
Nov 23, 2003
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Originally posted by: Passions
NO way. Japan cannot be trusted with their military.

When you have their Prime Minister visiting the shrine of fallen war criminals, you know that country cannot be trusted.

Imagine today's German leaders visiting and bowing to the graves of Hitler and other Nazi's. Does that spark outrage? Yet no Americans complain when Junichiro Koizumi does it.

Japan should be kept in check by American military. If allowed to build up, who knows what crazy thing they would do next.

The samurai blood thursts for war. Don't forget it.

K, I already said it, but it seems no one read it. Japan has a very large military. It is one of the most advanced and best funded militaries in the world.