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The PC's Days May Be Numbered

B

bonkers325

Lifer
Two studies released Wednesday provide a divergent perspective on the future of the consumer high-tech market.

Despite an overall boom in global semiconductor sales last year ? $205 billion in 2000, according to a Semiconductor Industry Association study ? PC sales slid 1 percent last year, concludes a study by market research firm PC Data.

Separately these studies may seem like a contradiction: Chip sales are soaring while PC sales continue to spiral downward. But taken together, the data suggests the PC's days may be numbered.

Link
 
The PC will never disapear, it will be adapted to fit together with all the other devices. The home PC will be like a personal server to conect all the Internet appliances and what ever else comes along.
 


<< PC sales slid 1 percent last year >>





<< PC sales continue to spiral downward. >>



One percent is a spiral? Gotta love these &quot;research&quot; firms. Probably the same ones that predicted the end of life as we know it for Y2K.

Russ, NCNE
 
The PC as we know it will eventually go away, but only once devices that are replacing it become much more useful.

We'd all like to be able to carry a PADD around like from Star Trek, but how many people's Palm or WinCE device really is useful enough that they wouldn't need to come back to a real computer quite often? And devices like that still have supremely low speed data transfer capability, so unless it's something that's stored locally, it's a pain to retrieve random bits of data. Being able to cache web sites with things like AvantGO just isn't practical all the time, it's only useful for sites that you know you're going to visit later and won't be near a computer when you want to be.

Handheld devices will eventually be used by everyone for day to day access to information, when they're not at home or in the office. Those devices will be connected to a central server with a reasonably high bandwidth constant connection (or at least so quickly established that it might as well be constant), so that information can be retrieved without delay. The devices won't even have to be connected always to the same server. They'll be like cell phones, where you can simply connect to the nearest access point common to your own network, and connect remotely to your home or office server. And if you need data not on your own server, then services will be able to bridge between networks.

When at a desk working or at home, there will be a terminal which is connected to a central server, essentially like the mainframe days. That server will be the Internet connection and the center of the internal LAN, and also provide many of the functions of the home or office. There will STILL however be stand alone PC's of some form for application which simply can't be run remotely in anything like real-time, like PC games. No matter how good the connection to the server, trying to make it play your games while running the house just won't work.
 
bonkers, mabey you should slow down the posting:

The PC's Days May Be Numbered 3 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:50 PM
Possible Widespread Software Security Hole Found. 2 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:50 PM
TDK to kick off Multilevel Recording technology 3 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:45 PM
Microsoft hacker fired. 1 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:44 PM
The Net's big porn secret 6 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:40 PM
Palm Pilots now becoming robots. 2 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:39 PM
Cc0 PIII 700@...1039 $165,etc,etc alpha,fop38 FORSALE 24 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:39 PM
TraxData announces serial numbered CD's!! 2 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:38 PM
Sony unveils its first battery-operated, portable CD-R/RW DRIVE 3 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:36 PM
American men ditch sex for PCs. 2 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:35 PM
BlueLight limits free Internet use. 1 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:34 PM
Sales of Pentium 4 stung by 'lousy' PC demand. 1 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:32 PM
Microsoft Defends Policies In Face Of $5B Discrimination Suit. 0 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:31 PM
Microsoft SOAP Toolkit: Version 2.0 and Version 1.0 0 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:30 PM
Microsoft?s cunning plan. 1 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:26 PM
Doctor tracks Web scam that ripped him off. 0 bonkers325 Jan/07/2001 6:26 PM

thats only half of them
 
There are two kinds of people, those who use PCs and.......

There's just one kind of real person.

OK Feisters, I'll write off most of what you say. 😀
 
When I have a Star Trek class computer core, holodeck, and nano bots that will build anything and keep me healthy then the High Tech market might start to slow down. Until then I will keep buying fancy new toys.
 
www.brain-e.com

No normal person needs a PC.
Sure techies and geeks and enthusiasts will want them.
But everyday joes probably dont need all the functions.
The internet is the main reason people are buying PCs now I believe.
Human communication is the basis of the internet.
No one needs to be chained to a Workstation when they want to communicate.
 
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