“How can Treasury claim a $2 billion surplus in December and yet need to borrow $101 billion from the public in December?”
We saved the best and most complex question for last. Several astute readers noticed that the government’s reported deficits do not align with the total amount of debt outstanding. (The Treasury reports the
total debt to the penny daily on its website.) For the month of December, the government borrowed $101 billion from the public, but reported a $2 billion surplus.
It might seem that the deficit ought to equal to the change in outstanding debt. The explanation is wonky and a bit long, but there’s nothing sinister about the deficit not adding up the same as the debt from one month to the next.
First, the Treasury doesn’t spend every dollar it borrows. It also maintains an operating cash account. This alone explains most of December’s apparent discrepancy. The Treasury started with about $108 billion in cash. Over December it ran a $2 billion surplus and borrowed $101 billion from the public. That extra money didn’t disappear through accounting shenanigans. The Treasury just held onto the extra cash. At the end of December, the Treasury had $223 billion in cash.
After accounting for cash, the discrepancy in December was small, and is explained by little changes across Treasury’s several dozen other financial accounts, which include obscure assets like securities in the
National Railroad Retirement Investment Fund, accounts at the
International Monetary Fund,
Special Drawing Rights, etc.
What about the change over all of calendar year 2014? The Treasury reported deficits of $488 billion but borrowed $668 billion. What happened with the other $180 billion? Again, cash explains part of it. Cash rose from $162 billion to $223 billion. That’s $61 billion accounted for and $119 billion unexplained.
What else does the government do in addition to spending and accumulating cash? It issues loans. The government’s loan financing climbed by $118 billion over the course of 2014. With lending programs, the government borrows from the public and turns around and lends out that money. (Most direct lending from the government is for student loans, but the departments of transportation, agriculture and energy, the Small Business Administration and the Export-Import bank all have significant lending programs too.)