Originally posted by: Xanis
What's that, the swine flu isn't as bad as everyone thinks? GEE, WHAT A SHOCK.
An influenza virus isn't that bad when the healthcare system can still support it and stays on top of everyone? What a shock.
I doubted anything would be bad this spring. It's not flu season, so even someone who does get the regular flu (happens quite often, just not as common as in the fall and winter) is going to go to the hospital due to all the mass fear that has been spread around. Which is the first time I'm glad to see the media making a big deal out of something that has the chance of not being anything noteworthy in a few years.
So basically everyone is going to get treated and they'll be fine.
I still think it's going to cause the same reaction inside the body that the Spanish Flu had caused. It's not a concept of modern healthcare preventing it or anything, because swamped hospitals are swamped hospitals. Anyone put on a mechanical respirator had strong chances of pulling through during the Spanish Flu. Can't remember when the first mechanical means of respiration were brought into play, other than the simple hand-held pumps.
However, the reason I stated that, is because most of the deaths were caused by respiratory failure, or other organ failure, caused by the immune system. Healthy adults, with a certain influenza A strain (a specific mutation of H1N1), had an immune reaction that can essentially be called overdrive. Those with weaker immune systems, it either didn't cause that overdrive chain-reaction process, or it just bumped up their immune system to a "strong" level, and not to the point that the body attacked itself. Typically, it attacks the lungs when you have that reaction.
If you're going to get the Swine Flu, I'd say go out of your way to get it now. Get your body some immunity to the virus while hospitals can still provide exceptional care.
This is world wide, so it's going to kind of linger in the Northern Hemisphere, likely not killing anyone, except for those at risk of death for the typical influenza, and maybe not even reach the same mortality rate as the run of the mill influenza strains.
However, with no healthy adults having immunity to this strain whatsoever, and flu season beginning in the southern hemisphere, it's going to stay around. With luck, this thing won't mutate, and if it spreads at least a decent amount during this spring, we might be lucky to have a small example of herd immunity. Hopefully.
If it mutates, then its back to square one. If it currently has - or gains through mutation - the ability to multiply and invade cells at the same rate as the 1918 H1N1 (differences in protein composition is the only thing that causes any strain to either be pandemic potential or just another bothersome flu season strain), then come actual flu season, shit is going to hit the fan. Getting treatment at the onset of symptoms is pretty much necessary to beat that kind of immune system reaction.
I don't get everyone has to get all up in arms over the media, the WHO, and national governments sensationalizing new viruses and pandemic concerns. Rather they not? When the world doesn't put these things in the spotlight, the public doesn't have the same concern, and ends up treating what may be a potentially lethal bug as something ordinary due to the first few days sharing the same symptoms as other bugs. When its in the spotlight, everyone worries. Having that worry isn't bad at all when it comes to health, because it has definitely prevented far more problematic outbreaks. SARS was a concern, but the WHO and China stayed on top of it. The Avian Flu was and is still a concern, but it never mutated for human-to-human transfer, so it basically remained a local issue. If it does mutate and it retains the same characteristics, it'll be pandemic worthy as well unless, again, the world stays on top of it.