Originally posted by: Starbuck1975
AFAIK I do not believe for a second that when push comes to shove, despite whining bitching, that somebody who wanted to vote for hillary will not vote for obama when he wins the nomination and would instead vote for mccain. I do not believe these people and if they think they're being honest ,they are just being bitter or do not understand themselves.
Given the passionate nature of each candidate's demographics, and their distinct differences, I think it is quite possible for an adverse reaction by the supporters of one candidate once the other has the nomination.
I think it is quite possible for Hillary's supporters...women, hispanics and blue collar white men...to sit out the election or choose McCain over Obama.
I think it is quite possible for Obama's supporters...African Americans, educated white males and the youth vote...to sit out the election or choose McCain over Hillary.
I think my point still stands, if such significant amounts of Democratic support was really bleeding to McCain he would have a large lead. In most polls he is dead even, or fluctuating within 2 points on either side. This indicates a bit of a disparity between what people are saying in one poll vs. another.
These polls don't take into account what will happen once one of the Democrat candidates is out of the race, and how their respective support base will splinter...McCain benefits regardless given how hostile the Obama and Clinton campaigns have become in recent weeks.
Just look at the threads on this very topic in these forums...the Democrats are well past reconciliation, and both Hillary and Obama are weaker now than say even 3 months ago in going up against McCain.
McCain was a long shot in January, and now, not only his he the presumtpive Republican nominee, but he is polling neck and neck with both Obama and Hillary...that should be quite concerning to the Democrats.