- Jan 12, 2005
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I want to move up the timeline for the prediction I made in my previous thread on this topic. In that thread, I predicted "within two years" a commercial airliner would be brought down, with hundreds of lives lost, by a personal drone. Based on the incidents reported in a new Washington post article, I think it will be within the next six months. Really, it's become that bad.
I've tried to edit down the size of the story here, including only the most alarming information, but the full story is worth a read, which basically reports incidents involving what I assume are just careless drone flyers. But you can be dead sure that terrorists are going to take advantage of the technology. And if they can reach altitudes of 12,000 feet and higher with large-sized drones . . ., well, use your imagination.
I've tried to edit down the size of the story here, including only the most alarming information, but the full story is worth a read, which basically reports incidents involving what I assume are just careless drone flyers. But you can be dead sure that terrorists are going to take advantage of the technology. And if they can reach altitudes of 12,000 feet and higher with large-sized drones . . ., well, use your imagination.
On Sunday, a swarm of small rogue drones disrupted air traffic across the country on a scale previously unseen in U.S. skies.
At 8:51 a.m., a white drone startled the pilot of a JetBlue flight, appearing off the aircrafts left wing moments before the jet landed at Los Angeles International Airport. Five hours later, a quadcopter drone whizzed beneath an Allegiant Air flight as it approached the same runway. Elsewhere in California, pilots of light aircraft reported narrowly dodging drones in San Jose and La Verne.
In Washington, a Cessna pilot reported a drone cruising at 1,500 feet in highly restricted airspace over the nations capital, forcing the U.S. military to scramble fighter jets as a precaution. In Louisville, a silver and white drone almost collided with a training aircraft. In Chicago, United Airlines Flight 970 reported seeing a drone pass by at an altitude of 3,500 feet.
All told, 12 episodes including other incidents in New Mexico, Texas, Illinois, Florida and North Carolina were recorded Sunday of small drones interfering with airplanes or coming too close to airports, according to previously undisclosed reports filed with the Federal Aviation Administration.
Before last year, close encounters with rogue drones were unheard of. But as a result of a sales boom, small, largely unregulated remote-control aircraft are clogging U.S. airspace, snarling air traffic and giving the FAA fits.
Pilots have reported a surge in close calls with drones: nearly 700 incidents so far this year, according to FAA statistics, about triple the number recorded for all of 2014. The agency has acknowledged growing concern about the problem and its inability to do much to tame it.
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U.S. officials have said they are growing more concerned about the possibility that terrorists might seek to use small drones. In a July 31 intelligence bulletin, the Department of Homeland Security said it had recorded more than 500 cases since 2012 in which unauthorized drones have loitered over sensitive sites and critical installations.
According to the FAA documents, military aircraft flying near U.S. bases or in restricted areas have also reported close calls with drones on at least a dozen occasions this year.
On July 10, the pilot of an Air Force F-15 Strike Eagle said a small drone came within 50 feet of the fighter jet. Two weeks later, the pilot of a Navy T-45 Goshawk flying near Yuma, Ariz., reported that a drone buzzed 100 feet underneath.
Pervasive intruders
Despite a prohibition against small drones flying within five miles of airports or above 400 feet, the FAA documents show that the robotic aircraft have become pervasive intruders, hovering near runways and busy air traffic corridors.
Pilots are also spotting the small drones at altitudes previously unheard of higher than 10,000 feet. On May 30, crews from Caribbean Airlines and JetBlue separately reported seeing a drone with colored lights at an altitude of 12,000 feet about 25 miles southeast of John F. Kennedy Airport in New York.
The FAA reports are brief and preliminary in nature. In some cases, follow-up investigations determined that objects pilots had assumed to be drones were in fact something else.
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No incident has resulted in a midair collision. But in dozens of cases, pilots reported that drones flew within 500 feet of their aircraft, so close that they usually had no time to react.
On March 21, the crew of Delta Air Lines Flight 874 told air traffic controllers in New York that a small drone passed within 50 feet of the airliners left wing near LaGuardia Airport. One month earlier, on Feb. 24, a Delta flight heading toward Los Angeles reported that a red and black drone coming from the opposite direction overflew the Boeing 757 by 100 feet.
In an incident near Los Angeles International Airport, American Airlines Flight 287 reported on June 8 that a blue and silver drone appeared 50 feet off its left side, just above the wing.
Elsewhere, regional carrier Air Wisconsin reported May 10 that a drone whizzed right off the nose of the passenger plane at an altitude of 5,000 feet near Charlotte. Nine days later, another Air Wisconsin flight reported that a drone passed within 10 feet of the aircraft outside Philadelphia.
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Only a matter of time
No city has seen more illicit drones than New York. Since March, pilots flying into or out of LaGuardia and Kennedy airports have reported encounters with drones 33 times, according to the FAA reports.
In an interview, Sen. Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) said that the number of near misses is astounding and predicted that it would be only a matter of time before a crash occurs.
Schumer pledged to introduce legislation requiring manufacturers to install technology on all drones to prevent them from flying above 500 feet, near airports or in sensitive airspace. Such technology, known as geo-
fencing, relies on satellite navigation to pinpoint a drones location.
Every day without this law increases the chances that a bad accident will occur, he said.
DJI, the worlds leading seller of consumer drones, began programming such technology last year into all models sold in the United States. Brendan Schulman, the firms vice president of policy and legal affairs, said the software upgrade and public education efforts have proven effective.
The vast, vast majority of drone users are flying safely and responsibly, he said. The real issue is that there are a handful of outliers.